Claudio Costa BASIC EPISTEMOLOGY (rough draft)

THIS IS A FIRST DRAFT 










BASIC EPISTEMOLOGY

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Preface

 

I.               Origins of Knowledge

 

II.            Definition of Knowledge

 

III.         Justifying Evidence

 

IV.          The Web of Beliefs

 

V.             Truth as Correspondence

 

VI.          Limits of Knowledge

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Una vez que tenemos un sistema, podemos passar a demontarlo. Primero el árbor, déspués el sérrin. Y uma vez alcançada la etapa del sérrin, hiemos de passar a la siguiente, a saber la construcción de nuevos sistemas. Hay tres razones para ello; porque el universo es, él mismo, sistémico. Porque ninguna idea puede tornar-se completamente clara, a menos que se halle incluida em algún sistema y porque la filosofia del sérrin es bastante aburrida.

[Once we have a system, we can set to dismount it. First the tree, then the sawdust. Once we reach the sawdust, we can turn to the follow, namely, the building of new systems. There are three reasons for this: first the universe is, in itself, systemic, because no idea can become sufficiently clear, unless it is included in some system, and because the philosophy of the sawdust is quite tedious.]

Mario Bunge

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

PREFACE

 

Central concepts of epistemology are to a very great extent interconnected. My aim in the present book is to offer an analysis that shows these interconnections under the most central concepts. In this way these central concepts show their consilience in Susan Haack’s sense of the word. That is, under the conciliative assumption that the nature of knowledge is unified, a unified treatment of its central concepts equates to a more cogent analysis. (To be completed...)

   

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

I

SOURCES OF KNOWLEDGE


Darwin’s idea is like a universal acid: it eats through just about every traditional concept, and leaves in its wake a revolutionized world-view, with most of the old landmarks still recognizable, but transformed in fundamental ways.

Daniel Dennett

 

Epistemology is usually defined as the investigation of the sources, nature and limits of knowledge, that is, from where knowledge comes from, how it is constituted, and how far it is able to go… I begin by considering from where knowledge comes.

   Some sources of knowledge are always mentioned in the literature: experience, a priori access, memory, and testimony. The first two sources are primary, while the second two are secondary since they can be shown to be tributaries to the first ones. If I have the memory of having let my car in the parking lot, it is because I had the experience of having let it there. If I remember the modus ponens, it is because I have learned this logic rule as part of my supposed a priori knowledge. False memories are not rare; they are not real memories, because they do not correspond to their sources. However, memory is mandatory: a person who loses her memory will have her capacity for knowing practically eliminated. Testimony is also an important secondary source of knowledge. We often gain reliable knowledge by means of information given by other people. Moreover, testimony has been amplified nowadays to a plethora of new methods of obtaining information given by others, like radio, television, newspapers, books, and all the massive amount of information at disposal at the internet. Testimony is but a secondary source, since ultimately all this information will be based on the primary sources of sensory experience, which are intuition and reason. No doubt, experience and a priori access are the chief candidates to the role of primary sources of knowledge.

   The main divide between rationalist and empiricist philosophers in the philosophical tradition concerns the extension of the a priori knowledge. Rationalists (Plato, Descartes, Spinoza, Leibniz, Hegel, Popper…) always tended to emphasize the importance and extension of the a priori knowledge, if possible eschewing experiential knowledge. Empiricists (Locke, Hume, Stuart Mill, Quine…), on the other hand, tended to emphasize the role of experience, reducing the a priori knowledge to non-substantive propositions, if not trying to eschew this form of knowledge completely or almost completely. The distinction is inevitably vague, since there is a range of levels and kinds of rationalism and empiricism. Later in this chapter I will try to show how both traditions, rationalist and empiricist, are partially right.

   Our next questions are: “What experience is?”, and “What a priori access is?”

   The first question is apt to a more straightforward answer. It gives us the so called a posteriori empirical knowledge. When we speak of experience, we usually refer to the perceptual experience given by the five senses of the world around us. Example is a statement like “This computer is on”. But we can also refer to the reflexive or introspective knowledge we have of our mental states like sensations, feelings and thoughts. Statements like “I feel pain” and “I think that Schliemann discovered Troy”, are of this kind. Even occurrences of thought are experiential, since like the other cases, they are contingent and occur in time and space. And as Laurence BonJour noted, even the cartesian cogito é experiential.[1] Moreover, much of our knowledge is indirectly obtained from experience, as our knowledge that the tyranossaurus was a carnivorous reptilian or that gravitational waves can change the spacial dimensions of physical objects.

   The second question is philosophically more difficult. It concerns the nature of the a priori knowledge. Kant seems to be the first person to have suggested the term ‘a priori’ applied to judgements. He has defined the a priori judgement negatively, as a true knowledge that does not need to be justified by experience, even if it presupposes the experiential learning of its constitutive concepts. In order to make it clear, I give the following list of candidates of a priori statements:

 

1.    Bachelors are not married. Triangles have three sides. If Mary is the mother of John, then John is the son of Mary. a = a.

2.     1 + 1 = 2. A cube has 8 edges. The sum of the angles of a triangle is 1800.

3.    P = P. ~(P & ~P). P v ~P. P & (P → Q) → Q. (P & Q) → P. (~P v Q) → Q. A > B, B > C, hence A > C.

4.    We should not cause suffering to innocent people. Social justice is equity. Moral action must search the highest happiness to the majority.

5.    A colour has extension. The same surface cannot be read all over and blue all over. Any event must have a cause. The universe is uniform.   

 

Consider (1): they are cases of a priori knowledge typically called analytic. We can define an analytic statement as the statement that is true in virtue of the arrangements of the meanings of its semantic components.[2] A property of these statements is that their negation produces a contradiction or an incoherence. Triangles do not have three sides contradicts the definition of triangle as a closed plane geometric figure with three internal angles and three sides. These kind of statements are easily transformed in logical tautologies by replacement of synonymic expressions (pace Quine) like “[Non-married adult males] are non-married” in the place of “Bachelors are non-married”. (Most empiricist philosophers try to reduce the knowledge a priori to this more innocuous case.) The examples given in (2) and (3) are respectively from mathematics and logics. Many believe that at least the principles of these formal sciences are intuitively given a priori. (4) exemplifies some ethical principles. (5) exemplifies some candidates to what we could call synthetic a priori judgements, which would be statements a priori but able to tell something about the world.[3] Their identifying criterion is that, differently from analytic statements, they can be negated without contradiction.

 

Difficulties in defining a priori truths

Kant has seen necessity and strict universality as the marks of a priori truth. Contemporary epistemologists have weakened this exigence. For many, the a priori knowledge can be fallible.[4] This failure can occur, not only because it can be mistakenly accessed, but also because it can be defeated, either by the emergence of other a priori knowledge or by the cumulation of recalcitrant experience.

    We saw Kants negative definition of a priori knowledge. Necessity and strict generality would be positive traits, but we have abandoned them. In the case of experience, we can give a positive characterization by saying that the access is experiential and speak of external or internal spatiotemporal entities that cause it. But there is no analog concerning the a priori. Instead of experience we can recur to terms like ‘aprehension’, ‘insight’, ‘intuition and reason’. Terminologically, it is helpful to distinguish two kinds of a priori access: intuition, when it seems to be directly given to us, and reason, when it demands a reasoning process beginning with intuitions. Consider, for instance, the two following examples of a priori knowledge: “1 + 1 = 2”, and “29,324 + 18,916 = 48,240”. The first is intuitively reached, since we do not need to use reasoning in order to aprehend its truth. The second one, however, demands reasoning in order to be seen as true, at least in the case of normal human beings. An important point to be noted is that the distinction between both cases is variable according to the epistemic agent and to a certain extent to her training. God would have only intuitive knowledge of the a priori, since he would not need to use reasoning to know the results of what we inferentially know. It is useful to preserve this understanding of the word ‘intuition’.

   Traditional rationalist philosophers tried to furnish a corresponding simile to the perceptual experience appealing to mystic-religiose explanations.  Thus, Plato suggested that we acquire knowledge of ideas through reminiscence. Hence, if I see a triangular object, it contains an imperfect copy of the idea of tringle; this makes me remember the abstract idea of the tringle, with which my soul has been in contact when it was hovering in the world of ideas, before its incorporation in a human body (notice that interpreters doubt to what extent Plato’s resource to this wat not an elucidative resource). Hence, knowledge results from recollection (anamnesis). Anticipating the opposition between rationalism and empiricism, he classified the former as “friends of ideas” and the latter as “earth-born giants”, Augustin defended the doctrine of divine illumination. We learn the truths of mathematics, of aesthetics and morality because God illuminate us, making us to remember them when we look at the interior of our souls. For Descartes things could not be much different. We have the idea of God as the being that has all the perfections. As we are imperfect, this idea cannot be originated from ourselves. Hence, God exists, and he placed since the beginning his idea in us as an innate idea. As an infinitely good being, he allows that we have access to a priori truths that possess the marks of clarity and distinction that we find in the (a priori) ideas of mathematics. Although very few today accept this kind of explanation, it is important to see that it always appeals to innatism. Leibniz was well-known by regarding innate ideas as dispositional. According to him, experience is like a sculptor chiselling away at a block of marble to expose the sculpture already present inside it, namely, the innate ideas[5]

         

1. Different methodological sources

It is worth to notice that rationalist philosophers have historically assigned great value to formal sciences. They tried to import the kind of deductive reasoning used in mathematics into philosophy itself, insofar as they could infer knowledge deductively from adequate intuitions. Plato required knowledge of geometry as a condition for admission to his academy. Descartes was a great mathematician who invented analytic geometry. Leibniz invented the infinitesimal calculus. Spinoza was not a mathematician, but he tried to give an axiomatic structure to his Ethica.

   Empiricist philosophers didn’t have a great difficulty with the epistemological access to the empirical world, since it seems to be natural. Their view was that experience is the source of all (or almost all) our substantive knowledge. Real knowledge should be a posteriori. Above the mathematics, they tended to praise the inductive reasoning of empirical sciences, as Locke, who lauded the incomparable scientific work of Newton at the beginning of his Essay. Locke can be seen as a kind of prototype of an empiricist philosopher. His metaphor of the new born child’s mind was a blank sheet (a tabula rasa) waiting to be filled by experience. This metaphor illustrates as much the force as also the weakness of the empiricist view. The force lies in its openness: nothing is warranted beforehand. The weakness lies in the fact that it gives us no idea of how it is possible that a whole edifice of knowledge can be constructed from nothing beyond random experience. (As Karl Popper once wrote, if someone asks us simply “to observe…”, this question will make no sense until the person tells us what to observe, giving us in this way some direction.) Empiricism also does not explain how these resulting contents can contain enough similar grounds to allow interpersonal agreement. As a defender of rationalism, Popper ridiculed empiricism, suggesting that it is a theory of the mental bucket. Empiricists, he wrote, believe the mind of a new born is like an empty bucket. In time this bucket is slowly filled with material coming from our senses, this material accumulates and becomes digested as knowledge, though no one would be able to tell how.[6] Against this naïve theory of the empty bucket, Popper proposed his own view: the spotlight theory of knowledge. We are predisposed to inquire about the world in determinate ways, and by allowing our ideas to be refuted by experience, we make ourselves able to create new and better ways to understand it.

   Against rationalism, it makes sense to point out the religious or mystical ingredient that is often – though not necessarily – involved. Nietzsche was the philosopher who identified in Socrates-Plato what he called the negation of life, an attempt to escape from the hard vicissitudes of human existence into a transcendent world outside space and time.[7] Philosophers, as persons used to the life of thought much more than to the life of action, are particularly prone to this form of escapism.

   Nonetheless, this susceptibility alone is certainly not what sustains rationalism. For some problems it was rather the only explanatory way available before the Darwinian revolution. The mystical ingredient can be false and rationalism true, and many contemporary friends of rationalism (Carl Jung, Karl Popper, Jean Piaget and Noam Chomsky, to name just a few) have nothing mystical in their worldviews. In what follows, I intend to show that we can capture the important element of truth in the rationalist persuasion without having to necessarily embrace any form of mysticism.

 

2. Evolutionary induction

It is not difficult to agree with the empiricist when he says that much of our knowledge is a posteriori. But the thesis that all our knowledge is a posteriori has always been seriously questioned, at least for the reason that the mind must in some way construct and organize the empirical experience in order to achieve knowledge. However, one cannot today explain the origin of the a priori intuition appealing to the world of ideas, where the soul lived before being incarnated, like Plato, or to God’s will to insert innate concepts in our minds in the form of clear and distinct ideas, like Descartes. It is at this point that the theory of evolution comes into play.

   Daniel Dennett has often noticed that the pre-Darwinian explanations of the origin of species were of the kind “Top-Down”.[8] For instance: God created the man and all other species once and for all. On the other hand, post-Darwinian explanations of the origin of species are of the kind “Bottom-up”. According to them, the human being is the result of more than a million years of a blind process of trial and error called natural selection. Now, the same idea can be applied to our propensions to cognitively build a priori knowledge, or, to be more careful, a priori beliefs. A priori truths can be originated from our innate capacities and dispositions.

    In our times the most plausible way to defend rationalism, even if in a modified form, consists in the appeal to natural evolution. Carl Jung posed the idea of an inherited collective unconscious, built by archetypical structures that work as innate trigger mechanisms, even if later speculatively exaggerating the role of these structures.[9] Popper has called our attention to the philosophical relevance of filial imprinting in animals.[10] As Konrad Lorenz observed, in the critical period between 13 to 16 hours after hatching greylag geese develop the disposition to follow the first object that moves before them, which normally is their own mother. However, it can be any unexpected moving object, such as Lorenz’s moving boots. After imprinting, they followed Lorenz wherever he went. Popper noticed that we also have innate dispositions to form some primitive “theories” about the world. But unlike Lorenz’s geese, we are able to correct them. This is a kind of flexibility that has proved very helpful to our survival. In fact, something near to imprinting in human beings might be reverse sexual imprinting, which would be the tendency of children born and raised together not to feel sexual attraction to one another.[11] In human beings there are, however, many other manifest inborn dispositional traits, like the disposition of small children to look to the eyes of their mothers when called, which makes possible the also innately determined capacity of reading facial expressions, which plays a crucial role in the socialization process.[12] Another interesting case is that of a rare deficiency called prosopagnosia (face blindness). People with severe prosopagnosia are unable to identify the faces of other people, including their own image in a mirror. This means that the ability to construct images of many different faces and retain them in memory is innate[13].  More theoretically, Jean Piaget’s well-known four stages of children’s cognitive development must to a great extent be genetically programmed[14]. Furthermore, we need to explain how children are able to learn their mother tongue rapidly from the ages 2 to 5 years. It seems necessary to posit some kind of what Noam Chomsky called a language acquisition device in order to explain this ability[15], particularly when we consider that those children later lose this ability.

   Doubtless, we have a multiplicity of complex innate dispositions and capacities that lead us to react in this or that way, and may cause us to develop cognitive responses that might correspond to what rationalist philosophers understood as innate ideas and thoughts, insofar as we are adequately stimulated. Since the first goal of natural selection is not truth, but mere survival, we cannot expect that all these selected dispositions and capacities are those that make us to acquire prima facie true beliefs. But some of them must do precisely this, since knowing the truth is a key to survival. As Michael Devitt noted[16], if a belief is beneficial to the survival, it is to expect that the process of natural selection makes with the time innate a disposition to entertain it. This does not mean that the belief must be true. Devitt’s example is that of religion; it may be that we have a predisposition to adopt a religious belief, which can help us to collectively survive, without this religious belief being truth. Another example could be the defence mechanisms considered by the psychoanalysis, as the negation, the projection, the repression, the rationalization and the sublimation. These mechanisms might have nothing to do with the search of truth, but they are necessary to protect the psychological structure of a person. However, as Devitt also noted, it may be that the disposition to form a belief is beneficial precisely because it is true, being by this reason selected. This is an important point only that Devitt consider this argument as complementary to his view that there is no a priori belief.[17] I take a different stand; I think this argument shows the empirical origin of our priori beliefs.

   If we apply this kind of reasoning to the concepts and thoughts prized by rationalist philosophers like Plato, Descartes or Kant, we would have an evolutionary explanation for the role they give to a priori knowledge. This knowledge would not be the result of some intellectual intuition of essences, or of the soul’s grasping of eternal ideas in the Platonic realm, or something innately given to us by the Cartesian God, but simply the result of a displaced form of induction that I wish to call evolutionary induction.

   This idea of evolutionary induction must be explained and justified. In order to do this, I begin by considering a trivial case of inductive numerical generalization. We can formulate this kind of induction using the symbols F and G in the place of physical and cognitive events respectively, and ↑P in the place of ‘very probably’, numerical generalizations can be roughly symbolized as:

 

Fx → Gx

Fx → Gx

(…)

↑P (x) (Fx → Gx)

 

For instance: if a first fire makes warms, a second fire makes warms, and so on… one can conclude that (very probably) all fire warms.

   It is true that our knowledge of the empirical world is often and more primarily reached by cognitive numerical induction, namely, from the experience of frequent association of different facts in time and space, like fire with light or warmth. In order to illustrate this, suppose an imaginary case of a cognitive being not endowed with any geometric intuition, using rules to discover what kind of line covers the shortest distance between two points. This inductive reasoning could receive the following canonical form:

 

Schema A

Numerical inductive generalization:

- [Fx] The line covering the shortest distance between these two points, [Gx] then it is measured as a straight line.

- [Fx] The line covering the shortest distance between these other two points [Gx], then it is measured again a straight line.

 (…)___________________________________________________

- Hence, probably: [Fxs] All the lines covering the shortest distance between two points are [Gxs] to be measured as straight lines. In symbols: ↑P (x) (Fx → Gx)

 

Now, one can argue that our innate dispositions, prompting us to react to adequate stimuli building some kind of intuition or reason (generating a priori concepts, judgments, and reasonings) had a similar inductive source, not in epistemic subjects, but in the evolution of the species. As we have seen, at least in some cases, natural selection chose the members of a population that have phenotypical traces more adequate for survival in their surroundings, at least until the age of reproductive maturity, simply because they react by having thoughts that are true in the sense of corresponding with reality. However, it seems clear to me that in this case we also have an inductive process. It is inductive at the evolutionary level. We can suggest that this occurs in animals and particularly in human beings, even if in the latter case with results that can be further treated in much more flexible ways, since handled by the intervention of many contextually and culturally developed variables, so that instead of speaking of stimuli we should here rather speak of adequate circumstances, cultural contexts, life forms.

   I think I can give a convincing example of evolutionary induction that goes beyond a mere analogy. It concerns the well-known fate of applied Euclidian geometry. Kant considered its principles to be examples of synthetic a priori judgments, ways the mind is able to legislate on the phenomenal world of experience. For him, statements like “a straight line is the shortest distance between two points”, “through a point outside a straight line only one parallel can be drawn”, or “the sum of the internal angles of a triangle is 1800.”

   This certainty disappeared soon after Kant’s death, with the discovery of non-Euclidean elliptical and hyperbolic geometries. This has shown that there were at least logically possible worlds where the principles of Euclidean geometry do not apply. Worst of all, in 1915 the general theory of relativity showed that real physical space does not follow a Euclidian geometry, but an elliptical Riemannian geometry which changes depending on the curvature of space-time under the influence of gravitational fields.[18] This curvature, however, is too small to be perceived by us in our surroundings. It can be measured only as the result of gravitational fields in cosmological dimensions. Thus, if you draw a triangle between the Earth, Mars and Jupiter, you will see that the sum of its internal angles is greater than 1800.

   The conclusion is that natural evolution has endowed us with the intuitions of Euclidean geometry because it is not only simpler but also precise enough to allow us to deal successfully with our surroundings, and this is what mattered for our ancestors’ survival. Hence, it is easy to understand why we were selected by evolution to understand and see Euclidian geometry in a more direct and natural way as part of our genetic endowment. We have the a priori intuition that we can draw only one straight line between any two points. We see by some “natural light of reason” that we can draw only one parallel line through a point outside a straight line and that the sum of the internal angles of a triangle must always be 1800. I understand these proclivities as legitimate results of evolutionary induction in the following way. Across many generations, natural selection has eliminated those members of our species without any ability to think using Euclidean geometry, and preserved those members more or less endowed with the capacity for thinking with this geometry. Notwithstanding its own limitations, Euclidian geometry had the great advantage of furnishing us a sufficiently reliable point of departure. (Bertrand Russell wrote in his Autobiography that as he was a child, he deduced most of Euclidian theorems without having read the Elements; he had a better innate endowment to understanding Euclidian geometry than most of us.)

   At first view, ‘evolutionary induction’ might seem a strange expression for a strange form of induction. However, this impression disappears once we see that the inductive result does not need to be restricted to the psychological experience of an existing epistemic subject, or even of any collaborative community of epistemic subjects. To restrict induction to a psycho-social phenomenon is a chauvinist prejudice. Inductions are logical inferences that by chance instantiate cognitively in human epistemic agents. But this is a contingent fact. Induction can be instantiated in an adequately programmed computer. In a similar way, induction can be instantiated in the process of natural selection in order to produce shared innate propensions to reach a priori beliefs. We only displace the experience of the individuals to the “experience” of a species. The above described result of evolutionary induction isn’t structurally different from our normal processes of induction by enumeration, except for the fact that it is coupled with a process of natural selection in which the social disposition for the inductive conclusion, which appears to us in the form of intuition or reason, can take many thousands of years to fully develop. Here is a schema regarding the shortest distance between two points provided in the long run by our evolutionary induction:

 

Schema B

Evolutionary inductive generalization:

A member of the species is able to survive [Fx] by seeing straight lines as [Gx] the shortest distance between two points.

Another member of the species is able to survive by [Fx] seeing straight lines as [Gx] the shortest distances between two points.

(…)___________________________________________________

Hence, very probably: The selected members of the species have the intuition that always that [Fx’s] straight lines are seeing, they are [Gx’s] the shortest distances between two points. In symbols: ↑P (x) (Fx → Gx)

 

The structure of schema B is similar to the structure of schema A, not as an individual induction but as a fragment of our own species-induction. It seems that we have good reasons to think that cognitive dispositions and capacities that at first view seem to be the result of the natural light of reason are in fact an inductively grounded end-product of natural selection. Evolutionary theory has made plausible the idea that rationalism can be understood as having after all an empiricist inductive basis in the general process of evolution.

   Finally, the idea of evolutionary induction – a species-induction – is supported by the view according to which species are spatiotemporally enduring individuals.[19] If it were possible to bring to the earth an animal from another galaxy that were identical to our tigers, having the same genetic layout and being able to inter-crossing with our tigers, we would resist to classify this animal as a tiger. After all, tigers are animals that have developed in Asia. Because of this, we should treat a species as an individual that develops itself during the time, in a similar way as we can treat a colony of ants as an individual. This is an additional reason to think that species are able to select their members in an inductive form.

   The final conclusion is that the theory of evolution suggests that the origin of our so-called a priori intuitions and reasonings is not a mystical one. This origin lies in inherited proclivities. It is these proclivities, along with adequate experiential stimuli, which lead us to have intuitions and reasonings that we see as a priori justified. A priori justification is the justification settled by the experience of our species.

   Joining the two sources of knowledge, we come to the following naturalistic conclusion: there are two ways to obtain supposedly true belief: by means of sense and by means of reason, by means of individual/social sensory-perceptual induction and by means of species-induction. Consequently, at the button there is no true belief that is not inductively achieved.

 

3. Examining supposed counterexamples

One could object that this conclusion is too hasty, since most intuitions and reasonings that are important for the rationalist philosopher seem to have little, perhaps nothing at all to do with most of the dispositions and capacities initially considered. They are moral views, logical principles, arithmetical judgements and, mainly, metaphysical principles like the view according to which all events must have causes, or the libertarianist view of free will as transcending causal constraints. At first view, such abstract ideas do not seem to have as their source innate dispositions resulting from natural evolution. Moreover, we also have seemingly unavoidable metaphysical concepts, like those of substance, property, number and existence, which do not seem to be empirically explainable.

   One can answer this objection by saying that many of these intuitions have indeed an evolutionary source, some of them being of such a general kind that they must belong to any evolutionary endowment, but this does not prevent them from being illusory. In what follows, I will consider them separately.

 

1.    Analytical statements. There is the more trivial case of conventional definitions like “A square is a special kind of rectangle” or “Bachelors are not married”, and even stipulative trivialities like “a = a”. They are analytical because true in virtue of meaning. The kind of a priori called analytical in the Fregean sense, that is, able to be transformed into logical tautologies by substitution of terms. Thus, since “A square (Df.) = a rectangle with equal sides”, we can derive the tautology “A rectangle with equal sides is a rectangle”, and since “A bachelor (Df) = a non-married adult male”, we can derive the tautology “A non-married adult male is non-married”. Something important to see about analytic statements is that most of them are not arbitrarily built. The above convention exists and is useful because there is a difference in the world between married and non-married adult males. In themselves, analytic statements are frozen as eternal truths; what might occur is that their application can be eroded by changes in the world and consequently in our conceptual system. In a society where there is no place for marriage there will be no usefulness for the concept of bachelor. However, their truth-value should not be confused with their usefulness (pace Quine).

 

2.    Moral proclivities. Moral dispositions clearly have evolutionary origin. Men are social animals. Consider the moral rule: “Do not harm innocent people”. Even if this can be object of critical thinking, it serves as a rule of thumb. We are endowed with moral dispositions, and if we do not follow them and we do not lack these dispositions (as in the case of psychopaths), we are damned to feel bad conscience. Moral principles like “We should act in order to increase the general well-being” or “We should not do to others what one would not like to get done to ourselves” are selected because they further the collaboration in a community and human society does not thrive without this collaborative element.

It is interesting to see that all these rules can be seen as a priori, though fallible. We can always imagine situations in which their application can be wrong. But we feel that there is something redeemable in them and that it is the task of moral philosophy the attempt to refine them in order to make them undeniable. Finally, one should pay attention to what is called epistemic overdetermination: the possibility that our a priori justification is reinforced or weakened by experience, through induction or refutation. In this sense, epistemic overdetermination can be as old as Plato’s teaching of geometry in the Phaedo, and as common as we might suspect.

 

3.    Mathematical Truths. An interesting case is that of mathematical truths. I already considered the case of geometry, showing that we were selected to have a priori intuitions concerning Euclidean geometry, which seems more natural to us, though physics has shown that it is not the real geometry of physical space in the universe. We could here introduce the distinction between applied and abstract geometry[20]. As an applied geometrical statement, “The sum of the internal angles of a triangle is 1800” is not a synthetic a priori truth, as Kant would like us to believe, that is, an informative necessary truth concerning objective physical space achieved independently of experience. It is synthetic a posteriori and in addition false. On the other hand, this same statement can be abstractly interpreted as an analytic or self-contained a priori truth, insofar as we understand it as the result of the abstract construction derived from the Euclidian system of geometry, leaving out of consideration its applicability to the real world. This abstract geometry can also be considered necessary in the sense that it cannot be false within the abstractly considered Euclidian system.

Although some would disagree, I do not see much difficulty in applying a similar kind of reasoning to arithmetic. Consider the sentence “2 + 3 = 5”, which is usually considered an a priori truth. We do not learn it directly. We must first have the experience of counting objects like two pears and three apples in order to get five fruits. Later, we learn to think that 2 + 3 = 5 is the abstraction of any empirical counting. It is clear that the first capacity is innately determined, allowing us to establish a later convention abstractly considering 2 + 3 = 5. In this way, 2 + 3 = 5 not only finds support in our everyday usage, but if considered as an abstract convention (only conceived and never applied) it can be seen as true by definition.

  Now, suppose that we are in a possible world called Omega, where when making any applied sum, a similar additional object suddenly appears before us. For example, in the process of adding two pears and three apples, what I see before me are six pieces of fruit: two pears and, say, four apples, two of them exactly identical.[21] In this world, the applied sum 2 + 3 = 5 would be false. In fact, 2 + 3 = 6 would be the right result, the same occurring with the result of 7 + 5, which would be 13... The difficulty we have to accept this conclusions rests in the fact that we guess that this possible world would contradict all our physical laws and it would be barely conceivable. Anyway, it remains at any rate a logical possibility. In such a logically possible world, we would probably need to produce an abstract conventional concept of sum that would need to be a different one, supported by changes in applied arithmetic.

Like us, a mathematician from the world Omega could make the mistake of supposing that this form of applied addition is necessary and universal, so that it could be extended to all possible worlds based on his mathematical intuition. However, as we know from our own world, this would be faulty. And this suggests that although he remains free to conclude, based on conventions, that 2 + 3 = 6 and 7 + 5 = 13, he cannot say that he can generalize this result as necessarily applicable in all possible worlds, unless he interprets these sums independently of their applications, as abstract arithmetic. In this case, he could say that these results are necessary in the sense that they could not be different in any possible world within his assumed abstract system of rules.

 

4.    Logical Principles. The cases of fundamental logical principles seem different. Think about the principle of non-contradiction: ~(p & ~p). Ontologically formulated, it means that it is impossible that something is the case and isn’t the case at the same time and from the same perspective. Logically formulated it says that a thought (a Fregean proposition) cannot be true and false at the same time and under the same interpretation. This principle can be seen as a priori and analytic (in the sense that it cannot be denied without contradiction): it is too fundamental to be falsified.[22] Locke was of the opinion that we learn the principle of non-contradiction from experience. For reasons already given, this cannot be true. In fact, we must be evolutionarily so constituted that we cannot do anything, except to follow the principle of non-contradiction inevitably inbuilt in our cognitive mechanisms, since without this principle he would be unable to have any cognitive experience. As Aristotle wrote, a person who denies this principle would be mute like a tree. One cannot simultaneously affirm something and its proper denial and claim to have said something. This applies to any cognitive being. A cat cannot catch a mouse if it sees a mouse and a non-mouse at the same time. A zebra that sees a lion and a non-lion at the same time will soon have a difficult time. Hence, the necessity of the principle of non-contradiction isn’t based on something like its intuition, but on its universality. If we are not wild metaphysicians, we will feel our cognitive inability to find an exception. Generally spoken, in cases as fundamental as the principles of thought or the modus ponens, we cannot make a distinction between applied and non-applied logics. And the reason is that logic, in its fundamentals, is ubiquitous. This remembers us Wittgenstein’s thesis according to which the possibility of representation is indebted to what is ultimately common between representation and world, which for him was the logical form or structure.[23] The principle of non-contradiction cannot be contradicted because as well our thought as what it represents must be in accordance with it, the community between both being justified by the natural selection. (Our capacity to apply the principle needs to be distinguished from the kind of introspective act of recognizing the principle in the thought. This act isn’t a priori. This act of recognition was instantiated for the first time, it seems, by Aristotle in his Metaphysics.)

 

5.    Inductive Principles. Evolutionary induction has also taught us inductive logic. It seems that we have intuitive belief in principles like those saying that the future will preserve sufficient likeness to its past to allow inductive inferences, because we are disposed to form inductive habits, and this disposition cannot be other than a result of evolutionary induction.[24] The same applies regarding something more sophisticated but equally important, abduction, the inference of the best explanation. In order to make this inference, we need a fact or set of facts leading us to infer the best explanation for something. For instance, the best explanation for the different phases of the moon, after considering different positions of the moon relative to the earth and the sun – the sun always seen on the opposite side – was that different angles of illumination through the sun were the cause. This kind of inference must assume a multitude of previous numerical inductive inferences in order to be possible. But the more sophisticated ability to make inferences about the best explanation could also be the result of a selected disposition. Those individuals able to associate several inductive evidences and see the common explanation had better chances of survival and passing this ability on to their offspring.

 

6.    Metaphysical Principles. Concerning legitimate metaphysical concepts like those of properties, numbers, existence, external reality, it is plausible that we also have inborn capacities to form them, consciously or not. They are framework metaphysical concepts, and their necessity is justified by their universality. We are not able to conceive any possible world in which they would not be applicable. Consider, for instance, the concept of external reality: we could say that the observance of natural laws belongs to it in an aprioristic way.

More on the opposite side, there are conventions that doubtless aim to reflect metaphysical properties of empirical reality: “Red is a colour”, “Everything red is coloured”, “Red is not green”, “The same surface cannot be red and green at the same time”, “A physical body must have some extension”, “If A is taller than B, and B is taller than C, then A is taller than C”... Although these statements all seem to be true by convention, these conventions are more solidly anchored in our grasp of the ways the world is constituted (the ways the world has selected us to divide it up). Because of this, we feel the ease with which we can apply the correspondence view of truth in order to warrant these statements: “Red is a colour” corresponds to the fact that all reds are colours, “A physical body must have some extension” corresponds to the fact that all physical bodies have some extension.[25]

There is also a pragmatic point to be considered. These a priori statements, like the linguistic systems to which they belong, must be useful insofar as they are applicable to reality. The conceptual relations in these statements can be seen as necessarily true, insofar as the corresponding systems apply to the world, otherwise they will be unmasked as false and not necessarily true. But there is no crucial difference between these cases and a statement like ‘Bachelors are unmarried men”, since it could lose its point in a society in which bachelors cannot be factually distinguished from married people. The only difference is that statements like “Everything red is coloured” or “Things that are red are not blue” require the acceptance of a more sophisticated system of rules that in their cases define red patches as colours, and different colours as mutually exclusive. A provisional conclusion is that we do not need to consider conceptual truths as detached from reality only because of their usually conventional character. Their conventions are not arbitrary; they can often be seen as reflecting the metaphysical structure of reality as we are able to conceive.

There are also metaphysical principles cherished by philosophers as “The future will be like the past” (Hume) and “All events have a cause” (Kant). They would be easily called synthetic a priori judgements. We can suspect overdetermination at work in them: they can be learned through experience and at the same time be the result of inherited proclivities. As stated above they are clearly wrong. Why cannot an event occur without any cause? Why must the future be like the past? Anyway, this does not mean that they cannot be refined in ways that make difficult to deny them without incoherence. Since I will discuss the first principle in the last chapter, I will try to refine the second one here. We can first consider a minimalist form of it: “At least one event must be caused”. Since our own experience is causal, this principle is verified by experience. This is, obviously, a too weak principle to sustain causality. But we can reformulate it as follows:

 

Causal relations must be at least sufficiently common to justify our expectative that, given one event, we might expect to find its causes.

 

Although we can reject this version, we do it with a heavy hearth. We see that its rejection makes natural laws impossible, making them impossible even concerning the causal relation between objects and their perception. Since we cannot conceive a world in which this relation would not be a causal one, it seems clear that the reformulation (2) cannot be denied without incoherence being therefore an analytic-conceptual truth.

 

7.    Illusory philosophical beliefs. Finally, there is a lot of illusory philosophical knowledge. As hopelessly illusory, I would choose the concept of substance as a kind of “I don’t know what” support for the sensible qualities of material things that lie beyond any experience[26]. We can replace it by the material things themselves, maybe understood as bundles of spatiotemporally located tropical properties, including what physicists call ‘rest mass’[27]. Another hopeless case is the synthetic a priori principle that all events must have causes[28]. We don’t need the appeal to Hume’s authority to say that this view has no intuitive support. It is not difficult to imagine events without any cause and the generalization to all events seems to be a philosophical fancy. (However, if you say that at least some event must have a cause, I will tend to agree, since it seems impossible to conceive the world without this assumption.) Consider, finally, the “feeling of freedom”. Libertarians have appealed to this feeling as evidence that we are able to transcend causal determinism in our decisions: we feel that we could decide to do otherwise. However, plausible compatibilist theories of free will, by explaining our freedom of decision as constituted by the lack of restrictions on human decisions, justify this feeling of freedom as caused by the intrinsic incapacity of our conscious minds to become aware of all the causal factors involved in the decision process.[29]

 

Evolution shows that cognitive beings that were selected as able to make the right kind of association are able not only to protect their lives, but also to form ideas that are often true. In the last case we have the process of evolutionary induction. The evolutionarily selected cognitive beings have learned to correlate their representations with the enduring associations of events under adequate circumstances, reaching truths in the sense of correspondence, at least to a relevant extent, even abstracting them in the form of analytical truths. There is no absoluteness in these truths; but they are able to give us points of departure. This is the real source of all our a priori intuitions and reasoning. Plato’s anamnesis was a “Top-Down” foreshadowing of the end-product of evolutionary induction, which is in fact a “Bottom-Up” process.

 

4. Conclusion

What should we conclude from all these considerations? One could conclude with Devitt, that in the end empiricism wins, since it seems that the ultimate source of our knowledge is in both ways inductively originated from the interaction between the senses and empirical reality. However, I am afraid that this conclusion does not do justice to rationalism. Rationalism, like any philosophical position, should be evaluated not by its errors, but by its insights. Plato was in error by appealing to mythological explanations, but he was not to blame regarding this, since they were the only clue that his time could bring. But Plato was also prescient in believing that there is something innate steering our experience. On the other hand, a rationalist system like that of Spinoza, which is naturalist and treats the extended physical world as a different way of presentation of the mental world, both of them belonging to the infinite attributes of God or Nature or Substance, is compatible with evolutionary theory. A proponent of evolutionary induction could reconstruct this system without falling into contradiction.

   Moreover, we can accept a considerable amount of innately determined intuitive or rational a priori knowledge, insofar as we admit, against old fashioned rationalists, that what we are assuming to be knowledge is fallible. The belief in infallible a priori truths belonged to a time when philosophers didn’t have any Darwinian option. Furthermore, there is nothing in rationalism forcing us to reject induction. These would be naïve and committed forms of rationalism. What really distinguishes rationalism in its modern form seems to be its emphasis on the role of innate dispositions and capacities in the construction of knowledge. And what distinguishes empiricism is the emphasis on our minds’ ability to react before the accumulation of empirical evidence, making use of the different forms of inductive reasoning in order to develop or challenge our original dispositions and capacities. Traditional empiricism, by rejecting innate knowledge also rejects Darwinian answers, like the products of evolutionary induction, falling into the exceeding poverty of mental buckets theory. More plausibly the two elements, inborn propensities and inductive experiential procedures, must have a complementary role to play in the development of human knowledge. In the same way as psychology has overcome the opposition between inborn influences and influences of the external world by admitting the unavoidable interaction between the two, epistemology informed by evolutionary theory overcomes the opposition between rationalism and empiricism. Insufficiently aware of the evolutionary link, traditional rationalism and empiricism have respectively over-emphasized either one or the other, according with the inclinations of philosophers and philosophical movements. So considered this is a dichotomy fated to disappear.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

II

DEFINING KNOWLEDGE

 

 

Knowledge is not simply justified true belief, but it is justified true belief justifiably arrived at.

Robert Fogelin

 

Before analysing knowledge, we need to make a pre-philosophical analysis of the meanings of the concept-word ‘knowledge’. Although one can find a variety of definitions in dictionaries, there are at least three main meanings or concepts of knowledge usually selected by epistemologists.

   The first concerns ability knowledge, often called knowing how (to do something). It is the knowledge one has of swimming, bicycling, walking, speaking a language, playing the violin, cradling… Even animals have this kind of knowledge: a bird knows how to make a nest. The form is: “the living being a knows how to perform the activity x.” This procedural kind of knowledge is for us less relevant, not only because it is shared with animals, but because it is usually devoid of conscious awareness. It often appears after a process of automatization: one thinks about the movements one makes in cycling only in the beginning; soon one learns to make them automatically, without any conscious awareness. But in some cases, it is innately established. Consider the sequence of movements a human being makes when crawling. Are you able to specify the exact, true sequence?

   The second selected sense is acquaintance knowledge. In order to have it, one needs to be personally acquainted with a person or a thing. Examples are given by sentences like “I know Mary”, “I know Paris”, “I know Niagara Falls”. However, one cannot have this type of knowledge relative to something one has no personal acquaintance with. I cannot say that I know Moscow or that I know China, because I was never in these places. All I can say is that I know some facts about Moscow and some other facts about China. Of course, I can say that I know Aristotle, but this is an extended sense of the word. I do not mean that I was ever introduced to this philosopher. It is an indirect way to say that I have studied his philosophy. The form of knowledge by acquaintance is “I know x”, where x is a singular term like Mary or China. (French has different verbs for this type of knowledge, namely, ‘connaȋtre’ as opposed to ‘savoir’, which is also the case with other Romance languages, e.g., Spanish: conocer vs. saber. In German: wissen vs. kennen.)

   The third and by far most important sense of knowledge is that of propositional knowledge. It is also called knowing-that, because very often (though not always) in its verbal expression, after the verb ‘to know’ comes the preposition “that”, and after the preposition “that” comes a declarative sentence expressing a proposition that can be true or false, which is essential to this kind of knowledge. Examples are “I know that 7 + 5 = 12”, “I know that the Eiffel Tower is located in Paris”, “I know that neutrons have no electrical charge”.[30] Propositional knowledge is fundamental to us, because most of our sciences, most of our culture, and even our everyday knowledge is of this type. When epistemologists speak of analyzing knowledge they are usually referring to propositional knowledge. It has a complex nature that will be analytically deciphered in a satisfactory way in the course of this chapter.

   A well-placed question here would be: is there enough semantic proximity between these three types of knowledge to justify the use of the same word ‘knowledge’ to classify them? I think the answer is ‘yes’. One characteristic of knowing-how is that in humans it is usually learned and that in the process of learning we begin by becoming aware of the sequence of things to be done, for example, the right physical movements made in cycling or swimming. There must be some knowing-that at first, even if afterwards these movements become automatic and we lose any awareness of them. (Another example: When people learn to touch type they at first learn the keyboard, but with experience they are able to find the keys without looking at the keyboard but cannot state the sequence of letters.) Hence, knowing-how is often a result of knowing-that. Concerning knowledge by acquaintance, it is associated with propositional knowledge, since it entails the latter. If I know Mary or if I know Paris, this entails that I know a good number of true propositions or facts about that woman and that city. Finally, it is important to remember Russell’s view, according to which acquaintance knowledge would be the primary form of knowledge (Russell 1912, Ch. V). We must first have some kind of sensory-perceptual acquaintance with empirical things in order to reach a basis for forming propositions detached from the existence of the facts they should represent.

 

1. Traditional definition of knowledge

A further point is how to analyze propositional knowledge. Plato seems to have been the first person to make this kind of analysis. According to him (propositional) knowledge is true belief with a logos, a reason[31]. Understanding the ‘reason’ as a justification, we come to the definition of knowledge as justified true belief that has passed through the whole history of philosophy until it was challenged by Edmund Gettier in a famous short article (1963). This traditional, standard or tripartite definition of knowledge is intuitive. You cannot know that the statement p is true without believing in its truth, and if you believe in its truth usually you have some kind of justification: A school-boy who professes to know that Columbus discovered America not only believes in the truth of this claim, but must also be able to tell us something in order to justify this statement. Before going into the details of this definition, I will consider more closely each of these three conditions.

   Consider first the condition of truth. We cannot properly say that we know the false. Anna cannot know that the moon is made of Swiss cheese. It is true that we can say that the old Greeks knew that the Gods lived on Mount Olympus or that we once thought we knew things that turned out to be false. But in both cases the verb ‘to know’ is not used in its literal sense. This is shown when we replace the word ‘knew’ in those sentences by the literal expression, which is ‘believed to know’.

   Concerning the condition of belief, it is important to see that a belief is an attitude towards a proposition. A proposition (or thought) is what is said by a declarative sentence. The two declarative sentences “Arminius defeated the Romans” and “The Romans were defeated by Arminius” are different, but they say the same, that is, they express the same proposition. Consequently, if we believe in its truth, we believe in the truth of the proposition expressed by them.

   One cannot know that something is true without believing that it is true, except in a deranged state of mind in which the degree of belief is distorted by feelings. One case is that of stress: in an oral exam a nervous student does not believe he knows, but he often answers questions correctly. Another case is that of wishful thinking: an elderly English lady believed the impostor Tom Castro was her long lost son, despite all evidence to the contrary.[32]

   However, these are not the kind of beliefs meant in the traditional definition of knowledge as justified true belief. Our proper epistemic beliefs must be grounded on some positive probability of truth that we rationally give to a proposition; they must be rational beliefs. In this epistemically relevant sense, beliefs not only come in degrees, but we are even able to find words approximately corresponding to these degrees: if the probability is 1 or above 0.9, we often use words such as ‘certainty’, ‘conviction’, ‘confidence’; if it is around 0.7 or 0.8, we use the words ‘opinion’ or ‘standpoint’; if it is somewhat higher than 0.5 we use words like ‘hunch’, ‘inkling’, ‘suspicion’; if it is around 0.5 we use the word ‘doubt’ or ‘hesitation’ (or ‘suspension of belief’), and if it is below 0.5 we use the word ‘disbelief’. Disbelief is the belief that a proposition is false, which is the same as belief in the negation of the proposition.

   When we feel ourselves able to see our degree of belief as proper to knowledge, we say that we are certain of its truth. ‘Certainty’ is the key-word here. But what is the criterion for certainty? To this, I would suggest that the answer must be pragmatic: it must be a probability that for me or for anyone who thinks to know has the warrant for the expected practical consequences. Practical certainty means, I suggest, a bet in the probability 1, even if it cannot empirically reach it. Formal certainty, on the other hand, is the belief that warrants probability 1. For instance, I think that my belief in the principle of non-contradiction is warranted with probability 1.

   There is here a distinction between invariantist philosophers (Williamson, 2005), who suggest that the standard of probability demanded for knowledge is always the same, and what we could call variantist philosophers, who suggest that the standard of probability demanded for knowledge changes with the context (Lewis 2000, DeRose 2005) or with the internal demands of the subject (Stanley 2005). The following example shows what the contextualist has in mind. Suppose my girl-friend ask me if I closed the door of my apartment as I left it. I answer that I know that I closed the door, since I do it automatically. But if a policeman asks me if I know that I closed my door, I will be more cautious, answering that I really do not know, though I believe I did. The external context is different. Now an example of different internal situation: I am flying through the Atlantic during the night and there is considerable turbulence. I know that the aircraft will not fall (the chances are 1 in 5,4 million). However, on my side there is someone who never take a flight before, and this person is visibly afraid. By his behaviour, I see that does not know that the aircraft will not fall. Our subjective experiences and knowledge (and not the external context, which remains the same) make us reach different evaluations.

  A more radical example, in my view an exceptional case, is the paradox of lottery. If I buy a lottery ticket, I am not allowed to say that I know I will not win, even if the probability of winning a lottery is much lower than the probability that my aircraft will crash (1 in 13 million for the lottery). Why don’t I say I know I will not win a lottery prize? The contextualist answer is that in the lottery context the demands of probability are much higher. However, why is this not similar to the case of the airplane flight? Why the lottery context seems to be for some reason extremely demanding? The answer is not difficult. In the case of the airplane flight practical certainty is demanded, while in the lottery ticket case logical certainty is demanded. What really changes is the content of thought (proposition), which is too vaguely expressed by the declarative sentence. The thought expressed in the first case is: “I know [with practical certainty] that my aircraft will not crash”, while in the second case the thought must be expressed as “I do not know [with logical certainty] that I will not win the lottery”, since the measure of knowledge here is a statistic inference that demands probability 1 to be known, namely, that my ticket was really drawn under the other 13 million tickets.

   Nevertheless, a better answer would be that in the first case what is demanded is practical certainty, while in the second case what is demanded is logical certainty. What really changes is the content of thought (proposition), which is too vaguely expressed by the declarative sentence. The thought expressed in the first case is: “I know [with practical certainty] that my aircraft will not crash”, while in the second case the thought must be expressed as “I do not know [with logical certainty] that I will not win the lottery”, since it is a statistic inference that demands probability 1 to be known.

   I think there is a way to satisfy the invariantist view without underrate the variantist insights. All that we need to do is to distinguish what is said from what is thought and rephrase the (spoken or unspoken) statements in accordance with what is really thought. The first sentence could be more precisely paraphrased as: “I know that [I am nearly certain] that I closed the door”. The thought, which is the real bearer of the truth-value, demands the cognitive certainty that I am nearly certain. In the second example there are two different thoughts: my own thought is: “I know [by experience and information] with certainty that the aircraft will not fall” and the thought of my  neighbour, which is: “I do not know [I am not sure, because of my lack of experience and information] that this aircraft will not fall”. With the lottery sentence the problem is different. Here we have a case of a closed statistical probability, demanding probability 1 that I will not win or 0 that I will win (similarly, I cannot say that 2 + 2 = 3,9999, but only that 2 + 2 = 4”). That is, I could paraphrase the statement more precisely as “I do not know [with probability 1] that I will not win the lottery”. Important is to notice that it is not a difference in the probability required for knowledge: it continues to be high enough to confer empirical certainty. The difference lies in the roughness of our usual language, which does not reflect carefully enough what we really think. The non-spoken variation in the standard of precision or some other factor is what we really think and can be easily reflected in a more explicit restatement of the sentence.

   Another objection to the condition of belief is a well-known counter-example offered by Colin Radford (1966):

 

Jean is a French-Canadian who claims not to know any English history. He is given a verbal quiz on English history. He answers questions hesitantly, but gets many answers right. One question asks the date of Elisabeth I’s death. Jean says, I’d just be guessing, but, um, lets say, 1603. This is the correct answer. Suppose in fact that Jean did learn this answer, along with many others long ago in school and that his present “guess” is based on a vague memory that in fact traces back to his learning the date of Elisabeth I’s death.

 

The suggestion is that Jean knows the date of Elisabeth I’s death without believing it. Although this counter-example has embarrassed many, I think that in a real case we would see in Jean’s answers a serious problem of likelihood. As admitted, he does not get all answers right… Thus, in the same way as he said 1603 he could perhaps someday say 1613… Hence, he is not that much wrong in saying that he is just guessing. What he has is a belief with a probability that is somewhat higher than 0.5, enough to be called a good hunch, but not enough to afford knowledge. He does not have knowledge, not because he lacks belief, but because he lacks the degree of rational belief required for knowledge. In a similar way, if an experienced psychiatrist says she can recognize a schizophrenic patient just by looking at him, she is resorting to hyperbole. She only believes, since she lacks the level of rational belief that this case requires for knowledge.

   Finally, there is the condition of justification. Most knowledge-claims clearly require justifying evidence. I know that the Apollo XI mission landed on the Moon, because I saw it in the film they transmitted back to the earth. I know that ‘The 5th Symphony’ was composed by Beethoven, because I have read about the composition of this work. I can say that I know that my car is at the university, because I remember leaving it in the parking lot an hour ago. We can all call these epistemically acceptable justifications good or reasonable. However, not all justifications are good in this sense. One cannot justify my statement that a person will die soon, just because one read this in the life line on her palm or the statement that one flew to the moon last night only because one dreamed to have visited the moon. We can define a good or reasonable justification as something that is prima facie acceptable by the majority of people belonging to the epistemic community to which the knowledge-claimer belongs. Moreover, what counts as a good or reasonable justification varies with the culture of a human society. We are free to imagine a different society, where reading the life line in a person’s palm and the dream that one has flown to the moon are very good justifying evidence of the expected life of a person and of a real visit to the moon. Finally, the fact that a justification is good or reasonable does not mean that it produces true belief: it can be good and produce false belief. The Newtonian gravitational law, for instance, was considered perfectly justified in the nineteenth century, and all the contemporary epistemic community of physicists would have agreed with the truth of this law. However, after Einstein presented his general theory of relativity, Newton’s gravitational law came to be considered strictly speaking false, since it has been shown to be merely approximately true. Moreover, compared with the justifications given for general relativity theory, the justification for Newtonian gravitational laws has turned out to be deficient as well.

 

3. Formulating the standard definition symbolically

Symbolic logic has allowed us to formulate the traditional definition of knowledge symbolically. Calling ‘p a proposition in question, ‘a a knowledge-claimer, ‘B his or her belief in the truth of p, ‘K’ the knowledge-operator, and ‘E the justifying evidence for the truth of p given by a, we can say that: (i) that aKp p (If a knows p, then p is true); (ii) aKp aBp (if a knows p, then a believes in the truth of p); (iii) aKp → aEBp (if a knows p, then a has justifying evidence for the truth of p). Combining these three conditions, the traditional or standard or tripartite definition of knowledge can easily be formalized as:

 

                                                    (i)     (ii)      (iii)

aKp = p & aBp & aEBp

 

We can call (i) the condition of truth, (ii) the condition of belief, and (iii) the condition of justifying evidence or justification. Each of them should be considered necessary, and the conjunction of the three should be seen as a condition sufficient to establish knowledge. It is true that we can simplify the definition by excluding the condition of belief, since it is repeated in the condition of justifying evidence (which it is a justification for a belief in the truth of p) and write: aKp = p & aEBp. This would be more economical, though less transparent.

   Important exceptions are so-called basic propositions, which offer justifications like “I have headache” or, maybe, “I am seeing a blue sky” and “~(p & ~p)”. We know the truth of these statements because they impose themselves on us in a non-inferential way, assuming that expected adequate conditions (I am not being induced to believe that I have a headache… I am looking at the sky outdoors on a sunny day…) are all fulfilled. We can formalize the knowledge claim of such basic propositions simply as:

 

aKp = p & aBp

 

At least from the usual perspective , knowledge of basic propositions does not need justification, because they are self-justifying in the sense that they have what we see as a non-cognitive, non-doxastic evidential source.

 

5. Gettier’s problem

Now we will consider the pain in the neck of contemporary epistemology: the so-called Gettier problem. In 1963 Gettier presented two cases in which the three conditions of the tripartite definition of knowledge seem to be satisfied, although there is in fact no knowledge, rendering this condition insufficient. The result was a flood of articles and books, either trying to add a fourth condition to the tripartite definition of knowledge, or trying to offer a substitute for it, or even claiming that a definition of knowledge is impossible. All this work created a new sub-field of epistemology called ‘analysis of knowledge’. I will first explain Gettier’s problem, and then I will show how it can in my view be successfully answered.

   There are many counter-examples of Gettier’s type. I will choose one of them. Suppose that yesterday Professor Stone said to Mary that he would be at the University this morning in order to hold a doctoral examination. Now, since Professor Stone is an extremely correct professional (hard as stone), Mary has a very good justification to believe that he is at the University now (10 a.m.). Moreover, when Mary says that she knows that Professor Stone is at the University, he is indeed at the University, which makes her statement true. Hence, we see a justified true belief. Nevertheless, in fact Mary does not know it! And, the reason is that Professor Stone’s three teenage children were involved in a severe car accident last night and he has cancelled all his appointments today in order to stay with his children in the hospital. However, by mere coincidence, Professor Stone briefly returned to his office at the University to fetch some documents and then hurry back to the hospital. Since the justification given by Mary does not have anything to do with what makes the proposition true, we reject her knowledge claim. However, even though the three conditions of the traditional definition are satisfied, they do not constitute taken together a sufficient condition of knowledge, which means that there is something wrong with the traditional definition as we have understood it.

 

6. Path to a solution

It is often said that the paths to the false are many, while the path to the truth is only one. The first time I read about Gettier’s problem the real answer seemed obvious: the justifications given in these counter-examples to the classical definition, though good, were not adequate, because none of them was able to make the proposition true. Since I felt that this answer was too intuitive not to be noticed, I went through the literature on Gettier’s problem, searching for someone who had said something similar. And indeed, I found what I was looking for.

   As far as I know, the first attempt to develop this insight appears in Robert Almeder’s papers, written in the Seventies. And a later attempt appeared in a book written by Richard Fogelin, published in 1994. The answer was there, though incomplete and more complicated than it seemed at first view. I was not the only author to see things in this way. Here is a passage in an old introductory text from Brian Carr and D. J. O’Connor with which I am in full agreement (1984: 81):

 

For a justified belief to constitute knowledge it would appear that there should exist a connection between the truth of the proposition believed and the grounds on which it is believed. The reason why the proposition is true must not be independent of the facts asserted in the propositions constituting the grounds for the belief. Or to put it in different terminology, those justified true beliefs which constitute knowledge are those in which it is not just a coincidence that the believer is right but where the belief has been arrived at on the basis of facts which are relevant to the truth of the belief.

 

Further, they notice that it is a flaw of traditional analysis that it allows the three conditions to be independently satisfied. This flaw in the standard analysis can be eliminated, they write, “not by adding some fourth condition to the other three, but by insisting that these three previously recognized conditions should not be independently satisfied.” (1984: 82). And they conclude, though still in need of clarification, this straightforward effective way to solve Gettier’s problem should be further developed: “It is somewhat surprising, therefore,” they comment, “that it is not a response to the Gettier problem which has found much support in the considerable literature on the subject.” (1984: 82)

   Now, the next pages are dedicated to the development of this program. I will first discuss Robert Almeder’s and Richard Fogelin’s solutions, which have different focuses. Then I will develop what seems to me a sufficiently complete conservative analysis of the idea of knowledge as justified true belief, able to answer Gettier’s problem without leaving unsolved difficulties behind.

 

7. Almeder’s and Fogelin’s attempts

As I noted, a first step in the right direction was made earlier by Robert Almeder (1974). His solution emerged from the perception that in Gettier’s examples the justification given by a has nothing to do with what makes the proposition p true. Consequently, what the traditional definition needs is to show the right relationship between the condition (iii) of justification and the condition (i) of truth. According to Almeder, this relationship should be one of entailment. The justification must entail the truth of p. Using => to symbolize entailment, we can formulate Almeder’s version of the traditional definition as:

 

aKp = p & aBp & aEBp & (E => p).

 

There is, however, a serious problem with Almeder’s solution. The requirement of entailment is too strong. The solution works well for formal knowledge, when the justification is deductive. In this case, the justificational evidence allows us to make the proposition true by means of something like entailment. But it does not work with empirical justification, since this justification has an inductive form and cannot have the strength of entailment. We do not wish to have a solution that precludes empirical knowledge.

   A more hopeful solution is that of Richard Fogelin. This author avoids the attempt to establish a precise logical relation between conditions (iii) and (i). All he demands is that justification E makes proposition p true for us. Consequently, his version of the traditional definition of knowledge can be informally stated as:

 

     a knows p =

(i)             p is true

(ii)           a believes that p is true.

(iii)         a has a justification E for her belief that p is true.

(iv)         a’s justification E makes p true.

 

This would not be a great contribution if Fogelin had not considered a more important point. As he writes, person a has a certain body of information by means of which she comes to her justification E for p. We, however, have more information than a possess, and based on a wider informational set, we see that the grounds given by a do not justify p. Then he concludes (1994: 23):

 

I think that this double informational setting – this informational mismatch between the evidence possessed by a and the evidence we are given – lies at the heart of Gettier’s problem.

 

Indeed, we know that Mary in the above example does not know that Professor Stone is at the University now because we are aware of information that she lacks, namely, that there was a car accident the night before and he cancelled his appointments at the University in order to be at the hospital.

   Almeder suggested the necessity of establishing a relation between the condition of justification and the condition of truth, even if  he does not give us the right logical relation. Fogelin introduced a third person, whom we could call the knowledge-evaluator s, who will judge whether the justification given by knowledge-claimer a makes the proposition p true or not, in the first case deciding that a knows p and in the second case denying a’s knowledge of p. But Fogelin does not explain how this conclusion is arrived at. That is: in this aspect Almeder’s solution is too stringent, while Fogelin’s solution is too loose. The search for a more precise and therefore more adequate relationship between the condition of justification and the condition of truth is the problem that will occupy us now.

 

8. Perspectival definition of knowledge

We can summarize Fogelin’s view as follows. In Gettier’s examples there is a mismatch between what we could call the informational background of knowledge-claimer a and the informational background of knowledge-evaluator s (who often represents a community of ideas, but can instead be the same a at a later time). Knowledge-evaluator s is better informed. Because of this difference, knowledge-evaluator s does not accept the justification given by a for the truth of p, even if the knowledge evaluator has his own sufficient reasons to assume the truth of p.

   For instance: Carl (knowledge-evaluator s), who is speaking with Mary, met Professor Stone some minutes ago, and he told him about the accident. He knows that by chance Professor Stone is at the University now, but he is also informed not only about the accident, but also about Professor Stone’s decision to cancel his activities at the University today. As Carl hears Mary’s statement p = “Professor Stone is at the University now”, and he hears as justification the information that yesterday Professor Stone told her that he would hold a Ph.D. exam in this morning, Carl refuses to accept Mary’s justification, because he knows that it is completely inadequate as a way to make the proposition p (that Professor Stone is at the University now) true, and consequently he rejects Mary’s knowledge claim. He would accept Mary’s justification and the consequent knowledge-claim if she said she had met Professor Stone in the corridor of the University, or if she said she had seem Professor Stone’s car parked where he always left it, since these justifications would be consistent with Carl’s informational set.

   This insight can be made more precise in the form of what could be called a perspectival definition of knowledge[33]. This definition requires a revision of the condition of truth (i) and of the condition of justification (iii) of the traditional definition of knowledge.

   I begin by reconstructing the condition of truth. It is common to consider the condition of truth as the truth-value of the proposition independently of any epistemic agent. This is, however, an illusory fata morgana. It is the illusion that we can give any actual use to the absolute truth-value of a proposition. Only God, the infallible knower, would be able to tell us the ultimate truth value of any or almost any proposition. But since our communication with the infallible knower is as unverifiable as his own actual existence, we are fated to remain in the dark about this. Indeed, if the absolute truth-value of p were demanded, we would not be able to know anything, since the ultimate truth-value of our propositions would always remain beyond our reach. Of course, we might have the normative concept (a Kantian idea) of absolute truth, and we pragmatically proceed as if we had reached the final truth when we accept something as true, but we are painfully aware that this final truth can always vanish in thin air when it bumps into some obstacle along the way.

   For such reasons, the only way to understand the condition of truth is to relativize what real epistemic agents are be able to determine as truth. In order to get this in the traditional definition, we demand that the knowledge-evaluator s must offer a set of reasons (equivalent to justifying evidence) for truth, each element of the set being evidence sufficient for the acceptance or non-acceptance of p’s truth, a set that we might call the justifiability body of evidence E* for p or E*p. Assuming that the knowledge-evaluator is rational, either he has a body of evidence in which each piece of evidence is considered sufficient to make the proposition true, or he has a body of evidence in which each piece of evidence is considered sufficient to make the proposition false (it would be unreasonable to have evidence sufficient for the truth and also for the falsity of p in the same set). An instance of the first case (the only one that interests us) makes the point clear. If p is the statement “The earth is round”, s can have accepted this as evidence for p:  E1 = “We have authentic photos of the earth taken from telescopes in outer space”, E2 = “Ships sailing away from us always seem to eventually disappear below the horizon, beginning with the hull”, E3 = “There are many stories of circumnavigation of the earth”. Each of these justifications is for s sufficient to warrant the truth of p. If p = “The earth is round” and E*p is the body of evidence for p, this set is made up of{E1, E2, E3}. Calling the sign ‘~>’ an attribution of probability able to give certainty (that is, of 1, for the cases of formal evidence, or at least sufficiently near to 1, for cases of empirical evidence), which could be called the probability of epistemic acceptance[34], we can rewrite the condition of truth p (i) as E*p & (E*p ~> p) or (i’). Indeed, if s has an E*p and from any evidence belonging to E*p (assuming his rationality) he is able to derive the certainty of p, then he must accept the truth of p. In other words:

 

(i)   E*p & (E*p ~> p)

 

After making explicit what was hidden in the condition of truth, we move to condition (iii), the condition of justification, which we hope to be able to link with the new formulation of the first condition. The condition of justification must be written so:

 

(iii)  aBEp & (E E*p).

 

This condition of justification requires that the evidence given by any knowledge-claimer a either belongs to a pre-existent E*p accepted by the knowledge-evaluator s at t or can be accepted by s at t as belonging to an extended form of E*p, which includes E. With the help of these few formal devices, and adding to s the time of evaluation ‘t’, we get the following epistemic equivalence, establishing the conditions that must be fulfilled for s’s attribution of knowledge to the knowledge-claimer a;

 

(1)  stK [aKp] = stK [E*p & (E*p ~> p)] & aBp & [aBEp & (E*p E*p)].

 

Here we can clearly see how the condition of justification is related to the condition of truth. If an s has an E*p that gives him certainty of the truth of p, and the justifying evidence E given by a is such that it belongs or is able to belong to the s’s E*p, then the justification is not only good but also epistemically adequate. Gettier’s cases are based on good justifications that are not epistemically adequate, since they lack the expected relation to E*p.

   It is important to see the role of ‘t’, which is the time of the evaluation. It is essential because the E*p that s gives to a belief can vary from time to time. For instance: When Columbus discovered the New World, he claimed p = “I discovered the sea route to India”. Most evaluators accepted this sentence as true in 1492. But ten years later, the relevant informational set of people had changed. Columbus continued to believe he had discovered the sea route to India until his death in 1506, although around this time most evaluators would have judged his claim false. They would not have accepted his justifications as sufficient to make the proposition true, based on the increasing amount of information showing that he had in fact discovered a new continent.

   We see that the time of evaluation is essential for the acceptance of epistemic equivalence from the evaluator’s perspective. The next step is to place epistemic equivalence at the level of an assumption. Since stK is present on both sides of the equivalence, we can bring it to the background and formulate the following definition:

 

(2)  aKp (for s in t) = [E*p & (E* ~> p)] & aBp & [aBEp & (E E*)].

 

Finally, if you wish, since the condition of belief is repeated in the condition of justification, we can elide it and get the shorter formulation:

 

(3)  aKp (for s in t) = E*p & (E*p ~> p) & aBEp & (E E*).

 

The point of any of these formulations is to link the condition of justification to the condition of truth in the appropriate way. In the case of the statement “The earth is round”, if someone, as a knowledge-claimer, says that the earth is round because of the many artificial satellites orbiting the earth, we, as the knowledge-evaluators s, will accept this, even if we have not thoughts about it, since we know that our knowledge allows its inclusion as an element of the justifying corpus E*. Some examples will show that if this response is well-understood it is seemingly flawless.

   Consider now the Gettierian cases under the light of the perspectival definition. Mary claims to know that Professor Stone is at the University now. Since her justifying evidence E cannot belong to Carl’s body of evidence for the truth of this claim, not even to its possible extensions, as the evaluator of Mary’s knowledge claim, Carl rejects Mary’s knowledge-claim.

   Another example is that of Bertrand Russell’s stopped watch. Suppose that at time t1 you look at your watch. It shows 11:15 a.m. Then you look the church clock on the other side of the square: it also shows 11:15 a.m. It seems clear that that you are well-justified. But then, in the following moment you remember that your watch was not working properly yesterday. You look at the watch again and see that it has stopped. Probably it stopped last night at 11:15 p.m. Now, at first you had good justifying evidence for a true belief, since the hands of our watches are normally reliable. But after you noticed that something was very wrong with your watch, you conclude that your evidence for the time was flawed and you didn’t really know the time.

   In this case the knowledge-evaluator is yourself at a later moment. At time t1 you accept the usual justifying evidence E you have given to yourself. But at time t2 you have the information that the watch is not working and you come to the conclusion that E cannot belong to your present E*, according to which only the time shown by the church clock gives the right justification for your present knowledge that now it is 11:15 a.m. Your first evidence was good, since our watches are normally reliable, but it was not adequate for knowledge, since it was unable to make p true, making your first knowledge-claim a Gettier case.

   A good perceptual example is the following. Carol is visiting a region of the country she does not know. The driver of the car, Mr. Smart, knows the region from living there a long time. After crossing a bridge, Carol, glancing out of the car window, comments, “What a beautiful red barn we see in this field!” This exclamation includes the knowledge-claim of p: “There is a red barn in this field”. However, it is only by chance that what she sees is really a red barn – for with the exception of this one, all the red barns in the vicinity are really only barn façades, which were built for a film, although they are convincing enough to fool even the most observant traveller. Although a satisfies the conditions of justified true belief as stated in the traditional definition, for Smart, the knowledge evaluator, a does not satisfy these conditions as demanded by the perspectival form. For in this form, the knowledge-evaluator Smart needs to consider the reasons for belief in the truth of p, which always arises from a knowledge evaluator’s point of view. Now, since Smart lives in the region and knows that Carol is not aware of the story of the fake barns, he knows that Carol has identified the only true Barn by chance and that her justifying evidence isn’t sufficient. In order to have justifying evidence that could be incorporated into Smart’s body of evidence E* for p, Carol should give evidence like the examination of all sides of the barn, or, for instance, telling Smart that she already knew about the barn façades and that the only real barn would be this one after the bridge.

   The last counter-examples to be examined – admitting that I am already testing your patience – are those of Gettier’s own article. He gives two counter-examples to the traditional definition of knowledge. In the first one, two persons, Smith and Jones, have applied for a certain job. Since the president of the company has assured Smith that Jones would be accepted, and since Smith knows that Jones has ten coins in his pocket, Smith has the best evidence for the knowledge claim (a): “Jones will gain the job and Jones has ten coins in his pocket”. Moreover, from (a) Smith infers (b): “The man who will gain the job has ten coins in his pocket”. However, against all expectations, Smith and not Jones gets the job. Furthermore, by pure coincidence Smith also has ten coins in his pocket. According to Gettier, Smith has a justified true belief that sentence (b) is true, satisfying the traditional definition. But at the same time, it is clear that he does not know the truth of (b), since he misleadingly infers it from the false sentence (a).

   Now, applying our perspectival definition of knowledge to Smith’s claim, we can say the following. There must be a person s to evaluate Smith’s knowledge claim of (b). This person, say, Meg, knows that Smith got the job, because, e.g. she has seen the document of his approval E1, and also knows that Smith has ten coins in his pocket, since she has counted the coins (E2).

   Now, the E*p that s is disposed to accept as sufficient to make the conjunctive statement (a) true is the justification {E3} constituted by the conjunction E1 & E2. Meg is disposed to extend her set, as far the justification given by Smith is consistent with {E3}. For instance, Smith justifies (b) by saying that he was informed that he has got the job and he has counted ten coins in his pocket. But to her dismay, the justification Smith gives to (b) is completely different; he says that (b) is true because (a) is true, using as justification the knowledge claim that Jones has got the job and that Jones has ten coins in his pocket. But this justification neither belongs to the body of justifications acceptable by Meg as belonging to E*p nor as belonging to a reasonable extension of E*p to be made by Meg. Meg would give the same negative evaluation to Smith’s justification of (a) by reference to Jones’ justification that the president of the company has told him Jones would get the job, even if he is right in saying that Jones has ten coins in his pocket because he has counted them: in order to be true, the conjunctive sentence (a) must have both component sentences adequately justified.

   A second and last counter-example given by Gettier is more complicated, but it also exhibits no real difficulty. In case Smith has strong evidence for the truth of (a) “Jones has a Ford,” since he has always met Smith with this car, given lifts, etc. But about Brown, Smith knows nothing. Then Smith constructs the three following sentences:

 

(b1) “Either Jones owns a Ford, or Brown is in Boston”.

(b2) “Either Jones owns a Ford, or Brown is in Barcelona”.

(b3) “Either Jones owns a Ford, or Brown is in Brest-Litovsk”.

 

Smith is sure that these three disjunctive statements are true, even if he has no idea about where Brown is, since he uses the disjunctive syllogism to infer their truth from the truth of (a).

   But then Gettier adds the following. In fact, Smith is now driving a rented car and by coincidence Brown is in Barcelona. In this case (b2) is true. Smith has a justified true belief regarding (b2), but he does not know (b2).

   Our perspectival answer follows the same path. In any real situation there must be an evaluator s who has more information than the knowledge-claimer a. This evaluator, Julia, knows that Jones’ Ford is rented and that Brown is in Barcelona. She knows that (a) is false because she is the person who rented the Ford to Jones, since he does not have a car. This information serves as justification for her knowledge that (a) is false, which constitutes this E*p and would not accept Smith’s justification.

   Regarding (b2), it is true because it is a disjunctive sentence in which the first disjunct is false, but the second true. And Julia knows that Brown is in Barcelona, say, because she went to the airport with Brown (E1), and she later received a call from him (E2), so we can say that Julia’s set of evidential justifications E* is made up of sufficient conditions {E1, E2}. Now, in order to evaluate Smith’s knowledge claim of (a), Julia asks Smith his justification for (b2). To her dismay he says that he derived his knowledge from his knowledge that Smith owns a Ford. She cannot accept Smith’s justification as belonging to her corpus of justifications E* {E1, E2} for (b2) or even as able to be included in it, simply because she does not accept his justification for his last statement, neither as belonging to her E* nor able to be assimilated into it as its extension.

   Another advantage of the perspectival view is that it explains two conditions of knowledge posed by Robert Nozick as necessary to knowledge: (i) if p were not the true, a would not believe in p; (ii) if p were true, a would believe in p. In fact, if p were not true for the evaluator s, the negative evidence given by a for ~p would be accepted in the J*, and s would be see as knowing that a knew ~p and therefore would not believe in ~p. Moreover, if p were true, and a knew p, the positive evidence given by a for p would be accepted by s as belonging to J*, and a would be seen as knowing p and therefore believing in p. Nozick’s conditions can also be derived from the perspectival approach.

 

9. Objection of relativism

At this point the following objection could be made: “Your perspectival analysis of knowledge embraces epistemic relativism. The justification given by a knowledge-claimer will be considered adequate for knowledge or not according to the informational set of a knowledge-evaluator, which can always vary. Hence, if the knowledge-evaluator changes, the evaluation of a knowledge-claim can vary. Since there is no infallible knowledge-evaluator, knowledge is relative to the knowledge-evaluator we arbitrarily chose.”

   In order to answer this objection, we need first remark that we should not transform an often-present difficulty into an impossibility. Restricting ourselves to Gettierian cases, it is easy to agree that the knowledge-claimer will be convinced when acquainted with the more complete information available to the knowledge-evaluator. But regarding a comparison between knowledge-evaluators – who can treat one another as knowledge-claimers – things can turn out to be less obvious. We can defend the view that there are indeed more privileged knowledge-claimers (or knowledge-evaluators) and that the criterion to find them is to submit these knowledge-claimers to a critical dialogical situation, similar to what Habermas has called an ideal speech situation (ideale Sprachsituation) (1976). This means that knowledge-claimers must be located in an interactive speech situation in which the following conditions must be sufficiently satisfied:

 

1.    the participants must have a truth-searching commitment,

2.     they must have similar rights of informational exchange and questioning,

3.     they must have similar competence and capacity to evaluate information,

4.     they should be subject to no pressure, neither external nor internal, except the pressure of the best argument (…)[35]

 

Assuming that speakers satisfy this ideal to a sufficient degree, it is reasonable to conclude that the balance will tend to fall upon the most reasonable side.

   For instance, according to anthropologists, North American Natives colonized the region around 10,000 years ago, originally coming from Siberia. There is much evidence that they originally came from Siberia: at that time there was a land bridge across the Bering sea; there is no evidence of people living in America at a much earlier time; moreover, DNA evidence has shown that Native Americans are genetically related to populations that lived in Siberia. The explanation of the origins of the Native Americans given by the Natives themselves is, however, very different: in ancestral times supernatural spirits prepared the world for humans to live there. Then the earth opened and their ancestors emerged from the subterranean world of spirits. The anthropologists and natives can play the role of knowledge-claimers or knowledge-evaluators, and (assuming that they are not cultural relativists or social constructivists (see Boghossian 2006)), they will inevitably disagree: the first believe to know p: “The natives originated from earlier Siberian populations”, while the second believe to know q: “The natives originated from the subterranean world of spirits”. Nevertheless, the situation is very asymmetric. If a native comes to Harvard University and studies anthropology, we can bet that – assuming that she has accepted the conditions of a rational dialogical situation – in the end she will agree with the anthropologist, coming to consider the story she learned as a child as nothing beyond beautiful ancient mythology. The informational set of the anthropologist, under the assumption of the best of our scientific and humanist culture, can explain the informational set of the tribes, while the opposite is not the case. Hence, they are not relative. Hence, we can consider that factors such as a larger well-confirmed informational set, containing a higher amount of more precise and varied scientific information, will be seen as advantageous when examined by both sides, insofar as both sides sufficiently satisfy the conditions of a critical dialogical situation.

   Beside this, our truths, as well as our knowledge of truths, are always relative to the best or privileged knowledge-evaluator of a dialogical situation. We cannot, in this or any other way sustain the ideal of finding indisputable absolute truth, proper to absolute knowledge. The best we can do in this direction is to sustain absolute truth and knowledge as a normative ideal, something similar to what Kant called an ideal of reason, useful to make comparisons and to measure the growth of our knowledge in a non-relativist way.[36]

 

10. Comparing with some other attempts

Assuming the perspectival account of knowledge, I will now explain and criticize a few interesting attempts to answer Gettier’s problem.

   Among the first ones, there was the attempt to solve the problem by rejecting false justificatory evidence[37]. It is false that Professor Stone would be at the University today to give an examination. However, this answer does not work very satisfactorily. A well-known example of true justifying evidence is the following. Mr. Nogot tells Smith that he owns a Ford and even shows him a deed to that effect. Since Nogot was always reliable and honest, Smith concludes p: “Someone in my office has a Ford”. However, it is false that Nogot has a Ford. He is a compulsive liar and is driving his sister’s Ford. Nevertheless, the conclusion p is true, since there is another person in Smith’s office, Mr. Jones, who really does own a Ford, and Smith does not know that. In this case the evidence is false. However, one needs only to change the evidence a bit, applying an existential generalization, in order to get true evidence, Thus, suppose that Smith uses as justifying evidence for p the statement q: “Someone in my office told me that he has a Ford, showing me a deed to that effect, and up to now has always been reliable and honest with me”. Although the evidence given by statement q is true, this is a Gettier’s case in which Smith has a justified true belief without knowing that someone in his office owns a Ford. In a similar way, it is true that Professor Stone told Mary he would be at the University to give a doctoral exam.

   One could try to refine the no-falsity answer by considering that non-important falsity could be involved in the justifying evidence, though it is difficult to see how we get this. Nonetheless, the real shortcoming of the non-falsity solution is that it is too coarse-grained. It does not contribute to explaining the difference between wrong justifying evidence (“You are wrong in believing you saw a sheep on the mountain”) and the justification that provides us with a Gettier’s case (“There is indeed a sheep on the mountain behind a stone, but what you in fact saw was only a large furry dog”). Our proposed solution shows the difference: when someone believes he can see a sheep on the mountain, but there is actually no sheep there, the false justification cannot be accepted in E*p, because there is no E*p. But if someone believes he can see a sheep when he is really only seeing a furry dog, even though there is indeed a sheep there, the false justification cannot be accepted in E*p in a case where there is E*p.

   A more interesting solution is that we need to add a fourth condition, namely, that the justification must have no defeater (Lehrer 1965). The defeater of the justification in our first given example was the fact that the children of Professor Stone are in the hospital in a critical state and he decided to cancel his activities at the university in order to be there. However, the non-defeater condition is also insufficient, since any defeater can also be defeated. For instance, suppose that the information regarding Professor Stone is mistaken. Suppose it really applies, but to another professor also called Stone, a botany professor from the department of biology in the next building, who also is scheduled to give a Ph.D. examination today and has in fact cancelled his activities in order to remain in the hospital. Concerning the Professor Stone meant by Mary, he is actually in the department giving a Ph.D. exam. In this case, the knowledge-evaluator will accept Mary’s claim of knowing that Professor Stone is at the University now. This defeating of defeaters by new defeaters can in principle continue indefinitely. In conclusion: Mary would have to know all the truth in order to neutralize any possible defeater. Even in a case where there were no defeater, she could only neutralize the possibility of a defeater if she knew all truths.

   Keith Lehrer and Thomas Paxon (1969) tried to emend the no defeater definition by defining knowledge as completely justified undefeated true belief. The only way to explain a completely justified true belief, however, is to see it as a belief that is ultimately undefeated relative to the set of all truths (Pollock 1986). Yet, this means that in order to know p, the knower must know all truths! Omniscience is not, however, a human attribute. And this means that by taking this approach we cannot reach a plausible solution to Gettier’s problem. The non-defeater solution solves Gettier’s problem only by creating a greater one.

   A very different attempt to solve Gettier’s problem was to replace the condition of justification with the condition of appropriate causal connection suggested by Alvin Goldman (1967). The intuition was clear: I know, for instance, that Emperor Nero killed his mother because there is some appropriate causal chain that begins with a fact and ends in my writing this sentence. I know there must be a causal chain because I know that the facts of the world and our consciousness of these facts must be causally related, even if I am only aware of some few links of those causal chains. To see how it works against Gettier’s counter-examples, consider again Mr. Nogot’s counter-example. He says he is the owner of a Ford. But since he has no Ford, this cannot be the cause of the knowledge that he is the owner of a Ford. The real cause of this knowledge should be the fact that Mr. Jones, also employed in Smith’s firm, is the owner of a Ford. If Smith has made the existential generalization based on the fact that Jones has told him that he has a Ford, we would agree that he knows.

   In this article Goldman manages to show that some kind of causal connection is present in all cases of knowledge. This seems plausible. But even if we admit its existence, there are serious problems with his solution: there seems to be something wrong in divorcing knowledge from the cognitive procedure of justification. More specifically, it seems that we cannot find the links belonging to the appropriate causal chain without first knowing the justifying procedure. Because Smith knows that the justification for his knowledge that an employee in his firm owns a Ford is based upon the fact that Mr. Jones told him he has a Ford, and we know that there is a correct causal connection between Mr. Jones’ claim of knowledge and the fact that Mr. Jones has a Ford and not the other way around. In other words, putting the causal process before the justification is putting the cart before the horse, since it is through the procedure of justification that we can find the corresponding causal process. This is also valid for supposed external justifications: it is because we know that there are many possible justifications for my knowing that George Washington was the first president of USA. Although I cannot remember when and where I learned this, I know that there is an appropriate causal chain between this fact and my knowing and not the other way around. Even if Goldman has shown us that there is no knowledge without appropriate causal connections, and that the appropriate causal connections are pointed out by the adequate justification, to put causal connections in the place of justification is to fall into a petitio principii.

   Goldman rejected his causal theory ten years later, influenced by the perceptual counter-example of Gettier’s type of the barn façades (Ginet, 1975) that we have already considered, in which Carol really sees a barn that luckily is the only real barn in a region of seemingly real barn façades, a reason why her justification cannot be accepted. This example seems to run against Goldman’s causal theory. Carol’s belief that the barn-like structure is a real barn seems to be normally caused by the presence of the barn in a normal perceptual process. Consequently, according to the causal theory Carol should know that she was seeing a real barn.

   Goldman’s response was to develop the new theory of justification in terms of reliability that we have already discussed, a theory that requires that a justified true belief must be produced by a reliable causal cognitive process defined as an empirical mechanism that makes the truth probable. Goldman also expects in this way to answer Gettier’s problem. To the reliabilist understanding of justification, the barn-facades are located in an unreliable environment regarding the distinction between real barns and mere barn façades. This Gettier’s case is not one of knowledge because Carol’s belief that she is seeing a real barn can be demonstrated as unreliable. To be reliable, the barn-case demands the exclusion of relevant alternatives. One of them is that it is not a barn façade, which is left unconsidered. Hence, Carol’s justification is not knowledge-producing, because it is unreliable (Goldman, 1988: 63).

   To this response, we can object that changing our justifying evidence by means of process reliability does not seem to bring any real improvement, since in any case (also in the causal theory) one could say that because of the special environment the knowledge evaluator should demand a careful examination of all sides of the barn, even its interior… in order accept Carol’s knowledge-claim that it is a real barn to Smart’s E*p, excluding the alternative of a barn façade.

   Moreover, Goldman’s process-reliability explanation of justification, as much as his causal theory, is open to the same objections presented against the non-defeasibility view of justification: in order to know p, one needs to know that the reliable process cannot be defeated by another reliable process, and in order to know that it cannot be defeated, one would need to exclude all possible defeaters and defeaters of defeaters, that is… one needs to have omniscience. Our answer to Gettier’s problem solves this problem neatly: the required extended knowledge remains within the extension of the informational set of the knowledge-evaluator which constitutes his body of acceptable evidence E*p.

   An attempt to define knowledge that is similar to Goldman’s is Robert Nozick’s tracking theory. According to Nozick, if someone is able to track correctly the truth of a proposition p, this person knows that p is true. The way to find the right track is the satisfaction of two subjunctive conditionals:

 

(i)             if p were not true, a would not believe in p;

(ii)           if p were true, a would believe in p.

 

In fact, under the circumstances of our Gettierian case, if Professor Stone were not at the University, Mary would still believe he was there, conflating against the subjunctive conditional (i).

   However, considering (i), how do we know that if Professor Stone were not at the University, Mary would still believe he was there? The reason is given by the perspectival definition: Assuming that Carl (s) accepts the evidence given by Mary (a) as making p true, namely, that for Carl Mary knows p, then if p were not accepted by Carl as true, Mary would not believe in p in a way that makes her know p. Moreover, assuming that for Mary knowing p, p being true for Carl, it is to be expected that Mary would believe in p.

 

 

 

III.

JUSTIFICATIONAL EVIDENCE

 

 

Spring over the problems is not the same as solving them.

Joseph Bengali

 

We have used the expression ‘justifying evidence’ without further explanation. But what is the nature of epistemic justification? There are today two main competing theories: reliabilism [38] and evidentialism [39]. Evidentialism emerged in the eighties, in declared opposition to reliabilism. In what follows, I will present some arguments favouring a liberal form of evidentialism and showing that, though reliability theories alone are unsustainable, some form of reliability is an indispensable element in a justificational process. Evidences must be reliable and the process by means of which evidences determine justified belief must be reliable. Before coming to this conclusion, I will try to make a fair summary of each theory.

 

1. Evidentialism

Evidentialism is the view endorsed by the philosophical tradition. It is intuitive, since it seems that there is no justification without some kind of evidence. Evidence and justification seem to be rather twin concepts, internally related in the sense that the bearers of these concepts would not be what they are without this relation, as much as a wife cannot be a wife unless suitably related with her husband. Evidentialism can be summarily defined as follows:[40]

 

[EJ] An epistemic agent a is justified in believing that p in time t iff the evidence E that a has for p supports his belief in p, and his belief is determined by this support.

 

Richard Feldman and Earl Connee noted that evidence is necessary to justify belief, suspension of belief, and disbelief. For them, evidence can be any information relevant for the truth or falsity of a proposition. This information can be provided by beliefs that are used as evidence for other beliefs or simply by experiences that are direct evidence for beliefs. Thus, my evidence for the belief that my car is at the university can be my visual memory of having left the car in a parking lot, which is another belief. But my evidence that I am seeing my car in front of me should be simply be the experience of perceiving my car in front of me. For these authors, evidences must be mental states in the believer’s mind, even if he is unable to have introspective awareness of them. This means that their theory is internalist, since internalism requires that the justification of a belief is after all internal to the believer. Important in [EJ] is the support relation. Evidence must be able to support the belief corresponding to it, giving to it a probability higher than 0.5 (which, as we saw, in the case of epistemic certainty should be near or equal to 1.0). A final point is that we need to distinguish at least three kinds of evidence: (i) evidence that is ‘before our minds’ (I am seeing the blue sky), (ii) evidence that is stored in memory, but that is able to be actualized when necessary as a way to support the belief (I remember where I left the keys), (iii) evidence that is stored in memory, but that is unable to be actualized, though able to determine the belief (I believe this is the right path).

 

2. Goldman’s process reliabilism

Consider now reliabilism. The most successful reliabilist theory to date is Alving Goldman’s process-reliabilism. According to him, all that a justified belief must have is to be produced by a reliable causal cognitive process, which can be defined as an empirical mechanism that makes the truth of the belief probable, that is, with a probability higher than 0.5. Considering that empirical justifications can usually be defeated or overridden by other competing reliable cognitive processes, Goldman defined justified belief in a broad way as[41]:

 

(RG) The belief of a in p in t is justified iff it is (i) causally produced by a reliable cognitive process, and (ii) there is no reliable cognitive process accessible to a so that if applied it would result in the negation of a’s belief in p.

 

Goldman adds that there are conditional and non-conditional reliabilist processes. Conditional reliabilist processes have beliefs as inputs and beliefs as outputs (these output beliefs are what we used to call non-basic beliefs). Non-conditional reliable processes are those that have experiences as inputs and beliefs as outputs (these output beliefs are what we used to call basic beliefs).

   Goldman’s reliabilist theory of justification is externalist, which means that the believer does not need to be able to have any awareness of the reliable causal process that leads to his belief. Some of his examples show the appeal of his theory. Consider one of them: Mary reads in a magazine called Gossip that her favorite Hollywood couple is divorcing[42]. After one week she still thinks that her favorite couple will divorce, but she has forgotten where she has learned this. However, since this process of belief acquiring and belief retention is reliable, Mary is justified in her belief that the couple will divorce. Another example: Goldman reliably knows that Lincoln was born in 1808, but he does not need to be able to justify this knowledge. Indeed, we all know a lot without remembering the evidential sources: things like telephone numbers, passwords, historical dates, equations, melodies. The evidential sources can be completely forgotten. Moreover, animals and small children know a lot, but they would not be able to justify, even for themselves, their knowledge. It seems that a reliabilist theory of justification has the advantage of demanding only the existence of those reliable cognitive processes that lead to these different instances of knowledge, without demanding any actual or possible introspective evidential access. This is why reliabilism is an externalist theory of epistemic justification. Even if evidences are internally often accessible, what really matters is the reliable causal process that originated the belief, even if this causal process is only externally accessible. This is the case of Mary. She knows about the impending divorce, which can be acknowledged by a third party. But its evidential origin she has completely forgotten.

 

3. Defending an inclusive form of evidentialism

There is something wanting in Goldman’s vague appeal to process-reliabilism. Of course, there must be a reliable process from input-experience to output-belief or from input-belief to output-belief. But although this process is an element of the justification it is not all that accounts for the justification of a belief. Clearly there must be added justificatory evidence. It is so, not only because the justification and evidence are, as it was beforehand noted, twin-terms, but because even in the reliabilist most convincing examples of process-without-evidence, it is always possible to find the evidence lurking somewhere.

   In order to convince you that this is the case we need to analyze more carefully the examples. Consider, first, the case of Mary. What is the evidence she has that her favorite Hollywood couple is divorcing? It is not the memory, since she has lost any memory of having read something about that. This can be well the process that has reliably brought her to this belief, but it is not the evidence. However, she has evidence. She knows that a strong belief like that does not pops out from nothing. She must have heard or read this somewhere. That is, the evidence is in the circumstances: she knows that, considering that she is in a normal awaken state, always that she has a strong belief like that, this belief must be probably true; moreover, this belief must be reliably caused, even if she has forgotten the source. Other similar examples can make this point clearer. I inductively know that the fixed memories of my telephone number, my password, or of an historical date. I know that Cabral discovered Brazil in 1500. But the evidential source of this in my childhood is probably completely forgotten. This would serve as an argument only against a naïve form of evidentialism that insists in searching the evidence in a past causal source. If questioned about the evidences for my firm belief that Cabral discovered Brazil in 1500, I would appeal to the facts that in normal conditions any person who had learned some history of the country would be able to remember correctly, what is assured by the fact that others knowledge agents in similar conditions would confirm my belief. This is the evidence, what also shows that the evidential history does not need to be straightforwardly the causal history. But it could be. A school-child who have learned about the history of the discovery of Brazil yesterday would give as evidence what the professor has told them. Another example: I remember that my telephone number in Rio de Janeiro thirty years ago was 2250016, even if it is impossible for me to check this old number or find someone who also knows or to remember the moment I memorized the number. Probably I have completely forgotten it. Nonetheless, I am sure that I know the number. But why? What is the evidence? The evidence is not in the past, but well placed in the present. I am able to remember the number of my telephone because it has the property of returning to my memory always when I try to call it up. I know all these things because I have already checked the truthfulness of my memory numerous times in objective (potentially intersubjective) ways, for example, storing the password in my computer, or recalling correctly to other historical dates, writing down my old telephone, and this is a kind of experience often subject to interpersonal checks. These are my justifying evidences, which in these cases are not the causal sources, even if by reflection I am sure that they have had reliable causal sources. Moreover, once one begins to fail in such checks, e.g. because of Alzheimer, they cease to be considered justified, since they cease to cope reliable with the reality. All these things can be presented as evidence for the trustworthiness of memorized information, without the need for the resource to historical sources of justification.

  There are also many cases of knowledge in which the agent isn’t able to give any justification at all, but that are behaviorally recognized as cases of knowledge by a third person. For instance, I know that a child is able to identify her mother’s face, because the child always smiles as she approaches, and I know that a dog senses that his owner is arriving because he hears the sound of the car and he runs to the front door. These behaviors are complex evidence that we arrive at as a third person by means of reliable evidence that gives us real beliefs producing verifiable behaviors by ourselves and consequently by children and animals. Consequently, these behaviors are also complex evidence by analogy that the baby and the dog have mental states that work for them as evidence like ours, which like ours justify their beliefs. The baby recognizes the visual evidence of her mother’s face, and the dog applies the evidence of the sound of the car as the inductive warrant of the arrival of his owner. These are actual reasons for their beliefs. The point buried in the discussion is that it is by means of third person (internal) reconstruction of internalist justifying evidence of others that we conclude that they know, even if they are unable to be reflexively aware of what they are really doing. Internal justifying evidence or evidence of evidence comes first.

   Another case is that of Sam.[43] He thinks that affirmative actions are not just, because they do not give the place that one rightly deserves. But this is a rationalization. The reason why he is against affirmative actions is that he was prevented to enter in the university because of them. It seems that the justification for the falsity of Sam’s affirmation is given externally, by us, while his own justification is flawed. However, the answer can be doubled. Sam gives an internal justification that for him is a good one. We, knowing more about Sam, are able to give the true unconscious justification that lead to Sam’s badly justified opinion. But although we get this in third person, the badly justified opinion of Sam is completely internal. Moreover, Sam could in principle have internal access to it. The whole deal of psychoanalysis is nothing more than an attempt to give the people access to the true justifications of their beliefs and actions.

   Consider, finally, the following intriguing case. Henry loves meat and always eats all kinds of meat when he goes to a restaurant. One day by mistake he enters a vegetarian restaurant called ‘Food for Thought’, and when he asks for meat the waiter tells him that the last thing they would do in this restaurant would be to serve meat. Upset, he leaves the restaurant. Many years later he receives a call from a friend inviting him to have dinner in a beautiful restaurant called ‘Food for Thought’. Although he had this incident stored in his long-term memory, he fails to recall the name of the restaurant and, based on his knowledge of the fact that most restaurants serve meat, he immediately agrees. Later, informed that it is a vegetarian restaurant, he remembers the incident and rejects the choice. At first view, it seems that there is a problem for the evidentialist here. Henry should already in the beginning reject the invitation, since he has evidence that it is a vegetarian restaurant in his long-term memory. However, I think the change of attitude only shows the diversity and limits of the relevant justifying evidence. At first, the knowledge that most restaurants serve meat was evidence for the view that ‘Food for Thought’ would serve meat. Later, the information that ‘Food for Thought’ was a vegetarian restaurant triggered Henry’s memory of the earlier mistake, which now serves as the justifying evidence for the conclusion that this is the wrong restaurant for him. The example speaks for access evidentialism under the possibility (iii), since it demands that the unconscious evidence determines the belief. Only after the unconscious evidence determined the belief San was justified in thinking that this was the wrong restaurant for him.

   I can justify my point further, turning on its head one example often used by reliabilists against internalists. The example is the following: suppose I am a brain-in-a-vat with my afferent and efferent nerves linked to a super-computer on the planet Omega, and that the program of this super-computer gives me the impression that I am looking at this screen now. The internalist justification, they say, fails, because the evidence is a kind of forgery: I am not writing a real sentence in a notebook in a room situated in a city on a planet called Earth. The only way to show that this internalist justification fails, they say, is externalist. People from the planet Omega, for example, the programmers of the super-computer, know on external grounds that my justification is based on false evidence, since the evidence is only electronic patterns produced by the program running in the super-computer. The point, however, is the same as above. People from the planet Omega only know that (from their perspective) my justification is inadequate because they have their own internalist justification for their judgments based on their own internal evidence. They know that my evidence is insufficient because they have access to a much larger information set, able to overthrow it. In conclusion: the original mechanism of justification is always internalist. The fact that others can have reasons to reject my justification does not change this state of affairs.

   Reliability is expected in several places. The justificatory evidence must also be reliable. It most cope with external evidence in order to be credible. Moreover, the process from internal evidences to the generation of beliefs must be reliable, as Goldman’s saw. To proove this, we need only re-examine Goldman’s examples from the point of view of what these words are called for. Consider his example of Reginald, adding that r = “This is a chihuahua”, p = “This is a dog”, and q = “This is a mammal”.

 

(i)             p → q

(ii)           q

(iii)         r → p

(iv)         r

 

Provided with this informational set, Reginald concludes p. But he concludes p erroneously, since he justifies his belief in p based on (i) and (ii), namely, by means of the affirmation of the consequent as: “[(p → q) & q] → p”, which is obviously fallacious. Goldman see this as a case of unreliable thinking process. If Reginald were based on (iii) and (iv) to conclude p, using the modus ponens as “[r & (r → p)] → p”, this would be a reliable thinking process.

   Now, if asked for his evidences, what would Reginald answer? He would answer that his evidences for conclusion p (“This is a dog”) were his knowledge of q (“This is a mammal”) and of p → q (“If this is a dog, this is a mammal”) – assuming he would then apply the affirmation of the consequent. Moreover, if his process of thought were the right one, he would give as evidences r (“This is a chihuahua”) and r → p (“If this is a chihuahua, then this is a dog”) – assuming that he would apply the modus ponens. My conclusion is that what Goldman’s example shows that a good justification not only demands the right evidences, but also a reliable reasoning process.

   In fact, for all given examples we can find decisive internal evidence, even if we admit that in the perceptual case these internal evidences should cope with externally given evidences, that is, evidences belonging to the external world and, therefore, able to be interpersonally observed. Indeed, what needs to be reliable is not the causal process through which we form our beliefs – this process must be reliable anyway, assuming our cognitive mechanisms are not in disarray. What we call reliable or not are more often the evidence in itself or the belief. Reliability is not in any relevant way the property of a process, but more properly an intrinsic property of the evidence and, of course, an extrinsic property of its effect, namely, the resulting belief, except when this belief is treated as evidence. A further point is to know what makes the evidence reliable. And here there is a question regarding probabilities again: an internal evidence is reliable when it copes with the external or even internal fact that it is intended to be evidence for. Here is a schema of how things can be:

 

Independent > reliably > evidence  > reliable process > justified

fact                  (causal)     (internal)    (causal)                 belief

 

The causal process from evidence to the final belief has, at least in this case, a minimal importance (if it were a long reasoning, one could give it an importance, but its probability is already decided locally, from case to case). What Goldman does is to emphasize the reliability of the process against the reliability of the evidence: both need to be reliable.

   Reliabilism hides a persistent lack of explanatory power. The role of the input, which we might call justifying evidence, is underscored in this theory. Goldman’s theory focuses on the causal cognitive reliable process but has nothing relevant to tell us about the process. If it is a reasoning process, it can fairly belong to what we call evidence, for instance, when someone makes a mathematical calculation, the evidence for the result extends itself through the whole procedure. Moreover, what we typically call ‘reliable’ is not a psychological process, but own evidence, and it is the evidence that makes the psychological process relevant, insofar as it retains the evidential information (e.g., “I still remember the address”). We say, “Tutankhamun really lived, because we have reliable evidence of his existence”, but we do not say “Tutankhamun existed because there are reliable causal cognitive processes that make probable the belief in his existence”. Even if I do not intend to deny the existence of these causal processes, it is curious that we usually have nothing to say about them when we present a justification. It also seems that it is not by means of a causally reliable process, but rather by means of reliable justifying evidence (that may include a reasoning process) that we measure the probability of a belief. Moreover, there are many causal processes involved, and it is because we are able to detect reliable evidence that we have the thread to find the relevant causal process, and not the other way around.

   I conclude that evidentialism, at least as understood above, is the best way of giving a fundamental role to evidence, and that this evidence must make itself reliable by cognitively causing belief. Evidence and evidential processes work causally, of course. And although they must be internal, in any perceptual case they are only able to be reliable insofar as they are seen as corresponding to external evidence. We can summarize these conclusions in the following definition of justification:

 

[EJ*] An epistemic agent a is personally justified in believing that p in t iff p is for a at t causally supported by some reliable evidence E (which can be another reliable belief or a well-grounded experience), and if there is for a no counter-evidence able to defeat the reliability of E for p in t.

 

Notice that a personally justified belief does not need to be true. It show itself to be false from a non-personal perspective.

 

4. Externalism versus Internalism: a false dichotomy

An epistemic justification is said to be internal when the epistemic agent is able to have cognitive access to the justifying evidence or reasons for the belief in the truth of the proposition. Ideally, the agent must be able to make discursively explicit his justifying evidence. This is the rich standard case around which the more limited cases are aggregated, going further until reaching those borderline cases in which one does not know if the word ‘justification’ is still appropriate. Vagueness inevitably belongs to the semantics of the word.

   This is the case of the Gettierian examples we gave and many others and the justifying evidence was all internal. In what follows however, I will consider some borderline cases, showing that their justification is internal and evidential in the proper sense of these words and, furthermore, that they can serve as justifying evidence for our perspectival definition of knowledge.

   We begin with cases of memories in which the original evidential link has been lost. For instance, how can I justify my belief that my phone number is 035-216? I have a bad memory for numbers. All I can say is that after I repeated this number many times it was finally anchored in my long-term memory. If pressed to produce a justification, I could check my memory, looking again at the note pad where I wrote it down. What about my knowledge of my old telephone number 225-00-16? I have had this number imprinted in my memory for many years. My old telephone is gone now and it is impossible to check it. Nevertheless, I feel myself justified to affirm that this was my telephone many years ago. However, I know by induction that memories that always repeat themselves are usually correct. Moreover, in order to test my memory, I can write it down and later recall it and look to see if the remembered number is the same one I wrote down. Furthermore, the telephone number is associated with surroundings like the old apartment where I lived in Rio de Janeiro, which agrees with my life history. The inductive justifying evidence of such memories is sometimes confirmed. Some days ago there were a quiz on television, where it was asked who was the president who forbade women to wear bikinis on the beach in Brazil? I knew the answer: J. Q. This reinforces my inductive belief in my old long-term memories. Repetitively confirmed induction is the evidence that justifies our belief in our long-term memories. But these are internal reasons, even if they are not the result of direct introspection. Direct introspection is the case when I justify that my car is at the university because I remember leaving it in the parking lot: the memory of a perceptual experience. My conclusion is that cases in which I remember my password or my telephone number or some historical facts are not really different from the case where I know that my car is at the university. The only difference is that in this last case the introspection of a perceptual memory is what serves as evidence. The fact that once in my childhood I had an introspective memory of the source of my knowledge that America was discovered in 1492 does not change anything. It only serves to confuse our minds by focusing on one kind of evidence, which is causally but not factually necessary.

   There are more difficult cases. It is said that there are persons who can know with relatively great precision the sex of a chick simply by feeling the animal. Closer consideration shows that there are simple physical techniques that can be used to recognize the sex of a chick by feeling it. Even if this requires practice, it already has the character of cognitive (or pre-cognitive) internal justifying evidence, which, like most such evidence, must indicate an external fact.

   Another case is the knowledge we attribute to animals. A dog hears the sound of its owner’s car and runs to the door, where it stands barking. In fact, the dog knows its owner is there, but it does not know reflexively, although we know that it knows. And the justification for our knowing that it knows is through its behavior, added to induction by analogy, considering that the dog is sufficiently similar in behavior to humans able to have cognitions and feelings. This can lead to the mistaken conclusion that the justification is external. Nonetheless, though made from a third person perspective – our own – the justification remains internal, since we are assuming that the dog runs to the door because it has taken as evidence of its owner arriving the sound of his car. Another example, only to explain the point decisively, is a real case:

 

As I was in Germany, I rented a room in a house of a French woman. The owner was a had an intelligent puddle dog. Always, when I went from the supermarket to my home, I brought some food. The nice dog run to me and made all kind of gambols with me, in order to get some meat. As the owner knew that she warned me not to do it, because the dog was allergic to meat. Next two times as I went with food to my room the dog came together, made all kind of gambols, but I gave him only the smallest portion of meat possible. In the third time I came with food to my room. The dog didn’t come. He remained on the stairs barking to me. He was angry. It is as he wished to say: “You will foul me once more!” This was his belief. Based on what? Obviously, inductively based on the evidences that I would not really give him meat. These evidences stocked in his memory were, of course, based on factual evidences.

 

A last example of this kind is that of a child who knows that she is in the presence of her mother. We know this by her smile, by behavioural reactions. We justify this in the third person, knowing by her behaviour that she is justified in believing that she is in the presence of her mother. She evidentially re-identifies her mother’s face and behaviour. Moreover, in both cases, as knowledge-evaluators, we know that if the dog and the baby were able to have reflexive access to their cognitive processes, and could linguistically express what is going on, they would say: “I know that my owner is coming because I hear the sound of his car” and “I know that my mother is with me because I recognize her face”. These justifying pieces of evidence are ones we would immediately accept as able to be included in our justifying body of evidence. We know that they have evidence able to make these propositions true. Still a case to consider is that of generalizations. Scientific laws are the inductive (mainly abductive) results of cumulative experience. But these experiences, though having external counterparts, must as justifying evidence be internally accessible.

   A last but also important case is that of testimony. When we are informed by reasonable and trustworthy people, even if indirectly by means of radio, television, internet, books, or other media, we accept information about things we are unable to actually experience. Nevertheless, the testimonial origin has its own evidential grounds, which are cognitively, that is, internally accessed. We only borrow the results, which still makes justification an essentially cognitive phenomenon. These non-actual third person pieces of evidence can also be accepted or rejected as belonging to our body of evidence as knowledge-evaluators in conformity with the perspectival definition of knowledge exposed in the last chapter.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

IV

JUSTIFICATIONAL WEB

 

 

Justification and truth are more intimately connected than we can think at first view. We have found a way to solve Gettier’s problem that saves the old definition of knowledge as justified true belief, uncovering unsuspected complexities buried in an apparently simple formal definition. We already know enough about epistemic beliefs to deal with the concept of belief in the definition. But we still do not know enough about justification and truth in their relation to the system of beliefs and factual experience. There is an utterly curious parallelism between these two concepts: The two main theories of justification are coherentism and foundationalism. The two main theories of truth are coherentism and correspondentialism. Correspondentialism seems to have similarities with foundationalism. Justification is grounded on the so-called ‘justifiers’, which according to foundationalism are understood as evidences. Truth, in the correspondence theory is grounded on ‘truth-makers’, which can be seen (pace Strawson) as facts in the world. This parallel is neatly reflected in our justifying evidences E for the truth of p for a in t, and the conditions of justifying evidences E*p that s must have for p in our proposed perspectival definition of knowledge. The suggestion is clear:

 

Working-Hypothesis:

The process of truth-making and the process of justification-making are in themselves the same. What changes is only their place in our collective epistemic workspace.

 

In other words, what we use to call justification is a particularized process by means of which a knowledge-claimer arrives to what he believes to be the truth. What we call the process of truth-making (a verifiability process) is the process by means of which the knowledge-evaluator arrives to what he (normally not only he or she, but a society of ideas belonging to a culture) believes to be the truth; this is a generalizable process, at least from the perspective of the culture taken as reference. The first justifiability process can be true or false relatively to the results achieved by the second one. The second process, the process of truth-making, is always accepted as producing a true statement, at least at the time of evaluation of the first one. Nonetheless, what we have are the same kind-processes with different names. Different names because these same processes have a different place in the collective epistemic workspace.

   In order to strength our working hypothesis, I will proceed systematically, beginning by exposing the coherence theory of justification and comparing it with the coherence theory of truth; then exposing the foundationalist theory of justification and comparing it with the correspondence theory of truth. These comparisons should confirm the supposed views

 

1. The structure of justification

Children sometimes bore adults reiteratively asking “why?”, until the adult does not know what to answer or simply loses the patience. Without realizing, the child is touching on an old problem of epistemology: the problem of justification. We see that there are chains of justification. Belief p1 is justified by belief p2, which can be justified by belief p3… Assuming that we are not sceptics who reject the possibility of justification, the question is: what is the ultimate form of these chains? Excluding scepticism, there are traditionally four possible alternatives:

 

1.    Infinitism: The chain of justifications is infinite.

2.    Decisionism: The chain of justifications ends up in a non-justified belief.

3.    Coherentism: The chain of justifications is circular.

4.    Foundationalism: The chain of justifications ends up in basic beliefs.

 

The alternatives (1) and (2) (infinitism and decisionism) are implausible. Infinitism seems to be impossible, not because we cannot entertain a potential infinitude of beliefs (e.g., we know that the series of natural numbers is infinite), but because we will not be able to end any potentially infinite chain of reasons. Decisionism is arbitrary; one does not wins a discussion simply by deciding to stop arguing. Alternatives (3) and (4) (coherentism and foundationalism) deserve a more serious consideration. According to coherentism, what produces justification is nothing but the coherence between different beliefs in a system of beliefs. According to foundationalism, our beliefs are ultimately justified by basic beliefs, which are not properly justified by any other belief, but are in some way immediately justified. There are several forms of coherentism and foundationalism. I will begin by considering the so-called classical foundationalism.

 

2. Classical foundationalism

Classical foundationalism was historically defended by Descartes and championed in the XX century mainly by C. I. Lewis. In what follows will be presented what I think to be a fair general exposition of classical foundationalism. It can be defined as follows:

 

Classical foundationalism (Df.) = the theory of justification according to which the non-basic beliefs are all in the end deductively justified by basic, immediately justified beliefs, which are infallibly true.

 

The distinctive point is that according to classical foundationalism, basic beliefs are infallible in the sense that by having them we cannot be mistaken about their truth. The reason for this assumption is that it seems the surest way to stop the regression. If the basic belief were not warranted as true, it could be false. If the basic belief were false, it would demand a more basic belief to show its falsity. However, since this last basic belief would also not be warranted, there would be a regression of unwarranted basic beliefs.

   Now, which would be the candidates to basic, non-inferentially grounded beliefs? The answer is that they would be the beliefs about what looks like. For instance: “I seem to see a book before me”. If I think this, I am not affirming the that I am seen a real book before me, but that it is being given to me at least the appearance of a book. According to the classical foundationalism, these appearances or phenomena are indubitable: we cannot be mistaken about them. Basic would be sensory beliefs and all kinds of contents of our own minds like our beliefs about sounds, tastes and smells. Also beliefs about elementary logic-conceptual truths, like the belief in the principles of identity and non-contradiction would be basic.

 

2. Objections  

A first objection against classical foundationalism is the difficulty to derive our beliefs about the external world from our basic knowledge of appearances. Most of our beliefs are about the external world, and it does not seem easy to explain how from the supposed basic belief that I seem to see my hands now that I can gain the non-basic belief that I am really seeing my hands. On the contrary, the direction seems in this case to be the opposite one. Because I believe to see my hands, I come to the belief that I have the internal sensorial impression of seeing my hands. It seems implausible to think that our beliefs on the external world are grounded on beliefs about our inner states.

   A more obvious problem with the classical foundationalism is that we are not infallible regarding our knowledge of our own mental states. They are not really as indubitable as traditional philosophers have considered. It isn’t difficult to find counterexamples. We can easily be mistaken about our feelings. In Shakespeare’s piece A and B believe to hate one another, but in fact they loved one another. But we can be mistaken also about our sensations. A child with too much fear in the chair of the dentistry believes to feel pain when in fact she is feeling only the friction of the brook on his tooth. Persons who are hypnotised can be induced to believe they are feeling terrible pain. The classical foundationalist can answer that these people are really feeling pain, because pain is what we think we feel in the moment we feel. But we have external reasons to believe that the feeling, if there was, was not really a feeling of pain. Hence, it seems that we can always be wrong about phenomenal states and that the classical foundationalist cannot sustain his thesis.

   A final problem with the classical foundationalism resides in the idea that the justification is always deductive. Our formal conclusions are deductively arrived at. But our knowledge about the external world is the result of empirical experience and consequently essentially inductive. Classical fundationalism is implausible. 

  

3. Coherentism

Since classical foundationalism does not work, we will now consider the coherentist alternative. We can summarize the coherentist view in the following definition:

 

Coherentism (Df.) = The theory of justification according to which every belief is justified only in virtue of its relations to other beliefs.

 

 

According to coherentism, our system of beliefs builds a complex web of beliefs that reinforce one another. Since only beliefs can justify other beliefs, there is no basic belief. The justified beliefs are those that increase the coherence of the belief-system as a whole, while the non-justified beliefs are those that decrease the belief-system as a whole. Imagine, for instance, the following very small system of beliefs A:

 

1.    It is raining very heavily the whole day.

2.    Cars are moving with the lights on.

3.    The river was full.

4.    The airport was closed.

 

Consider the statement (4) “people are using umbrellas on the streets”. If we add the belief in (4) to the above system we increase the coherence of the whole system. Hence (4) is more probably true. Now, consider the following statement: (5) “The sky was entirely blue”. Confronted with the belief-system A, this belief diminishes the coherence of the system. Consequently, (5) is unjustified. Of course, A is a sub-system (It is a problem for the coherentist to determine the extent in which a belief must be measured against a sub-system or against the whole system of beliefs sustained).

   Another question concerns who sustains the whole system: a person or a group or community of persons? It seems that a public system of beliefs is more trustful than a system of beliefs held by only one person and that when we appeal to justification we assume that either is this justification public acceptable or able to be made publicly acceptable.

  One important problem concerns the nature of coherence. Coherence demands consistence. A set of beliefs is consistent when it is possible that all its beliefs are true. A set of beliefs of the form {p, ~p} is obviously inconsistent because the conjunction p & ~p is contradictory: both cannot be true. It has been noticed that our system of beliefs is not fully consistent. This must be true, since we are surelly not fully rational beings. But if our system of beliefs were openly inconsistent, it could not be coherent. Although a sufficient measure of consistence is necessary, it is obviously insufficient to define coherence. The set of beliefs {Sweden is a country, Water is made of H2O, 4 + 4 = 8} is consistent, since all these beliefs can be true without interfere with the truth-value of others, but is not coherent. Indeed, any set of completely unrelated beliefs is consistent. On the other hand, the set {It is raining very heavily, the sky is grey, the cars are moving with the lights on, the airport is closed} is not only consistent, but also coherent. What is the source of the difference? The answer isn’t difficult: these statements are all inferentially associated one another.

   If someone saw that today is raining heavily, this makes more probable to found people using umbrellas. If the streets are all wet, this makes more probable that it is raining… These statements reinforce inductively one another, leading to the very probable any of these beliefs. Based on this we can define coherence as a property of a system of belief as follows:

 

A system of beliefs is coherent insofar as the beliefs compounding it are associated in ways in which they give inferential support one another.

  

A coherentist can suggest that the beliefs belonging to a system of beliefs deductively or inductively in some measure increase the coherence of a system of beliefs, while the system of beliefs deductively or inductively increases the probability of its individual beliefs.

 

4. Objections

There are two objections against coherentism that are always addressed: the objection of alternative systems and the objection of isolation. The first can be in my view circumvented, the second not.

   Consider, first, the objection of alternative systems. There are numerous alternative coherent systems. If this is so, then we can take any arbitrary belief and make it justified as far as we place it in a belief-system in which this belief increases the coherence. For instance, “Dorothy’s house landed in the Munchkinland”. Outside any context this statement makes no sense and have no justification. But in the The Wisard of Oz history, this sentence not only makes sense, but it is justified not only by the tornado that has lifted her house to a journey until this place of the magical Land of Oz, but also by many other fictional facts. Inserted in the context of the story this imaginary belief is inferentially attached to the whole while the whole inferentially reassures it.

    One solution is to consider that we cannot really have two incommensurable systems. The Wisard of Oz is a story imagined by Frank Baum, a person who lived in the real world. Since we have a system of beliefs representing the real world, and the story was created by a person belonging to this real world, The Wisard of Oz is a meta-system of imaginary beliefs produced in the dependence of what we call the real world. The same could be said to any imaginary system of beliefs. We could then distinguish in the totality of the belief systems a belief system that could be called the belief-system of reality, in relation to which any fictional system would be dependent. The number of fictional belief-systems that the belief-system of reality can produce is uncountable, but the beliefs belonging to them are imaginary beliefs and not true beliefs, what considerably limits what we can accept as a coherent real belief. It is true that the belief-system of reality can change in the space and time, according to cultural and historical changes. The system of reality of the European Middle Age was different from ours. Thus, it is correct to say that a justification is made within a belief-system of reality, although it is questionable the idea that different systems of reality cannot be compared one another. The present belief-system of reality as a whole contains enduring rests of the belief-system of reality of the Middle Ages, together with its own partial systems of beliefs. This allow us to address the objection of alternative systems: they are all anchored in our belief-system of reality. And even if you have different belief-systems of reality in different times and places (for example, the belief system of a community totally isolated from our civilization), they are not only to a great extent similar, but also not completely incommensurable in their differences. If this argument is reasonable, then we can build the following diagram:

 

     The system of all systems:

     B. The imaginary or fictional or false systems

     A. The system of reality (as it is presently conceived by us).

 

Note that the system of reality is also subdivided in a multiplicity of sub-systems, though the broadest ones are the system of our ordinary beliefs and the system of scientific beliefs.

   The second and serious objection is that of isolation. If only beliefs justify beliefs, as the coherentist claims, then we cannot distinguish a set of beliefs that corresponds to the reality from a set of beliefs in which one or even all beliefs do not correspond to the reality.

   It is easy to conceive examples. Richard Feldman (2003: 68-69) imagined the following case. There is a small, physically weak, but too imaginative philosopher called Feldman who has a great admiration to the strong two meters high basketball player Magic Johnson. Now, when he teaches epistemology, although he gives a good speech (for the students), the whole time he thinks he is Magic Feldman, playing basketball. Each new sentence is for him a new movement in the quad. When he finishes an argument (for the students) he launched the ball in the sac. Since he interpret the reactions of the students as movements of the other baseball players, all that occurs for him is coherent. However, from the point of view of the students, what is going on is completely different. There is a complete mismatch between the system of beliefs of Magic Feldman and what he is doing as a professor. Since his beliefs from a coherent whole, they should be true. However, they are false and the coherentist is unable to explain why.

   A coherentist attempt to answer this objection would be once again to consider the whole system of beliefs. If you consider the whole system of reality you must consider the beliefs of the students who are watching the speech and compare it with Magic Feldman’s belief that he is playing basketball. In the end it will be clear that Magic Feldman’s beliefs do not fit (or fit negatively) with the whole system of reality, which must be a public system of beliefs. We should see that his beliefs are effects of hallucination. Thus, maybe it is not so easy to catch the coherentist.

   Another example illustrating the same point is the following. Irma always comes Saturday. She said to Carl she would come Saturday. Carl knows that she works Friday. But unexpectedly Carl sees her in front of her door this Friday evening. Now, if Carl is a coherentist, should he not believe that Irma is not in front of his door now, since this belief is incoherent with several other equally coherent beliefs, like the fact that she always comes Saturday, has called him Thursday saying she would come Saturday, that she works on Friday, etc.? The coherentist lack the resources to explain the observation of the emergence of the unexpected.

   Finally, there is the case of two twins that claim to have a terrible headache, feeling bad, and having a bad day (see Sosa 1980). But only the first twin has these things. Since both have coherent beliefs, for the coherentist must be true that both have headache, while for the foundationalist only the first twin has headache. The coherentist should look at the secondary evidences in the system of reality able to show the difference.

   My conclusion is that the objection of isolation isn’t the most decisive. The fatal objection, however, is still to come. It is simply, as we will see, that there is no evidence that coherence alone has any justifiability power. Coherence can be linear or holistic. In the linear form we can have a belief B1 that is justified by belief B2… until belief Bn, which is justified by B1. This is clearly circular, as in the case in which someone justifies his believe in God by saying that he believes in the Bible, and justifies his belief in the Bible by saying that he is religious, and justifies his religiosity by saying that he believes in God. In the holistic kind of coherence, the credibility of a particular belief is reciprocally and multi-directionally supported by the complete system of beliefs (Bosanquet 1920). One can compare this case with the kind of support offered by and to each letter in a crossword puzzle. The above given example can be interpreted as exemplifying the holistic system. In this case, belief B1 is justified by B2, which is justified by B3, which is justified again by B1. But we can add that B2 is also justified by B1, that B3 is also justified by B1, and that B2 is also justified by B3. Putting this in words, the person says that she believes in the Bible because she believes in God, that she has religion because she believes in God and that she believes in the Bible because she believes in God. This symmetric and reciproque support, however, does not seem to contribute to increase the truth of any particular belief. It only makes the circularity more complicated (Huemer 2010: 25).

   In order to make this point clear, imagine a system of beliefs composed only by P1, P2, and P3 serving as premises and C as the conclusion. If the belief-conclusion C is deductively inferred from the premises P1, P2, and P3 in a valid good form, then the premises must be true beliefs. But if P1, PB, P3 and C form a circular system, these premises will only be true if C is already true. The same can be said about the inductive inferences. If P1, P2 and P3 inductively warrant the conclusion C, the induction will only be strong and cogent in the case in which the premises are true, but in a circular system they will need to take this truth also from the conclusion C. It does not mind how complex are such inferences, if they are circular, they will be unable to produce true beliefs.  

   There are, finally, another problem: why the system of reality must have a predominance against the fictional systems? Why are they appendicular to the first one? Why not the opposite? Why, within the system of reality, we tend to believe more in (1) sensory experiences, (2) normal perceptual experiences, (3) truths of logic? The only answer at hand seems to be that the system of reality is the only one that is anchored in the empirical reality by means of its basic beliefs, like sensory experiences, while the other systems lack this property. If this is the case, then we need to appeal to a more sophisticated form of foundationalism to have a better chance to provide the right answers.

 

5. Modest Foundationalism

Comparatively, the most probable theory of justification seems to be a foundationalism that admits mistakes. Is is the so-called modest foundationalism. According to this view, not only internal states of mind can be accepted as basic, but also the external objects of perception, what increases the basis of justification in a more reasonable way.

    Modest foundationalism gives a fair room to fallibilism. The basic beliefs do not need to justify deductively. Normally, what we have are strong inductive justifications. The inductive justification can be enumerative, but they are also frequently inference from the best explanation. When we have a basic belief that is of the same kind of many others already associated with the same non-basic belief, we have a case of enumerative induction. When we have a belief that makes several others very probable, this belief is the result of an inference from the best explanation. Moreover, justified non-basic beliefs can be used to justify new non-basic beliefs further, even if these new non-basic beliefs are not justified by basic beliefs. Finally, it is important to realize that a justification can be defeated by new information. If someone is in a desert and sees a lake, this is a basic belief until the moment in which she perceives that there are counter-evidences showing that this is only a fata-morgana. We can define modest foundationalism as follows:

 

MF (Df) Non-basic beliefs are in the end justified by basic beliefs deductively and/or inductively, insofar as these justifications are not defeated by other beliefs.  

 

In this way, what we have is a kind of pyramid settled on a large basis of basic beliefs.

    It is important to find criteria to distinguish the basic belief from the non-basic ones. Basic beliefs are called self-justifiable. But it is not clear what this means. Maybe it means that it is immediately justified: basic beliefs aren’t properly grounded upon any other belief. We do not have a positive definition of what means immediate justification. But we can say that from the outside we can explain that beginning with external or internal stimuli we have such and such neuronal activation until gradually we reach the proper complexity and sophistication that constitutes a basic belief, while from the inside we simply experience imediaticity. Another criterion is spontaneity. It isn’t sufficient, since a hallucination is also spontaneous, though hallucination is a basic hallucinatory belief, though misleading interpreted. Finally, is seems important to add the appropriate connection to experience (Feldman 2003). Contextual adequacy is important to the identification of the right basic belief. If I enter in my room and face a pink elephant, there must be something wrong with my perception. This includes a point concerning discrimination. It is easy to identify a human face of in front of me; it is not so easy to identify a human face in the darkness.

   A further point is that for a basic belief, though properly grounded on immediate experience, also receives support from others non-basic beliefs. A basic belief isn’t totally independent of others non-basic beliefs, even if these others non-basic beliefs are in the end based on other basic beliefs. Imagine that you are in a hotel in a different country and in the morning you go for a walk in a wood near to your home and you see a small white horse with a horn. It corroborates precisely the image of unicorns you have seen in the books. Your first reaction is to form the basic belief: “this is a unicorn!” However, this is soon disavowed by the remembrance of all that you have learned about horses and the inexistence of true unicorns. Asking about what you have seen, you learn that there is a set of films nearby and they glued a horn in the front of a white pony in order to take some sets of a film on mythology. However, in the interval between the taken they let the animal grazing in the wood. Possessing this information, which is based on other basic beliefs, you will be able to disavowal completely the idea that you could have seen a unicorn. The belief you were seen a unicorn has shown to be contextually inadequate.

   Based on these considerations, we can define a basic belief as follows:

 

A basic belief (Df.) is a belief that is essentially based on immediate experience, which is spontaneous, non-defeated and contextually adequate.

 

Finally, there is a well-known objection against modest foundationalism from Laurence Bonjour that teaches us something. Since basic beliefs must be based on immediate experience, we can ask: are these experiences cognitive or not? Suppose that these experiences are cognitive. In this case, considering that this cognition amounts to another belief, the first belief cannot be considered basic anymore. Now, suppose that the experience producing the basic belief isn’t cognitive at all. Now, in this case the experience isn’t able to ground anything and there is no basic belief.

   The objection is pressing, but not unanswerable. The experience can begin with non-doxastic physiological and physical phenomena that are gradually organized until they are apt to produce a cognitive basic belief. To have the basic experience of seeing a vase of flowers does not requires that the experience that causes this cognition is itself cognitive. It is true that the basic belief can be shown to be false. But in this case it is not through the experience that produced it, but by means of another beliefs that, grounded on new basic beliefs, are able to defeat the first one.

   An important question is how the edifice of knowledge can be build on modest foundationalist foundations. Concerning empirical knowledge, two possibilities comes first to our minds: the phenomenalist and the physicalist ones. According to the phenomenalist, we begin by identifying things like mental sense data and afterwards we learn to distinguish these sense data from the externally given physical things. We could try to apply traditional criteria like the following of natural laws, the possibility of intersubjective access, the greatest intensity of experience and the independence of the will… then we see that the things are not only sense data, but physically real (at least outside sceptical scenarios).[44] According to the physicalist, we begin by directly accessing the physical world. Only later we learn to distinguish those phenomenal things that are cornucopias of the world like (supposedly) the sense data, or that are products of our imagination, since they are not intersubjectively accessible, they do not follow the expected natural laws, they are sometimes dependent of our will, etc. There is, however, a third possibility that I would like to point out here, which breaks with this traditional dichotomy. It is possible that child in the beginning does not distinguish between the internal and the external world, but gradually learn to separate the physical from the psychical, insofar as the physical follows some criteria of third person external reality. In this case the physical and the phenomenal basic beliefs would be gradually distinguished one from the other, building two inter-related foundational pyramids. Genetically they are simultaneously created and interdependent. Nevertheless, we can insist that logically the phenomenal world comes first, since without the phenomenal world the access to the physical world would not be possible.

   Finally, we have yet not explained our most usual justifications: those we give in daily basis, which do not necessarily end in perceptions or sensory appearances or a priori. For instance. A school boy justifies the absence in an exam by bringing a medical certification saying that he was with cold. The school teacher will not need to ask for perceptual evidences. He will be happy with this justification. Now, the way we could have to deal with our usual justification would be to appeal to what Wittgenstein called language-games or practices. A language-game can be roughly defined as any identifiable segment of our language that is constituted by syntactic, semantic and pragmatic rules. Our language can be viewed as an immense cluster of language-games, which vary from simple speech acts to more extensive ones, like the ‘language of history’. Wittgenstein explain this by means of metaphors, like that of a great nebula of language-games in the Brown Book: a massive nebula, the natural language, surrounded by more or less defined language games: the technical languages (1984b: 122). Or, in the more vivid metaphor of the Philosophical Investigations:

 

Our language can be seen as an ancient city: a maze of little streets and squares, of old and new houses, and of houses with addition from various periods; and this is surrounded by a multitude of new boroughs, with straits, regular streets and uniform houses. (1984, sec. 18)

 

 A language-game can have its own basic propositions. These are propositions that cannot be questioned within the games, but that are able to justify moves in the game. Considering justification from this perspective, it turns out to be something highly context-dependent.

   To make this point clear I can appeal to what we could call the game of cardiology. Suppose that in a course of cardiology the professor sustains that aspirin helps to prevent the occurrence of hearth attach. To the question “Why?” he answers “Because Aspirin diminish the formation of atheroma in the walls of the vases. To this answer the student can also ask “why?”, and the answer will be “Because it diminish the frequency of the inflammation in the walls of the vases, which is believed to produce the atheroma. Arriving to this point, the student who understands the game of cardiology will give herself for satisfied without feeling the necessity to ask a new question. She knows that she has touched the soil of the linguistic praxis, what makes unnecessary to deep further, except if the intention were to play another game, for example, the game of the biochemistry.

  The advantage of this kind of contextualist approach is that it makes justice to what we usually do by justifying something. The disadvantage seems to be that this view fragments the unity of the system of beliefs that we saw by considering the phenomenalist and physicalist foundationalism. One can argue, however, that this disadvantage is only apparent. We can choice the kind of justification according to the level of our interest: if it is of our ordinary life, if it is of the deeper physicalist level, or if it is of the deepest level of phenomenalism, supposing that the three are compatible and complementary.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

IV.

 TRUTH AS CORRESPONDENCE

 

There are some reasons that recommend the correspondence theory of truth: it was the chief and practically the only theory of truth in the history of philosophy beginning with Plato’s Sophist, only seriously challenged after Hegel with the coherence theories of truth. One can find it in the dictionaries and it seems common-sensical: truth seems to be simply agreement with reality. Aquinas’ formulation “veritas est adaequatio intellectus et rei” is today more precisely formulated as “Truth is the correspondence between the proposition and the fact”. Hence, we can begin by investigating the three components of this formulation: proposition, fact and correspondence.

   We begin with the concept of proposition or propositional content or thought. It can be defined as what a declarative sentence says, what it cognitively means. This is often called ‘proposition’, something whose only equivalent in the ordinary language is what Frege called ‘the thought’ (der Gedanke), which is an ambiguous word, meaning the psychological occurrence of a thought or thought-content or “thought-in-itself”, abstracted from its spatio-temporal psychological instantiation as an occurrence. The problem is that this “thought-in-itself” seems to be an abstract entity, something like a platonic idea, with all its oddities. In my view, it does not need to be so. We can define the thought-as-proposition or the thought-content as by means of the trope theory, namely, by the consideration of some spatio-temporal occurrence of trope-thought or any other trope-thought that can be seen as belonging to a qualitatively similar type. More precisely:

 

A thought-content (Df.) = any occurrence of trope-thought x or any other occurrences of trope-thought qualitatively identical in type to x, independently of the last occurrences be given in the mind of the epistemic agent who is making this consideration or in the mind of any other epistemic agent.

 

If we consider the proposition in this way the ontological mystery disappears. The occurrences of thought can be seen as mental tropes, that is, spatio-temporally located particulars and there is nothing really abstract in the issue. Of course, this consideration of the occurrence of some thought or any other qualitatively similar occurrence of thought generates an extension, but no epistemic agent is committed to know this extension. The only commitment is with the already mentioned capacity of consideration. The same definition given above serves to contents of beliefs: a thought-as-proposition is the same as a belief-content, insofar the belief-content is considered not as a personal occurrence of a belief-content, but as the consideration of any belief-content x or any other occurrence of a belief-content qualitatively similar to x. This will be relevant to us because shows that by speaking of a verified thought-content we are also speaking of a justified belief-content.

   A propositional content, as well as the belief-content, is also the primary truth-bearer. The reason is that the thought-content is the only thing that has the same permanence as the truth, co-varying with the variation of the truth-value. For instance: “I have headache” expresses a different thought-content according to the person uttering the sentence. The truth-value will remain the same as the thought-content in question and it might change with the chance in the thought-content. On the other hand, sentences like “It is raining now”, “Es regnet”, “Il pleut”, “Chove”… must have the same truth-value although they are morphologically different simply because they express the same propositional- or belief-content.

   One could object that there are many thought-contents that were never thought by anyone, but they are neverthe-less true: consider the case of a world without epistemic agents. A world without epistemic agents would not have thoughts, but it would still have possible thoughts and even possible true thoughts. In other words:

 

A possible thought-content will be true iff any possible occurrence of this thought-content x or any other possible occurrences of a thought-content qualitatively identical to x, independently of the last occurrences be given in the mind of the epistemic agent who is making this consideration or in the mind of any other epistemic agent is true.

 

This means that even if an occurrence of thought does not exist, the possibility of a thought-occurrence might exist and even the possibility of a true thought-occurrence. In this way propositions and their truth-values can go far beyond psychologically and physically limited epistemic agent.

   What about facts? Facts are traditionally understood as combinations of elements, usually contingent ones. P. F. Straw­son suggested that facts are mere ‘pseudo-material correlates of the statement as a whole’ and not something in the world. According to him, empirical facts, unlike events or things, are not spatiotemporally localizable. One reason for this is that the description of a fact usually begins with a that-clause. For instance, I can say ‘the fact that the book is on the table,’ but not ‘the fact of a book on the table,’ although ‘the fact of a book being on the table’ might be in order. Conversely, the description of an event typically lacks a that-clause: I can say ‘the event of a tsunami in Japan,’ but not properly ‘the event that there was a Tsunami in Japan.’

   This distinction was in my judgement an undeserved influential, maybe because they allow philosophers to speak about truth without committing themselves with the problems generated by its relation with a world of empirical facts.

     In what follows I will summarize my key-argument against Strawson’s view, regenerating the idea that empirical facts are correlates of true thoughts, namely, contingent arrangements of elements in the world, as the correspondence theory of truth has held.

     My argument against Strawson’s opposition between facts and events begins by showing that it contains confusion. He treats facts (states of affairs, situations) as opposed to events. However, every event can be called a fact, but not every fact can be called an event. For instance: I can replace ‘the event of the sinking of the Titanic’ with ‘the fact of the sinking of the Titanic,’ but I cannot replace ‘the fact that the White Haus is in Washington’ with ‘the event of the White Haus being in Washington.’ Strawson’s opposition isn’t symmetrical. Now, since events can be called facts, it is more reasonable to consider events as particular kinds of facts than to oppose the two. Thus, my proposal is that the word ‘fact’ is an umbrella term that encompasses situations, states of affairs… as much as events, occurrences, processes… And the reason for this proposal is that we can call all these things facts, but we cannot call them states of affairs or events. Assuming this, we are free to distinguish two great sub-classes of facts:

 

1.  STATIC FACTS: Can be formal or empirical, the latter when clearly located in space and time. As a whole, static facts do not change while they last. Typical of static facts is that the relationships between their components do not as a whole change during the period of their existence. They are truth-makers of a static kind. They are usually called (with different nuances) ‘states,’ ‘situations,’ ‘conditions,’ ‘circumstances,’ ‘states of affairs,’ etc.

2.  DYNAMIC FACTS: These are always empirical. They change while they last. They are defined by changes in the overall relations among their components during their existence, so that they have a beginning, followed by some kind of development that comes to an end. They are truth-makers of a dynamic kind. And usually they are called (with different nuances) ‘events,’ ‘episodes,’ ‘occurrences,’ ‘pro­cesses,’ ‘transformations,’ etc.

 

Examples of static facts are my state of poor health, the situation that I am lying in bed, the circumstance that the airport is closed, the state of affairs that the Mona Lisa is in the Louvre. Examples of dynamic facts are the event of the explosion of a grenade, the occurrence the Twin Tower’s fall, the more extended process of the World War II.

    We are now able to find what seems to be the real reason why we use a that-clause in the description of facts, but not in the description of events. When we speak of dynamic facts, we avoid a that-clause. We can speak about the process of climate change, but not about the process that the climate changes… Differently, static facts are usually (not always) described as beginning with that-clauses. So, I can speak about the state of affairs that my book is on the table or that I am lying on the bed, although I can also speak about the state of affairs of my book being on the table and of my lying on the bed. Hence, that-clauses seem to have the function of excluding dynamic facts as much as to a certain extent emphasizing static facts. The conclusion is that, since the term ‘fact’ can be applied to both cases, it inherits the property of being used indifferently, with or without a that-clause. Indeed, you can say, ‘It is a fact that Mount Vesuvius is located near Naples’ (referring to a state of affairs), as much as ‘It is a fact that Mount Vesuvius has erupted’ (referring to an event).

   The relevant conclusion is that by having the broadest scope, the so often vilipended word ‘fact’ remains the ideal candidate for the role of ultimate truth-maker in a correspondence theory of truth. Facts are indeed the universal truth-makers.

   Now we need to explain what is correspondence. In his Tractatus Wittgenstien suggested that in order to be possible, there must be something common between the representation and what it represents. A photography must share the two-dimensionality spatiality with the three-dimentional photographed thing. If someone sings a melody heard once, the temporality is shared. If we abstract space and time, what remains is the logical structure or logical form. This is the ultimate shareable thing, since logical form is ubiquitous. There must be a possible identity of structure between the thought-content and the fact it represents, and when this identity is present there is correspondence. Thinking in this way Erik Stenius interpreted the Tractatus using the idea of structural isomorphism, which I will understand here as follows. A thought-content A is structurally isomorphic with the fact B iff each element of the thought-content has a biunivocal relationship with each element of the fact. I will give an example: “Peter is the father of Mary and Mary is a dancer”. We can symbolize this as follows: pFm & Dm. If this is true, then there must be a fact with the same structure as it is shown in what follows:

 

 pFm & Dm (thought-content)

 

pFm & Dm (factual content)

 

This is certainly not enough for correspondence, for there are innumerable statements with this same structure, for instance: “The Sainte-Chapelle is near to the Conciergerie, which was a prison.” The logical form is the same. What we need is, consequently, to interpret the symbols. We need to attach to each symbol a rule of interpretation, that is, a criterial rule, linking it biunivocally with the corresponding objects, properties and relations belonging to the possible of actual factual content. In the case of Peter and Mary, we must have a rules of identification that give us the criteria for their identification. In the case of the relation ‘be a father of” we must have rules of application of this relational predicate that give us criteria for the identification of paternity. We can easily think of criterial rules for the identification of Conciergerie and the Sainte-Chapelle, as much as the identification of spatial nearness in the Ille de France. If we have all that, we have the content, the thought-content. What we still do not have are two elements that are external to the structural isomorphism: intentionality and causality. Intentionality because the epistemic agent must intend that the correspondence has a mind-to-world intentional direction of fit. Oppositely, the correspondence must have a world-to-mind causal direction of fit. These are the essentials of the correspondence relation.

   The next point is to find a logical formalization for the identification of truth with the correspondence. Symbolizing proposition as p, the property of being truth as V, and the property of  correspondence as C, we can say the following:

 

(1) V“p” = C“p”

 

An essential point here are the quotation marks. What is under the quotation marks belongs to the object language, while what is outside the quotation marks belongs to a metalanguage, more precisely, to a semantic metalanguage, since it is not referring to the sentence p, but to its content or propositional content. The predications of truth and correspondence are second-order predications or meta-predications. One example to illustrate is the sentence “Themistocles won the battle of Salamine” is a historical statement. Here the ‘…is a historical statement’ is a meta-predicate that has as reference the proposition expressed by the sentence under quotation marks.

   One objection to this identity would be to say that the predicate ‘…is true’ is a monadic predicate, while ‘…corresponds to…’ is a dyadic predicate. This objection loses its point when we remember that monadic predicates are often in fact dyadic predicates. For instance: ‘…is a father’ can be also expressed as ‘…is the father of…). In our case ‘…is true’ can be expressed as the dyadic predicate ‘…is true of the fact that…’. Thus, we can symbolize (1) as:

 

(2)  “p”V“q” = “p”C“q

 

What this means is that the proposition expressed by p is true to the fact q means the same as to say that the proposition expressed by p corresponds to the fact q (I use the underscore ‘_’ to show that the proposition can be also interpreted as a fact. One example to illustrate this is the sentence would be ‘“Themistocles won the battle of Salamine” express the same historical occurrence as the sentence “The battle of Salamine has been won by Themistocles”’.

   Finally, if we think the present kind of correspondence as a verifying procedure, we can introduce the predicate F to symbolize ‘…is verified by the fact that’, as follows:

 

(3) “p”V“q” = “p”F“q

 

Truth, correspondence and verification are in this view all the same, even if by speaking of verification we normally mean a set of distinguishable verifying procedures (always based on correspondence) that can be used to make a proposition true.

   Much more important for our aims here is to consider what I call the pragmatic of the correspondence theory, which can be developed based on some ideas that seem to be originated from Edmund Husserl and which I will introduce it recalling Moritz Schlick’s empiricist understanding of it.

   The idea is that correspondence would be incomplete without its pragmatic or dynamic dimension, which deserves to be explored and cannot be captured by static or formal definitions like the antecedent ones. This is an idea that should not sound strange to those who wish to combine correspondentialism with verificationism. We can begin by considering that very often we can establish an idealized sequence of three or (as I chose) four successive moments, which we may call: (1) suppositional, (2) evidential (3) confrontational and (4) judgmental or conclusive. Together they constitute a very usual form of correspondentialist verification procedure.

   The best way to introduce the idea is by means of examples. Schlick used the example of Le Verrier’s prediction of the planet Neptune’s existence based on orbital perturbations of Saturn: Le Verrier first developed a hypothesis, which was later confirmed by observation, since the contents of both were the same. I next offer a more trivial example. Suppose that it is the rainy season in Northeastern Brazil, where I normally live, and that I ask myself: ‘Will it rain in Natal tomorrow?’ This is a suppositional moment. Now, when tomorrow comes, I open the door of my house and see that, in fact, it is raining heavily outside. This is the second, the evidential moment. Once I do this, I compare my earlier question with the observational evidence that it is in fact raining and see that the content of the question is like the content of my observation. This is the confrontational moment. Finally, considering that these contents are qualitatively identical (in fact, satisfying conditions (i) to (vi) of adequation), I conclude that the thought-content of my earlier hypothesis is true by adequation with the fact that today it is raining in Natal. This is the judgmental or conclusive moment. Now, if instead of seeing rain outside I see a very blue sky, the content of my observation contradicts that of my supposition. Seeing that the content of my observation in this proper context diverges from the content of the supposition, I conclude that p must be false: it is not raining in Natal today.

     Examples like these are common, and an analogous procedure, as we will see, applies to non-perceptual truths. But for now, restricting myself to perceptual judgments, I can say that at least regarding cases like those considered above, we can formulate the following action-schema with four moments:

 

1)  The suppositional moment: what I call ‘supposition’ can be a thesis, a hypothesis, a conjecture, a suspicion, a guess, a question, a doubt... In this first step we ask ourselves whether some thought-content-rule is true, that is, if the verifiability rule that constitutes it is not only imaginatively, but also definitely applicable in its proper context. We can express this as ‘I suppose that p,’ ‘It is possible that p,’ ‘I guess that p,’ ‘Is it the case that p?,’ where p expresses a content that can be perceived. This moment can be formalized as ‘?p’ (call ‘?’ the operator for supposition). This supposition is always made in the context of some linguistic practice.

2)  What follows is the evidential or perceptual moment: the realization of a perceptual experience in an already more or less specified observational context gives us a perceptual content, which may or may not correspond to the content of the supposition.

 

Here we try to verify the truth of the supposition by finding a perceptual content that is identical to the content of the supposition. In the case of observational truths, this step is very simple. We look for an expected adequate perceptually reached content of thought that, in a suitable context, we simply read as a truth-maker (verifier), which can be rendered as ‘I perceive the fact o,’ call it ‘!o’ (where ‘!’ is the evidence operator). Phenomenologists have called this moment registration or fulfillment (Cf. Sokolowski 1974, Ch. 9). As we will see, there can be no question about the truth-value of o: it must be assumed as ‘evidence’ or ‘certainty’. In fact, it must be stipulated as indisputable within the context of the practice, the language game in which it occurs; otherwise we would be daunted by the question of the truth of o! which would also need to be grounded, leading us to an infinite regress. (The ontological problems concerning o! will be discussed only at the end of this chapter.)

 

3)  Confrontational moment: it is the comparison between the sup­posi­tion­al content and the factual content of the perceptual experience which makes possible the verification or falsification of the suppositional content.

 

Here we ask whether the supposition matches the evidential result of the perceptual experience. In the case I considered, I asked myself whether the thought-content-rule of the hypothesis was sufficiently similar to the factual content directly given to me in the perceptual experience (satisfying conditions (i) to (vi) of adequation). In the case of a perceptual experience, the positive answer can be summarized as p = o. As will be better explained and justified later, here also we underscore o as o, so that it can be read as either the thought-content-rule (a proposition) (o) or the actual factual content (presented by o) fulfilling it, which involves an arrangement of external tropical criteria given in the contextually expected sensory experience. If the expected similarity of content between p and o is lacking, we have p o. (In its concrete details it is more complicated: as we already noted, usually the fact presented by o is only partially and aspectually experienced, which does not prevent me from saying, for example, that I see that it is raining all over Natal. Moreover, in practice it is often the case that we must have more than only one perceptual experience and in more than one way...)

 

4)  Judgmental or conclusive moment: Finally, in the case in which p = o, the thought expressed in the supposition will be accepted as true, otherwise it will be rejected as false. When p = o, there is adequation and the conclusion is an affirmative judgment that can be symbolized as ├p. In the case in which p ≠ o, that is, in the absence of the expected adequation, the thought p is false. This can be expressed by the negative judgment symbolized as ├ ~p.

 

Now we can summarize the four steps of this whole verifiability process regarding the discovery of perceptual truths of the simple kind considered above in the following temporal sequence:

 

?p, !o, p = o /├ p

 

This analysis shows that in many cases one finds adequation (particularly as identity of content) between some suppositional e-thought-content-rule ?p (which is only a considered or imagined verifiability rule in its possible application) and some perceptual e-thought-content-rule !o (given by the definitely applied verifiability rule) that within the linguistic practice in which it is stipulated is regarded as indisputable. In other cases, the adequation is only between the supposition and an imagined, non-actualized fact, being therefore distinct from what can be found in the observation. In these cases, the statement must be false.

     It is also worth noting that the standard statement of ├p (a judgment) has the form of the report of an assertion that is settled. However, this assertion can always be questioned again. In this case, new verifying procedures can reconfirm the judgment or detect some inadequacy refuting it in an at least virtually interpersonal way (Cf. Sokolowski 1974, Ch. 9).[45]

     Now, how can we understand the adequation relation as a qualitative identity of content (structural isomorphism, identity of cognitive rules, intentionality…) in terms of the application of verifiability rules? Here is my suggestion. When I first perceive that it is raining in Natal, the indexical phrase ‘now in Natal’ expresses the building and application of an indexical identification rule of a spatiotemporal region to which the predicate ‘…is raining’ is applied. This predicate expresses an ascription rule definitely applicable to the region by the satisfaction of configurations of tropes constituted by the countless drops of water falling from the sky above. This combination of satisfactions gives me the arrangement that constitutes the sub-fact that is the truthmaker which allows me to infer the content building the grounding fact o! that it is raining in (all parts of) Natal today. Now, p = o means that the contents of both e-thought-rules are identical. In more detail, there is an adequation between both e-thought-content-rules or, in still more detail, the identification rule of p has a one-to-one relation with the identification rule of o, the ascription rule of p has a one-to-one relation with the ascription rule of o, the concatenation between the rules of p and of o is the same, there is categorical match, intentionality and causality; p is intended to fit o, and o has a causal direction of fit concerning p, since it makes p true. Consequently, the verifiability e-thought-content rule p adequates to the verifiability e-thought-content rule o, even if in details this can occurs by means of the most diverse sub-factual isomorphic matches of criterial configurations.

      Now one could object: must we have a qualitative identity between p and o? It is true that between the ?p of yesterday and even the ?p that I made to myself as I awakened today and the !o there is indeed qualitative identity. However, I cannot believe that at the moment when I perceive that it is raining, p and o are qualitatively distinct. It seems to me more plausible that the identity p = o in the perceptual moment have a numerical identity, which means that Husserl was in his own way right in understanding correspondence as a form of identity (See sec. 31 of this chapter). Moreover, it is always possible to interpret o as a real external fact and not propositionally, as we can do with the mere identification p = o.

11. Retrograde procedures

Now, what was presented above is what we may call an anterograde way to achieve truth. I call it so because we went in a temporal sequence from the supposition containing a conceivable e-thought-content-rule to the perceptual evidence that confirms the supposition by the application of a perceptual e-thought-content-rule that is qualitatively identical with the supposition. However, a move in the opposite direction is equally feasible. We can have a truth-value attribution that has its origin in perceptual experience, progressing from evidence to the affirmation of a supposition – a way to discover truth that I call retrograde.[46]

     Here is a simple example of a retrograde verification procedure. I open the door of my home in Natal with the intention of going out and unexpectedly see that it is raining. Since I need to go out, I go back inside to look for an umbrella, aware that it is raining… In this case, the perceptual evidence comes first. However, it seems clear that the recognition of truth does not occur as a direct product of sensory experience since I could see rain without consciously perceiving it. This suggests that the initial rough and pre-conscious sensory-perceptual state was different from the state of awareness that immediately followed, namely, the conscious awareness that it is raining. (Suppose I open the door to get some fresh air although I see I do not even pay attention to the fact that it is raining outside. If someone then asks me if it is raining, I will pay attention to the already non-reflexively roughly applied conceptual rule for rain, compare it with a similar now fully conscious rule and answer in the affirmative). Thus, it seems that we can explain the process of arriving at the truth included in the judgment of the given example in the following way: First, I have the rough, non-reflected observational experience ‘o!’ of rain. This momentary experience makes me immediately recall the fully conceptualized ascription rule for ‘it is raining,’ which together with the localization rule for ‘the city of Natal today’ forms the supposition ‘?p.’ Finally, I compare the content of my first observation with the content of this recalled e-thought-rule of raining in Natal today. Once I see that o = p, I am led to the conclusion that it is true that it is raining or ├p. If I am right, then this process is normally completed very quickly, which accounts for our lack of awareness of its different steps. Anyway, this is a retrograde discovery of truth, which I believe that can be summarized in the following sequential formulation:

 

!o, ?p, o = p /├ p

 

Clearer cases of retrograde awareness of truth occur when we have an unexpected sensation or perception that we only slowly come to be aware of in its true conceptualized nature. To illustrate I give two examples. The first is related by Paul Feyerabend in his auto-biography. He writes that once when he was sleeping he at first mistakenly identified a feeling with a cramp, and only when he woke up did he see what he was really feeling: a severe pain in his leg. We may call the first sensation ‘!s,’ mistakenly taken as a cramp. In the process of waking up, he must have been led to recall the most appropriate conceptual rule for pain as ‘?p.’ As he clearly identified s with p, he realized that he was feeling pain in his leg, reaching the conclusion ├p.

    The second example is of an experience that I myself once had. A nice woman gave me a teacup at her home containing a sweet beverage, without saying what it was. I was sure I knew the taste, though I could not identify it. Hence, I must have applied a mugh ascription rule, which I call !t. However, since the context gave me no clue as to what the liquid in the cup was, I needed about a minute to recall the taste of juice from pressed sugarcane, that is, ‘?p.’ Then, by comparing this conceptual memory ?p with the taste of the liquid !t in the cup and seeing that t = p, I came to the obvious conclusion: the liquid was pressed sugar-cane juice. Here the action-schema is:

 

!t, ?p, t = p /├p.

 

The retrograde procedure seems to be the inverse of the anterograde, also because the first moment of both seems loose, unsettled, insufficiently determined.

12. A more complex case

The cases I have considered until now are the simplest sensory-perceptual ones. However, the pragmatics of adequation can be extended to the truth of non-observational e-thought-rules, which I will here call mediated thought-contents. Suppose that Lucy is at Charles de Gaulle Airport in Paris, waiting to board a flight to Dakar. The flight lasts approximately five hours. She calls her daughter, who lives on a farm in Senegal and asks her how the weather is in the city of Dakar. She wonders if it is sunny. This is supposition ?p. Suppose that after a while her daughter answers that the weather in Dakar is and will remain mild and warm enough. There is no significant reason for doubting this information, which she takes as providing adequate evidence. The factual thought-content expressed by ‘!q’ that she had after she heard about the weather in Dakar is the same as the thought-content belonging to her hopeful question ‘?p.’ Consequently, since p = q, she concludes that p is true, that the weather in Dakar is and will remain mild. But the thought-content-rule expressed by !q is not observational! It is the result of testimonial inferences that are unknown to Lucy. Suppose that her daughter got this information from her husband, who had read a weather report, and that this information had its origin in meteorological observations of weather conditions around Dakar. In this case, putting ‘>>>’ in the place of some chain of reasoning unknown to Lucy that led to the factual judgment expressed with !q, and putting ‘!o’ in the place of the observational meteorological thought-contents that in some way led to !q (which will probably be similar to those that she will have when she arrives in Dakar five hours later), we can formally structure the verification process in which p is presently made true for Lucy as follows:

 

?p, (!o >>> !q), !q, p = q /├ p

 

Important to note is that the evidential character of the observation !o is taken as preserved in the supposed inferential chain that leads to !q (I put the process in parentheses in order to show that it is unknown to Lucy and even to her daughter). The informational content is transmitted from thought-content to thought-content up to the conclusion !q, which inherits the evidential character of !o, and then !q is compared with the question expressed by ?p. Thus, contrary to our most natural expectation of how adequation should work, the truth of ?p isn’t directly confirmed by the observational fact represented by !o, but by something derived from it, namely, by !q, understood as also representing a fact, a personally non-experienced state of affairs in the world. The adequation is between unfulfilled and fulfilled thought-content rules, the last ones also understood as being fulfilled by a factual content composed of external tropical arrangements.

     The foregoing example is one of an anterograde verifiability procedure, beginning with one supposition (the question) and ending with a comparison between the supposition and a derived evidential thought-content of an unexperienced fact. However, we may also have a retrograde procedure with a chain of reasons that ends by matching a derived piece of evidence with a supposition. So, imagine that at the beginning of the flight to Dakar the pilot informs the passengers that the weather in Dakar will be mild and warm enough. Each passenger will be led to the conclusion that the weather in Dakar will, in fact, be mild by means of another indirect and for them also unknown evidential chain. However, in this case, it is the evidence that recalls the concern regarding weather conditions. This concern is satisfied by means of a comparison of contents from which the final judgment results that the weather in Dakar will be mild. This retrograde process can be summarized in the following temporal sequence:

 

 (!o >>> !q), !q, ?p, q = p /├ p

 

We see that the opposition between anterograde and retrograde verification repeats on mediated levels. We may guess whether the intuitions of some researcher who still does not know how to prove some hypothesis, though having a glimpse of its truth, depends on unconsciously noticing that the knowledge of some factual content expressed by !q might be derived from evidential observations or postulates.

13. General statements

General statements of e-thought-contents – universal and existential – are also involved in the pragmatic process of adequation, as an identity between the contents of the hypotheses and contents of sets formed by the respective conjunctions and disjunctions, often resulting from inductive inferences ultimately based on observational facts. So, suppose that ├p is the assertion: ‘All the books on this shelf are in English.’ Further, suppose that I reach this generalization casually in a retrograde form from earlier observations ‘!o1, !o2… !on,’ of each book on the shelf. The action-schema is the following:

 

{!o1 & !o2 &… & !on } → !q, ?p, q = p /├ p

 

Of course, it can be different. It can be that I first ask myself if all the books on the shelf are in English. Then I look at each of them, concluding in an anterograde procedure that this hypothesis is true:

 

?p, {!o1 & !o2 &… & !on } → !q, p = q /├ p

 

Now, suppose that for another Mrs. Hildish asks: ‘Is there at least one book in Italian on my shelf?’ Now, after searching, she finds just one. We call it ‘!o1.’ This enables her to affirm that there is at least one book in Italian on her shelf, concluding by means of an anterograde procedure:

 

?p, {!o1 ˅ !~o2 ˅… ˅ !~on } → !q, p = q /├ p

 

As in the previous cases, this example deals with a general deductive conclusion, but it is easy to see that inductive generalizations should also have similar structures, given that they are also restricted to some more or less vague domain (See Appendix to Chapter V, sec. 3).

     Now we return to the old question of knowing if there must be general facts – the all facts – over and above singular facts (Russell 1918; Armstrong 1997, Ch. 13; 2004, Ch. VI). Bertrand Russell, who seems to have discovered the problem, defended their existence as follows:

I think that when you have enumerated all the atomic facts in the world, it is a further fact about the world that those are all the atomic facts there are about the world, and that is just as much an objective fact about the world as any of them are. It is clear, I think, that you must admit general facts as distinct from and over and above particular facts (Russell 1956: 236, my italics).

It seems to me that this is much more a worldly question than Russell supposed, since it can be shown that his all fact is not a fact hanging over any other. In the examples above, all that is needed to get the totality of facts is an additional limiting fact restricting the extension of the generality, first to books belonging to my first shelf and then to books belonging to Mrs. Hildish shelf. I agree that descriptions of such limiting facts need to be added to the given sequences of particular conjunctions or disjunctions in order to close their domain. But these limiting facts are nothing but ordinary empirical ones. And the harmless affirmation ‘those are all’, meaning ‘there is nothing beyond these’ can be inferred as a consequence of adding the conjunction or disjunction of the singular facts to the corresponding empirical singular limiting facts, in the given case the facts established by the spaces the shelves have for their books! Using a still simpler example, if I say that I have only three coins in my pocket, the ‘all fact’ is given by the domain established by the fact that there is a pocket in my pants that I use to carry coins. Moreover, the only difference between the examples given above and an extensive fact like ‘All men are mortal’ is that the delimitation of the last domain is probably the whole earth during the whole existence of the species Homo sapiens, which is a much larger and more vaguely delimited domain. This is how Russell’s mysterious and inconvenient all fact disappears.

14. Some funny facts

There are a variety of puzzling ‘funny’ facts, and I will only select a few to give some indicative explanations. One of these is that of self-psychic (self-reported) truths. It is easy to know the truth-value of the thought p: ‘I am in pain.’ I believe that here as well there is adequation. But first, I need to learn the rule. A first step to this is that I interpersonally learn to identify the location of pain. Then, helped by a considerable network of other concomitant, previously and later observable occurrences, along with the fact that I am told by others that pain is none of these, I discover, by means of induction by exclusion, that pain must be an invisible but physically located feeling of intense discomfort… Even if others cannot have interpersonal access to the subjective feeling of my pain in order to confirm it, I am able to make my verifiability rule for pain highly plausible, even if the logical possibility of interpersonal access to my pain itself cannot be excluded.[47] Now, suppose that I have a headache. The first thing I have is an unamed feeling of pain: ‘!s.’ Then comes ‘?p’: the actualization of the memory of what the feeling of having a headache means (the conceptual rule), which is what I associate with the word. Then I make the identification s = p, being led to the conclusion ├p:

 

!s, ?p, s = p /├ p

 

Here I discovered the truth that I have a headache in a retrograde way. An anterograde way to reach the same truth would be the case of a woman who guesses that she will have a headache because she has drunk red wine, and she knows she always has a headache after drinking red wine.

     Wittgenstein offered, as is well known, an expressivist explanation for such cases. For him the utterance ‘I am in pain’ is nothing more than an extension of natural expressions of pain like ‘Ouch!’ (Wittgenstein 1984c, I, sec. 244). In this case, our schema would be something like ‘!s ├ p’ without adequation. I do not reject this possibility. But I find it easier to believe that this could be the expression of a more direct reaction that turns out to be seen as true only after the exercise of the previous, more elaborate cognitive process of induction by exclusion concerning auto-psychic states and induction by analogy concerning the hetero-psychic states (Costa 2011, Ch. 4).

     Another odd case is that of true counterfactual conditionals. Consider the statement (i) ‘If Evelyn were the queen of England, she would be a public figure.’ The objection is that there appears to be no fact that can make this sentence true, since Evelyn isn’t the queen of England. However, statement (i) seems to be true! Nevertheless, the solution is easy. Although there is no actual fact that can make statement (i) true, this is not what the conditional requires. What statement (i) requires as its verifier is not an actual fact, but only a possible fact. The possible or conceivable fact that makes the statement true is that under the assumption that the antecedent were true, namely, that Evelyn is in fact the queen of England, the truth of the consequent will be unavoidable, that is, she will surely be a public figure. That is, the truthmaker of (i) is a modal fact that could also be expressed using the vocabulary of possible worlds. In other words, suppose that We is any nearby possible world where Evelyn is in fact the queen of England. Since in our world all queens of England are public figures, we can infer that if someone is the queen of England in We, this person will also certainly be a public figure. Assuming that Evelyn is the queen of England in We, she is also (certainly) a public figure in We. We conclude that it is certainly true that if Evelyn were the queen of England she would (certainly) be a public figure, because the expressed thought-content certainly corresponds with the expected fact belonging to a conceived counterfactual circumstance given in We. Understanding (i) as the supposition ?p, and calling the certainty that in any nearby possible world Evelyn would be the queen and therefore a public figure q, we can summarize the anterograde process as follows:

 

?p, (We)q, p = q, / ├p

 

A second similar example is, (ii) ‘The Dalai Lama never slept with a woman, but he could have.’ This is certainly true because it means the same thing as (iii) ‘Although the Dalai Lama never slept with a woman in the actual world, there is a nearby possible world Wd (our world with some differences) where he slept with a woman.’ The statement (iii) is true, since it corresponds to the conjunction of an actual and a possible (conceivable) fact, this conjunctive fact being conceivable as a highly probable physical possibility (ontologically, an association of actual and possible tropical arrangements).

     One could also ask about ethical truths. Consider the statement (iv) ‘Dennis should help the drowning child.’ Suppose that despite being a very good swimmer, Dennis didn’t even try to help the drowning child, because he is a sadist. We would not be inclined to say that (iv) is true, but rather that (iv) is right. It is right in a similar way as an illocutionary act like ‘I promise to go to your anniversary celebration’ can be felicitous. The statement about Dennis would be morally right because it is in conformity with a utilitarian norm, let us say, the rule according to which:

 

UR: One should help another person in mortal danger, insofar as one does not put oneself in real danger.

 

Note that what counts in this case is not truth, but normative correctness – adequation with a norm, though the mechanism of validation is similar. Statement (iv) is validated by what could be called the moral norm UR (an equivalent to the fact regarding truth). Finally, there is still the case of the validity of such utilitarian norms. In an attempt to achieve this, consider the following utilitarian normative principle:

 

UP: A morally correct rule is one that when applied under normal circumstances brings the greatest possible amount of happiness to all participants, without significant unhappiness to anyone.[48]

 

Suppose it is a fact that when people act in accordance with this principle the well-being of their whole community increases. Assuming that this is our ultimate goal, this principle can be considered correct or true, and we can say that UP validates UR, which validates (iv). (Note that the normative principle UP as much as the norm UR are moral facts that should be also instantiated as arrangements of tropes.)

     Obviously, this is just an illustration. The greatest problem faced by ethical statements is the same as with any other philosophical statement. Unlike the statements of natural sciences, they belong to those speculative domains wherein we are only able to make the truth of our statements more or less plausible.

15. Expansion to formal sciences

Analogous logical structures and dynamic procedures can be found in the formal sciences, allowing us to generalize adequation theory to a domain traditionally claimed by coherence theories of truth. The main difference is that while for empirical truths inferences are mainly inductive, for formal truths they are normally understood as deductive. Suppose we want to demonstrate that the sum of the angles of any Euclidean triangle is 180°. We can do this by first proposing that this could be the case: ‘?p’ and then searching for proof. One proof would proceed by drawing a straight line through one of the vertices of the triangle, so that this line is parallel to the side opposite to this vertex. Since the three juxtaposed angles formed by the parallel and the vertex of the triangle are the same as the internal angles of the two opposed vertices of the triangle plus the angle of the first vertex, and their sum is obviously 180°, we conclude that the sum of the internal angles of this and indeed of any Euclidean triangle must be 180°. This deductive conclusion is the evidence ‘!q’ – the truthmaker as a geometrical fact constituted, I suppose, by geometrical tropes (Cf. Appendix of Chapter III, sec. 4). Since we see that the content of !q is the same as the content of the hypothesis ?p, we conclude ├p. Using ‘as’ for the axioms or assumptions (the formal data), the form of this anterograde procedure can be summarized as:

 

?p, !as >>> !q, p = q, /├ p

 

It is important to see that !q, stating the fact that makes the thought-content p true, as in the case of Lucy’s question, should not be placed at the beginning, but at the end of a chain of reasoning. Unlike Lucy, a geometrician can (and should) go through the whole procedure.

     Now, an example from mathematics: we can prove the arithmetical identity statement (i) ‘2 + 2 = 4’ in a Leibnizian manner.[49] We begin with definitions (which here correspond to basic perceptual experiences in empirical sciences). First, we define 2 as 1 + 1, 3 as 2 + 1 and 4 as 3 + 1. We call this set of definitions ‘d. Replacing in statement (i) the numbers 2 and 4 with their definiens, we get (ii) ‘(1 + 1) + (1 + 1) = (3 + 1).’ Since 3 is defined as 2 + 1, and 2 as 1 + 1, we see that 3 can be replaced by (1 + 1) + 1. Now, replacing the number 3 in its analyzed formulation in (ii), we get the arithmetical fact represented by (iii) ‘(1 + 1) + (1 + 1) = (((1 + 1) + 1) + 1),’ which is the same e-thought-content as ‘2 + 2 = 4.’ In this way, we have derived confirmatory evidence for the hypothesis ‘?p’ posed by statement (i), which is the (supposedly tropical) factual content of ‘!q’ described in (iii). This confirmatory evidence serves to check the hypothesis ‘?p’ that 2 + 2 = 4. Again, abbreviating the definitions as ‘d,’ we have the following anterograde verificational action-schema:

 

?p, !d >>> !q, p = q /├ p

 

Once more we see that the factual content expressed by the identity !q, which serves to check the hypothesis ?p that 2 + 2 = 4, is not the same as the definitions of 1, 2, 3 or 4, as might be initially assumed. It is the result of a deductive reasoning process based on these definitions, a reasoning process deductively derived from its definitional premises. This result, expressed by !q, represents the arithmetical fact represented by the supposition ?p, so that p = q, which makes p true.

     Finally, we can give examples involving logic. Consider the following theorem of modal logic: P → ◊P. This can be seen as our hypothesis ?p. How do we prove it? In the S5 modal system, we can do this by using as assumptions the axioms AS1, ◊P ↔ ~□~P, and AS3, □~P → ~P. Taking these axioms and a few rules of propositional logic as the evidence ‘as’ we construct the following anterograde proof of the theorem:

 

      The hypothesis is: ‘?p,’ where p = P → ◊P

 

      The proof:

1      □~P → ~P                       (AS3)

2      ~~P → ~□~P                  (1TRANS)

3      P → ~□~P                       (2~E)

4      ◊P ↔ ~□~P                     (AS1)

5      ~□~P → ◊P                     (4 ↔E)

6      P → ◊P                            (3,5 SD)

 

Now, the conclusion (6), P → ◊P, is the ‘!q,’ which represents the derived logical fact that serves as a verifier for ?p, and since p = q, we conclude that p is true, that is, ├ p. Using our abbreviation, we get the following anterograde verificational action-schema:

 

?p, !as >>> !q, p = q, /├ p

 

Since the logical fact represented by !q, which carries with it evidence derived from the assumed axioms, is presented by the same e-thought-content-rule as the hypothesis ?p, we conclude that we have adequation. We conclude that p is true, or ├ p. – Also relevant is to note that in the case of formal facts we do not need to underline statement letters like a or d or q: there is no need to distinguish between the conceived and the real-actual facts, since here both can be regarded as the same.

     Of course, one could also find a retrograde form regarding any of the three above exemplified cases. Considering only the first, suppose that someone, having the strong intuition that the sum of the internal angles of an Euclidean triangle is 180°, decides to draw a straight line that touches the vertex of a triangle, this line being parallel to the opposite side. This person could then easily prove that this triangle and in fact any Euclidean triangle would have 180° as the sum of its internal angles. But in this case, the person would have the following retrograde verification procedure:

 

!q, !as >>> !q, ?p, q = p, /├ p

 

The !q would work here as the insight into the truth of a conjecture, something to be compared with an unexpected observation.

     The upshot is that the procedures with which we demonstrate the adequation of formal truths are structurally analogous to the procedures with which we demonstrate the adequation of empirical truths. Even so, there are some differences. The most obvious is that formal truths are deductively inferred, while empirical truths unavoidably include inductive inferences.

16. Why can analytic truths be called true?

Finally, we can apply a similar procedure to analytic-conceptual statements, showing that they are also called true because of adequation, even if this is a limiting-case. It is possible to say, for instance, that the analytic statements ‘It is raining or it is not raining’ and ‘Bachelors are not married’ are true because they correspond to the respective facts that assuming the principle of the third excluded it must be either raining or not, and that by definition it isn’t possible for a bachelor not to be unmarried. But to what extent are we entitled to say this?

     Assume first, as we did in our objections to Quine’s argument against analyticity, that analytic statements are true due to the proper combination of the component senses of their expressions. In this case, our question is: are there facts that make analytic statements true? And if they exist, how do they make these statements true? To find an answer, consider the following analytic statements:

 

(1)  Either it is raining or it is not raining.

(2)  If John is the brother of Mary, then Mary is the sister of John.

(3)  Bachelors are males.

(4)  A triangle has three sides.

(5)  A material body must have some extension.

 

Surely, these statements are all true in themselves: if there is a fact making them true, it is not a fact in the world. However, we are still allowed to say that they are made true by logico-conceptual, conventionalized facts. Thus, statement (1) is made true by the logical fact that ‘j ˅ ~j’ (the law of the excluded middle), which it instantiates. Statement (2) is made true by the conceptual fact that the brother-sister relation is reflexive. Statement (3) is made true by the conceptual fact that a bachelor is conventionally defined as an unmarried adult male. Statement (4) is made true in Euclidean geometry by the conceptual fact that a triangle can be defined as a closed plane figure with three straight-line sides. And statement (5) is made true by the conceptual fact that part of the definition of a material body must include the requirement of some spatial extension. These are conceptual facts supposedly instantiated by arrangements of our mental tropes and their combinations.

     In all these cases the statements are self-verifiable, that is, the intertwining of rules that constitutes the verifiability rule of an analytic statement is verified not by its application to the world, but by means of an application of one rule to the result of the application of the other in a way that makes the whole true independently of any state of the world. For instance, ~(P & ~P) is tautologically verified by its truth-table, in which we combine the rules for the application of the negation and the conjunction in ways that always gives as a result the value true.

     Moreover, we can summarize this process of self-verification of the above statements by applying the same action-schemata we did with the statements considered in the last section. Thus, in case (1) we can begin with the question ?p1 = ‘is it the case that it is raining or not raining?’ Faced with this, we immediately realize that the sentence instantiates the principle of the excluded middle or ‘j ˅ ~j’, and that this instantiation, like any other, can be symbolized as the instantiation of the logical truth or fact represented by ‘!p2,’ which is proved true by the application of a truth-table to the sentence. This suffices to make ?p1 true, because we can see that independently of any sense given to its constituent parts, its logical structure warrants its truth. We can summarize the self-verifying action in which we find the adequation in the same anterograde way as in the first of our examples:

 

?p1, !p2, p1 = p2 /├ p

 

Putting differently: in this case, the thought-content is identical with an instantiation of a logical truth of propositional logic, a logical fact that makes (1) true by self-verification.

     In other cases, reasoning may be necessary. In case (3) the suppositional moment ‘?p1’ is: ‘Are all bachelors males?’ To verify this, we first need to take the definition of a bachelor as our point of departure: ‘!d’ (Df.) = ‘A bachelor is an unmarried adult male.’ From !d we can infer the conceptual fact !p2 = ‘All bachelors are males.’ Summarizing the steps of this anterograde self-verificational procedure, we get:

 

 ?p1, !d → !p2, p1 = p2 /├ p1

 

It is correct to say that analytical thought-contents are true by courtesy, since they cannot be false. But despite this, it is not senseless to speak of their truth as correspondence or adequation with facts. The reason is clearer in cases like the last one. For even if these cases are all ones of self-verification, the procedure is not always direct and transparent, often requiring a reasoning process.

     Finally, what about contradictions like (6) ‘It is raining and it is not raining’? Suppose we call the statement of this contradiction the supposition ‘?p,’ which is shown to be opposed to the true statement ‘~p,’ asserting the factual content that it cannot be the case that it is raining and simultaneously not raining at the same time and place, which is derived from the principle ‘!q’ of non-contradiction: ~(j & ~j). In this simple case, the anterograde verifying procedure will be:

 

?p, !q, q → ~p, p ≠ ~p, ├ ~p

 

The conclusion is that p is false, since the principle of non-contradiction shows that p cannot be the case and that strictly speaking there can be no fact in the world able to verify p. The verifying procedure that falsifies p is the self-falsifying cognitive action that gives the contradiction its contradictory meaning.

17. The insufficiency of coherence

That truth has something to do with coherence is beyond doubt. If Mary says that she was breathing while she was asleep last night, we accept her statement as obviously true. We believe Mary, even if we did not watch her sleeping last night, because her statement is coherent with our accepted belief-system. We are certain that people will die within a few minutes if they cannot continuously breathe oxygen. If Mary tells us that she visited the Moon while asleep last night, almost everyone would consider this statement to be false, because it clashes with the generally accepted commonsense understanding of what is possible or impossible under ordinary life circumstances, together with our system of scientifically confirmed beliefs. Coherence is obviously related to truth, and according to most coherence theorists, a belief is truer the more it is integrated into our system of beliefs, which also means that truth is a question of degree (e.g., Blanshard, 1939, Ch. XXVII).

     Bernard Bosanquet (2015: 24) once gave an interesting example intended to show that a greater amount of supporting information makes a statement more true, which seems to vindicate the idea that some kind of integration of a statement within a system of beliefs is what makes it true. He noted that the sentence ‘Charles I died on the scaffold’ seems quite true when said by a leading historian and far less true when said by a mere schoolboy. The child has at most a name and a picture in his mind, while the historian knows from documents and historical studies a wealth of meanings associated with the sentence (Cf. also Blanchard 1939, Ch. XXVII, sec. 4-5). The aim of this example is to show that increasing the coherence of a statement increases its degree of truth.

     Nevertheless, there is an alternative interpretation. We can say that the example only shows that the historian’s claim to know the truth has a better chance to be confirmed. In other words, it is his truth-holding (Fürwahrhalten) that has a higher chance of achieve truth. This alternative is better, since there is no indication that our ordinary view of truth has degrees. Hence, the example only confuses the degrees of probability that a person knows the truth – the probability of truth-holding that can be attributed to the person – with an illusory degree of truth in itself.

     The best known objection to the coherence theory of truth is the following. Since countless possible belief-systems can be constructed, any proposition p could be true in one system and false in another, violating the non-contradiction principle. This objection, however, was never regarded as a major difficulty by coherence theorists (e.g. Bradley 1914; Blanshard 1939, vol. 2: 276 f.; Walker 1989: 25-40).

     One could, for instance, answer the objection that some thought-content p can be true in one system and false in another in a way that eliminates the contradiction. One can introduce the idea of the system of all systems, namely, the most encompassing system of beliefs agreed upon by a community of ideas at time t (preferably the best informed and trained community that we are able to consider…). To this can be added the fundamental subsystem contained in the system of all systems, which is the real-world belief-system, so that this system generates all the other derived sub-systems that might fall under the epithet ‘fictional.’ The novel Madame Bovary, for instance, is for us a fictional subsystem belonging to the all-encompassing system of systems. That at the end of the novel Charles says, ‘C’est la faute de la fatalité,’ is true in the context of the novel, but false for the real-world system, because in our real world there was never any Charles Bovary married to Emma Bovary and able to say this sentence regarding the series of events that led up to her suicide. The admission that Charles made this comment is thus true in the novel and false in the real world, which does not lead to a contradiction, not only because these are two belief-systems, but also because they do not conflict, as what counts is the real-world system, where this sentence was never uttered in a proper context.

     Consider now a second example, the statement that the sum of the angles of a triangle is 180°. This is true in the system of Euclidean geometry, but false in Lobachevsky’s and Riemann’s systems. And it is in the end false regarding the physical real-world system. Consider, finally, the statement that the value of a good is determined by the importance people assign to it as a means to achieve their desired ends. It is considered true in the subjective economic theory of value and false in the labor theory of value, since for the latter the value of a good is determined by the amount of labor required to produce the good... Nonetheless, regarding the real-world system, the first theory seems to be (according to the great majority of economists) more probably true.

     Surely, this view relativizes truth to a certain extent, by limiting it to a time and a community of ideas, making truth-theory to a certain extent subordinate to our taking things to be true (das Fürwahrhalten).[50] However, in the end this would not be a problem if we agree that ‘the truth,’ that is, absolute truth, is actually nothing but a kind of directive idea that helps us evaluate our holding something to be true, but has no decisive identity with what we normally accept as true or false. – As already noted (Ch. IV, sec. 30), even if by chance we were to discover an absolute truth, we would not be able to know with any certainty that we had really found it (See Popper 1972, Ch. 2). That is, when we say that p is true, we only assume that p is the final truth until we find some sufficiently good reason to falsify p (if p is empirical) or abandon p (if p is a formal statement). Because of this, a true theory of truth is a theory of what leads us to take something to be true rather than a theory of absolute truth. The same can be said regarding the concept of knowledge. We pragmatically treat our truths and knowledge of truths as if they were the ultimate ones, simply postulating or assuming we have achieved final truths and knowledge. But concepts like those of final, ultimate or absolute truth and knowledge can serve only as directive ideas. They are ‘as if’ concepts since they cannot possibly have experienceable objects that allow us to see if we have achieved them.[51]

     A strategy like that of admitting a system of all systems that includes a real-world system as the most fundamental seems to overcome the objection of contradiction. Nonetheless, even so coherence theory remains problematic, since the insurmountable problem of this view is located elsewhere. I call it the problem of circularity.

     The problem of circularity arises when we try to define coherence. Traditionally coherence has been conflated with consistency. A set of propositions (thought-contents) is said to be consistent when the conjunctions of propositions belonging to it do not generate a contradiction. Consistency may be a necessary condition for coherence, but it is surely not sufficient. For instance, consider the elements of the consistent set {Shakespeare was a playwright, lead is a heavy metal, 7 + 5 = 12}. They do not contradict one another. But since they do not have anything in common, taken together the elements of this set increase neither the coherence nor the truth of its elements; and we could create a set of this kind as large as we wish with ‘zero’ coherence. Consistency may be a necessary, but it is not a sufficient condition of truth. And worst than this is when we perceive that any definition of truth based on consistency alone would be circular, since consistency, being defined as the absence of contradictions generated by the elements of a set of propositions, assumes that their conjunctions cannot be false, in this way requiring the concept of truth-value in its own definiens.

     More than just being consistent, coherence must be defined as inferential. The coherence of a belief system, of a system of propositions, is in fact determined by the dependence of this system on the inductive and/or deductive relationships among its propositions. This means that the degree of coherence of a proposition p should be determined by its inductive and/or deductive relationships with the system to which it belongs (Cf. Bonjour 1985: 98-100). Indeed, we know it is true that Mary was breathing the whole night long, because this is inductively supported by everything we practically and scientifically know about human metabolism and behavior, and this is a truth concerning our system of reality.

     However, if we consider coherence as the only and proper mechanism able to generate truth, this last definition also leads to circularity, since the concepts of inductive and deductive inference used in the definiens of coherence are also defined by means of truth! A strong inductive inference is defined as an argument (or reasoning) that makes a conclusion probably true, given the truth of its premises, while a valid deductive inference is defined as an argument (or reasoning) that makes its conclusion necessarily true, given the truth of its premises. Consequently, the coherence account of truth can only generate the truth of any proposition of the system by assuming the independent truth of at least some of its other propositions, which makes the coherence view clearly circular. Any form of pure coherence theory is the victim of a petitio principii, as it simply assumes what it aims to explain.

18. Coherence as mediator

The view of coherence that I wish to propose here enables us to circumvent the difficulty. The reason is that in my understanding, coherence must be seen as a complementary dimension of adequation theory, namely, the condition that enables the transmission of truth in a network of thought-contents, usually beginning with those that are based on empirical (sensory-perceptual) experiences and/or some assumed formal evidence/assumptions (axioms or postulates).

     Such view allows us to accept some factual content that should make some proposition true without the need for reducing this factual content either to some corresponding formal axiom or to an obvious perceptual or self-psychic thought-content. For instance, we know that the statement ‘Mary was breathing when she was asleep last night’ is true, and it is true because it corresponds to the factual content that Mary was breathing during her sleep. But usually we reach our belief that such a statement is true by adequation to a fact, not by means of direct observation, but by means of coherence, that is, by means of inferences derived from our system of beliefs. These inferences transmit what we may call veritative force – which we may define as any probability of truth higher than 0.5 – from one proposition to another. However, this veritative force cannot arise from propositions without truth-value, but instead is derived from propositions whose truth-value is ultimately based on (in Mary’s case) a myriad of past judgments. These correspond to perceptual experiences that are the ultimate sources of our knowledge of biological laws, as well as our common awareness that Mary is a living human being like us and subject to the same natural constraints.

     We begin to see that even if coherence cannot be regarded as defining truth, it plays an important role as a mediating procedure whereby adequation is an indispensable ground. For example: the modal proof of P → ◊P in our formal example does not come directly from AS1 and AS3 plus some rules of propositional logic. We first take a series of deductive inferential steps, and these steps are already constitutive of a linear coherential dimension of the verification procedure, which some coherence theorists erroneously saw as the proper criterion of truth for the formal sciences. In this modal proof coherence is constituted by implications transmitting veritative force – here understood as material implications from logical-conceptual, self-verifying truths postulated as axioms – but, as already noted, inevitably containing inductive inferences in the case of the verification of empirical thought-contents.

19. Roles of empirical coherence

The trouble with the coherence of empirical truth can be better illustrated by examples able to make clearer the relationship between coherence and correspondence or adequation.

     First, suppose that someone anonymously sent me a package per post. I open it and see that it contains a book called The Cloven Viscount by Italo Calvino. I wonder if a friend named Sylvia sent it to me. I once knew Sylvia as a literature student in Rome, and at that time I gave her a copy of Calvino’s book The Invisible Cities. However, the package was mailed from Rio de Janeiro. Thus, I realize that this book could have been sent to me by someone else. But then, I remember that Sylvia told me that she was born and lived most of her life in Rio de Janeiro. Hence, she could well be back at home in Brazil. An advocate of the coherence theory of truth would say that the thought-content of the statement ‘p,’ understood as abbreviating ‘My friend Sylvia sent me a copy of The Cloven Viscount,’ is made true by its coherence with other thought-contents, which can be ordered in the following way:

 

1.  I received as a present the book The Cloven Viscount by Calvino. (r1)

2.  Sylvia was a literature student when I knew her in Rome. (r2)

3.  I gave Sylvia as a present a copy of Invisible Cities by Calvino. (r3)

4.   (from 1, 2, 3) The book could have been sent by Sylvia. (s)

5.  But the book was mailed from Rio de Janeiro. (t)

6.  (from 4, 5) The book wasn’t sent by Sylvia. (u)

7.  Sylvia told me she had lived most of her previous life in Rio de Janeiro. (v)

8.  (2, 7) Sylvia finished her studies in Rome and returned to Rio de Janeiro. (w)

9.  (1, 2, 3, 5, 8) My friend Sylvia sent me a copy of The Cloven Viscount. (q)

 

What we really have here is an indirect procedure by means of which adequation is verified via coherence. To see this better, we need only revise the above reasoning, rejecting the partial conclusion u because of v. As a result, I can build the following coherent set of beliefs: {r1, r2, r3, t, v, w}. Together, these belief-contents inductively make the conclusion q very probable. This anterograde set of reinforcing premises makes me – starting with the guess ‘?p’ (‘Was it Sylvia who sent me the book?’) – see the identity of thought-contents p = q and conclude with practical certainty ├ p, affirming that it was Sylvia who sent me Calvino’s book. However, each element of the coherent set of beliefs {r1, r2, r3, t, v, w} has its truth directly or indirectly based on correspondence.

     To sum up, I agree with Stephen Walker’s argument that a pure coherence theory is impossible (1989). Coherence could only exist independently of adequation if we were able to assume that e-thoughts could acquire probability or formal certainty independently of any anchorage in sensory-perceptual/self-sensory experience or in the axioms or postulates of a formal system. But, as our examination of the nature of coherence has shown, this would be circular. Moreover, consider again the example offered above. The thought-contents expressed by the statements that by means of coherence make the correspondence between p and q probable are all in some way observationally anchored. Either they describe a perceptual thought (‘I knew her in Rome,’ ‘I gave her a book…,’) or report testimonial information (‘She told me she lived all her earlier life in Rio’) or describe a personal experience (‘I read the book…’) or an inference (‘She may be back home in Rio…’) from testimony (‘She told me…’) based again on the sensory experience of others.

     What was given to me as a fact in the above example was an indirect product of correspondences of other thought-contents with their own factual contents. And the increase of the veritative forces resulting from these experiences is what inductively warrants q to me as the derived proposition representing the fact that Sylvia sent me the book. The assumed warrant of q, in turn, is what makes the e-thought-content of p true for me. In summarized form, introducing the symbol ‘~>’ to represent strong inductive and/or deductive inference, the anterograde reasoning that leads to this attribution of truth can be symbolized as:

 

?p, {r1, r2, r3, t, v, w}~> !q, p = q, / ├ p

 

This helps us to understand better how coherence plays a role in the truth-discovery process. And it shows us why the coherence of our claims would have no force if it weren’t anchored in perceptual experiences taken as evidence in the case of empirical truths, and in axioms or postulates in the case of formal truths. This is also why a fictional text can be perfectly coherent without in this way representing any factual truth concerning the real world: its anchors are only imaginary ones.

     This kind of reasoning invites us to think that adequation comes first, since this kind of correspondence is what reveals truth. Moreover, in cases like, say, sensory-perceptual knowledge, we can in a sense have correspondence without coherence, while there is no coherence without correspondence. However, this conclusion can be considered simplistic for the following reason. Correspondence without coherence must be impossible because of the fact emphasized by philosophers of science that all observation is conceptually charged or theory impregnated (Duhem, 1906, Ch. 6, sec. II; Popper, 1972, Ch. 2, sec. 18). In order to be conceptualized, experience already requires coherence with at least one sub-domain of our belief-system.

     Nonetheless, I think that I can give a stronger justification for the indispensability of correspondence as the origin of veritative force by considering the real origins of the own input that a particular sensory-perceptual observation receives from our belief system. Suppose you go for a walk in a beautiful nearby field and you cannot believe what you see there: you think you are seeing a live unicorn! Soon you will begin to distrust your own senses, since you have learned that unicorns do not exist. Later the mystery is solved. You hear that it was actually a fake unicorn: a film production team had attached a horn to the forehead of a small white horse to create the illusion of a real live unicorn. Between scenes, the make-believe unicorn is allowed to graze in the field. The defender of coherence theory would say this proves that even sensory-perceptual observation can be falsified by our system of beliefs alone. But this argument is completely refuted when we consider that what was really responsible for your mistrust was not our system of beliefs alone, but the adequation of other perceptual experiences belonging to this same system or sub-system of beliefs. Indeed, we all know that unicorns are mytho­logical creatures, and there have been no scientifically confirmed observations of unicorns or their physical remains, such as bones, fossils, tissue, etc. Nor have we found depictions of unicorns in cave paintings from prehistoric times, while we have found paintings of aurochs, for example. Moreover, we also know that evolutionary classifications of animals like horses and goats rule out the possible existence of unicorns. But these firm convictions against the existence of unicorns were all reached with the aid of induction by means of a multiplicity of other testimonial sensory-perceptual observations that were historically and scientifically made and passed on to us! This means that your sensory-perceptual observation of a unicorn was in the end discredited not by your system of beliefs independently of adequation, but by counter-evidence derived from the veritative force of other beliefs, all of them anchored in their proper adequation to perceptual observation.

     Now, suppose we call ‘!u’ the factual statement ‘I am looking at a unicorn’ and ‘~u,’ its denial, based on the firm belief that there are no unicorns, which is grounded on the accepted zoological system of beliefs that is in its essentials based on a multiplicity of observational experiences ‘e,’ questioning the possibility of !u, and we call ‘i’ the supplementary information given to you regarding the make-believe unicorn. We can symbolize the procedure that leads you to conclude the obvious falsity of u in two steps that jointly form a retroanterograde verification procedure:

 

(1)    !u, (e ~> ~u), ~u, u ≠ ~u / ├ ?~u,

(2)    ?~u, i ~> ~u , ~u = ~u / ├ ~u    

 

Putting my argument in other terms: I certainly agree that sensory-perception is the immediate origin of the veritative force of a perceptual judgment, and this judgment can gain or lose veritative force due to greater or lesser coherence with our system of beliefs. However, this confirming or rejecting coherence acquires its own veritative force only by means of other sensory-perceptual observations whose truth is based on adequation. And reflection on this leads us to the inevitable conclusion that in one way or another the real ultimate origin of the veritative force of empirical judgments is always sense-perception, giving coherence the second­ary, even if indispensable role of transmitting the veritative force gained by means of sensory-perceptual experiences of adequation. My conclusion is that under closer scrutiny the supposed counter-example shows that correspondence comes first, simply because it is the only real source of truth. Thus, instead of defending an impure coherence theory, as Walker endeavored to do, I defend what he would probably classify as an ‘impure’ adequation theory – what I more accurately prefer to call an adequation theory that incorporates coherence.

20. Reverend David’s case

To reinforce my point, I now offer a second, more distinctive empirical example of the incorporation of coherence in correspondence/adequation. It concerns a judge’s verdict. It is well known that court rulings in criminal trials frequently cannot rely on direct perceptual evidence supplied by witnesses. Because of this, they are often heavily dependent on coherence, on proof by means of circumstantial evidence. This was the case with an American minister named Reverend David, who shortly after marrying a certain Mrs. Rose was admitted to a hospital suffering from severe abdominal pain. Since examination showed a high level of arsenic in Reverend David’s blood, a thought-content that we abbreviate as ‘!r, the following suspicion arose as the result of abductive reasoning: ‘Did Mrs. Rose try to poison Reverend David?’ in short, ‘?p.’ The following additional factual evidence later confirmed this suspicion:

 

s: Mrs. Rose had the habit of preparing bowls of soup for her husband, even bringing them to him in the hospital.

t: Traces of arsenic were found in the pantry of Mrs. Rose’s house.

u: The bodies of Mrs. Rose’s first three husbands, who all died of unknown causes, were exhumed, and it was not so surprising that high levels of arsenic were found in their hair.

 

We can now construct the following retroanterograde verification procedure:

 

!r ~> ?p, {!r & !s & !t & !u} ~> !q, p = q, /├ p

 

Certainly, the conjunction of the statements r, s, t, and u gives us a strong inductive inference assuring us practical certainty that !q, which states an unobserved dynamic fact (namely, that Mrs. Rose did indeed try to poison her husband). This inferred factual content confirms our initial suspicion ?p derived from !r. However, a crucial point to be noticed is that factual statements r, s, t, and u are all considered true either by direct adequation with public factual observation or by derivation from publicly observable perceptual factual contents. Again, what is shown is that the element of coherence cannot stand alone. The plausibility of q is grounded on the conjunction of the observational statements r, s, t and u by means of coherence. But these statements are all true because of their direct or indirect adequation with perceptual contents, even if they may also rest on empirically grounded theoretical assumptions, the latter in some way also derived from other perceptual experiences. As we see, coherence alone cannot prove truth, because inductive and deductive coherence relations are ways of preserving and not of finding truth.

     The conclusion is the same: coherence relations work like the high voltage power lines of an electrical power grid: though they are not able to generate electricity, they are able to transmit it over long distances. A plausible coherent system is not an independent mechanism, but only an inferential network over which the truth arrived at by means of originary adequation is transmitted. In other words: coherence only transfers the veritative force generated by the adequation of the contents of more basic beliefs concerning empirical or formal facts to derived beliefs or thought-contents. This transference of veritative force within a belief-system can act to produce an e-thought-rule that we believe corresponds to a non-observed fact, which in my present example is q: the attempted murder using poison. The thought-content p is accepted by us as representing the factual content q, because both have the same content (structural isomorphism, etc.) which makes p true. Because in various ways q is reinforced in its application, we accept it as factual evidence of p’s truth. And statement p is true because it corresponds to the fact that Mrs. Rose poisoned her husband, Reverend David, even if we know this fact not by observation, but only indirectly, from its coherence with other thought-contents that are observational and match their facts in a direct way. The thought-content q, the truthmaker of p, as I intend to explain, has a kind of Janus face: on the one hand, it expresses here a basal thought-content (an e-thought-rule or proposition), and on the other hand, it represents what we by indirect means are sure is an objective factual content, namely, the fact that Mrs. Rose tried to poison Reverend David. All this shows that coeherence is nothing but an interdoxal mechanism by means of which adequation can transfer its veritative force. It is by this means that coherence helps in confirming the truth of statements.

     Now, concerning the truth of the observational statements r, s, t, u, we return to the point already made when we analyzed our first example. Each of these obser­vations is embedded in at least some subsystem of beliefs. Although a given observa­tion r makes its own contribution to truth by means of direct adequation with a fact (the high level of arsenic in the blood), it can be reinforced by its coherence with the accepted subsystem of beliefs in which it is embedded (like s, t, u together with the hypothesis p), or even be refuted by other beliefs of this same system. But here again, the consideration of this network of giving and taking among sensory-perceptual and derivative beliefs leaves no room for a veritative force arising from coherence.

     The important question that remains open is about the precise status of the statements of factual evidence (like of q) in our examples. It is the expression of an e-thought-content-rule, but it must also be seen as able to represent the actual factual content, namely, a cognitively independent external criterial tropical arrangement. Are these two possibilities reconcilable?[52] This crucial question will be tackled in the following sections.

21. What about the truth of the truthmaker?

One of the most serious problems for the adequation theory of truth concerns the infinite regress that arises from factual evidence that verifies suppositions, that is, verifiers or truthmakers. We can pose the problem in the form of a dilemma: Either the truthmaker – the evidential fact, the real or actual factual content – is unquestionable, or it can be doubted. Suppose (a) that the evidential fact is unquestionably true. In this case, we seem to be guilty of dogmatism, because we treat our normal perceptual truths and even purely self-sensory truths[53] as if they were beyond any possibility of being false. But this would be to deny the fallibility of sensory-perceptual knowledge. We cannot be absolutely certain about the evidence for any (or maybe almost any) empirically given factual content. Even formal axioms always have a degree of arbitrariness in their choice and can lose their applicability after changes in our broader system of reality. Now, suppose (b) that we consider the evidential content believed to be a fact (which shows itself as a thought-content) as open to doubt. In this case, it seems that we need to search for new evidential content (another thought-content) that would warrant its truth. Since this new factual content will likewise not be beyond doubt, we would have to look for further evidential content and so on endlessly. Since we cannot stop this regress, we have no way to ground our suppositions, because any ground we find will lack the necessary solidity. The upshot is that neither alternative (a) nor alternative (b) is satisfactory.

     Restricting myself here to the cases of external empirical truths, I think we can solve the dilemma if we consider examples in sufficient detail.[54] Consider the following example of an observational statement !o: ‘There’s a dolphin swimming in the sea.’ Imagine that the truth of this sentence depends on the observation of a dolphin surfacing from time to time – an observation that can be interpersonally shared. For the first person who sees the dolphin, the procedure has a retrograde form:

 

!o, ?p, o = p /├ p

 

For a second person, already informed by the first and trying to locate the dolphin in the sea, it will have a retroanterograde form:

 

p ~> ?p, !o, p = o /├ p

 

But this does not mean that !o, the given evidence, is absolutely warranted! It can be defeated. Suppose that due to a scarcity of real dolphins and in order to entertain tourists, a diver is hired who swims just below the surface with a rubber dolphin mounted on his back, surfacing from time to time in a way that gives dolphin watchers the illusion that they are seeing a real dolphin.[55] In face of this, the factual content !o that should ground the verification of ?p is defeated. Those aware of the deception could correctly point out: ‘It is false that there is a dolphin swimming in the sea.’

     However, it should not be hard to find a solution to the problem. What we believe to be factual content need not be regarded as absolute. It can be seen as a thought-content assumed to unquestionably represent an actual factual content (the ultimate truthmaker) within the context of a practice that typically assumes that we do not have atypical circumstances that if present would defeat the assumption. Thus, consider the linguistic practice (A), in which we recognize things in normal daylight that are large enough and near enough to be identified as dolphins, and they are employed in the context of a tourist beach where people expect to see dolphins swimming in the water offshore… In this practice we are allowed to assume that the observational content ‘I am watching a dolphin that has just emerged from the sea’ can be taken as unquestionable evidence expressible by !o. It is thereby a real-actual fact, a truthmaker or verifier that we accept as giving practical certainty to the thought-content that there is a dolphin in the sea near where the observer is standing. Assuming the information content and the context at our disposal in this practice, and assuming that all other things remain the same, seeing a dolphin must undoubtedly be accepted as the truthmaker of the hypothesis ?p. Assuming that o also has internal phenomenal content (with psychologically given sensory impressions), we could say that in this case we are allowed to assume that the e-thought-content-rule of o, that is, o without the underline (expressible as: ‘I am having visual impressions of a dolphin emerging from the sea’) can be considered the vehicle of the experience of the real-actual fact o given in the world (representable as: ‘Being a real dolphin that has just emerged from the sea’). Summarizing: in practice, our willingness to accept evidence is dependent on a ceteris paribus, namely, on the assumption that the observation isn’t being defeated by some condition extraneous to all that is expected for the working of the given practice.

     Now, in the given case there is a defeating extraneous condition, which begins with the scarcity of real dolphins in the vicinity and ends in the training of a diver to swim just below the surface with a rubber dolphin mounted on his back, sometimes rising to the surface in a way that gives people on the shore impressions of seeing a real dolphin… Assuming that some observer S is aware of this information, what is given to him isn’t the practice (A) but a different observational practice that we can call (B), which includes information about the very unusual background circum­stances. In this (B) practice, we cannot postulate the observation of a real dolphin merely because we see what appears to be a dolphin emerging from the sea. Under the circumstances presented by (B), in which a rubber dolphin is often carried on the back of a diver swimming just below the surface, to know with certainty that one is observing a real dolphin would require closer and far more careful examination. Closer underwater inspection, for instance, might reveal factual evidence of a fake rubber dolphin, which can be symbolized by o’. In this new practice, the thought-content expressed by p could not be verified by the fact able to be represented by !o, because !o isn’t really given to S, since we already know that in its context !o cannot be trusted to be a real dolphin. However, ?p could be falsified by the more careful observation provided by o’, as the following retroanterograde schema shows:

 

p ~> ?p, !o’, po’ /├ ~p

 

What this example shows is that our usual certainty regarding experienced factual content, despite not being absolute, must be postulated as certain or irrefutable! This is assumed as a practical certainty and must be treated as beyond the level of a merely probable truth, under the assumption that the factual context does not involve unknown evidence able to defeat the linguistic practice in the context of which the perceptual judgment is made. If we obtain information indicating different background circum­stances able to discredit the practice sustaining the perceptual judgment, as in the case above, the assumed evidence vanishes.

     I can offer a second, similar example, only to reinforce the point. Yvonne is driving a car through a desert, and she thinks she sees a lake, but it is really only a mirage. At first, she believes the lake she sees on the horizon is real. We can symbolize this through the following retrograde verification procedure:

 

!o, ?p, o = p / ├ p

 

However, it soon becomes clear to her that she has made a naïve mistake; what she really sees is nothing but a so-called inferior mirage. This is caused by the refraction of sunlight passing through a layer of hot air near the ground. In this way, she adds to the background conditions the easy graspable unusual circumstances able to invalidate normal perceptual evidence. As she has learned that these unusual circumstances defeat the rules of normal observational practice (A). Instead of thinking !p, ‘I see a lake’, she thinks ├ ~p ‘I do not see a lake,’ eventually concluding:├ q, which asserts the sentence ‘I see an inferior mirage’ (or ‘I see the refracted blue of the sky’), which represent a different factual content that can be represented as o.’[56] Consequently, what was at first accepted as external evidence is now viewed as an erroneous interpretation of phenomenally given data, since practice (A) was replaced by the new practice (B). The gained awareness of the context allows the invalidation and replacement of what was at first assumed as an unassailable truthmaker. We can symbolize this change through a sequence of the two following anterograde verification procedures belonging to practice (B):

                    

?p, !o’, p ≠ !o’├ ~p,

?q, !o’, q = !o’├   q

 

It is worth noting that in both interpretations the phenomenal content of perception remains the same: an impression of seeing the color blue near the horizon. But the interpretation of this content is very different, once o’ is read as a new factual content: a mirage existing in the world. And Yvonne understands what she sees differently because a more complete awareness of the background information given by the surrounding circumstances (including the fact that the blue band always keeps the same distance to the car) is able to defeat the seemingly reasonable initial interpretation of the visually-given content as o.

22. Objection of the linguistic-cognitive circle

Probably the most influential epistemic objection to the correspondence theory of truth is the so-called problem of the linguistic-cognitive circle: Propositions can only be compared with propositions. If we compare hypothetical propositions with propositions representing evidential contents, even if these are taken as irrefutable, we remain trapped in our language and thought. Even if we find the strongest factual evidence, this evidence could only be considered in the form of linguistic expressions of propositions, but in no way do we find evidence by direct comparison of propositions (even if understood, as we do, as e-thought-rules) with real facts, states of affairs or events in the world (Neurath 1931: 541; Hempel 1935: 50-51). Here again, we would be in danger of ending up in an infinite regress with epistemic skepticism as a corollary.

     A prima facie general reply to this objection is that saying we are trapped in an intra-linguistic or intra-cognitive world already assumes we know there exists an extra-linguistic and extra-cognitive external world – a knowledge that remains unexplained.

     Philosophers like Moritz Schlick (1936) and A. J. Ayer presented a more focused reply. Here is A. J. Ayer’s well-known reply:

We break the circle by using our senses, by actually making the observations as a result of which we accept one statement and reject another. Of course, we use language to describe these observations. Facts do not figure in discourse except as true statements. But how could it be expected that they should? (1963: 186)

Ayer’s argument contains a strong appeal to common sense. Nevertheless, this appeal seems to contradict another enduring idea, which is also not alien to common sense. It is the idea that the whole content of our usual perceptual experience should be some kind of conceptually articulated belief-content and therefore should be mental in nature. Consequently, it remains not entirely unreasonable to think that we could never have direct and unquestionable access to anything referred to by a perceptual thought, even if considered as e-thought-rules, namely, external facts as they are in themselves (Cf. Blanchard 1939, vol. 2: 228).

     One reaction to this dilemma would be to accept the kind of last resort solution called idealism (e.g., Foster 2000). But today idealism seems to be an almost forbidden solution. According to idealism, all reality is in some sense mental. This view conflicts with one of our chief modest commonsense principles, namely, that we are surrounded by a cognitively independent external material world. In fact, our empirical knowledge (particularly our scientific knowledge) has told us that the mental is in some sense a minuscule emergent portion of the physical world, dependent on it to exist, just as the phenotype is dependent on the genotype. In other words, the mental appears to supervene the physical insofar as experience – scientific or otherwise – has shown. Moreover, if we stay on the side of our principle of established knowledge (Ch. II, sec. 5), idealism will remain anathema, since it denies not only the modest commonsense truth that the external world is non-mental, but also the scientific truth that the external world as a whole is overwhelmingly non-mental. In some non-mystical sense of the word ‘emergent,’ science has shown that mind is an emergent property of life, which is an emergent property of organic chemistry, a rare carbon-based chemistry emergent from our atomic and sub-atomic physical world. And all our astronomical knowledge conspires to show that this minuscule accidental phenomenon of the emergence of the mental is destined to disappear with the unavoidable process of death of the universe, which is foreseen by the laws of thermodynamics. Finally, from an anthropological perspective, idealism is very often motivated by wishful thinking, as is argued in the philosophy of culture and the humanities by authors ranging from Nietzsche to Freud and from Hume to Marx and Durkheim. It seems that human beings pay a high price for having acquired consciousness. In some way, it recalls the price paid by Prometheus for his theft of fire to benefit Mankind. Even if consciousness makes us better able to survive, it also gives us an increasing awareness that we live in an unpredictable and dangerous world, along with a clear sense of our own physical vulnerability and finitude. Idealism, by making the external world in some way mind-dependent, can be helpful in supporting those illusions of control over the external world that could give us some hope of beating the odds, a thought that is made explicit in Berkeley’s writings. Summing up, due to all the knowledge we have at our disposal today about the physical world and ourselves, more than ever before we have strong external reasons to reject idealism in favor of epistemic realism. (The internal reason is what I intend to expose later.)

23. Answering the objection of the linguistic-cognitive circle

Epistemic realism concerning the external world can be understood as the view that preserves the natural opposition between the mental and the material worlds in the sense that we can roughly characterize the internal mental world as only experienceable in the first-person, while the external physico-material world can be mainly characterized as able to be experienced in the third-person.

     Assuming epistemic realism, in what follows I will defend direct realism as able to give us the kind of epistemological framework that will make it possible to break the linguistic-cognitive circle. Direct realism is the view that our senses provide direct awareness of the external world, showing it pretty much as it is. Direct realism differs from indirect or representational realism, which is the view that we have direct experience only of our own sensations, which inform us about the external world, so that the latter is never directly experienced. Both, direct and indirect realisms, differ from a third traditional epistemological position, called phenomenalism. According to this last view, we can have experiential access only to our sensations or sense-data, since there is no sufficient reason to postulate an external world independent of actual or possible sensations. This view leads almost inevitably to idealism and to rejection of a really existing non-mental external world (Cf. Ch. IV, sec. 20).

     My defense of direct realism begins with the suggestion that everything experienced in real perception has a kind of Janus face, able to explain the double nature of !o, as the thought o and as a fact in the world underlining o. What I mean is that what is given to us in proper sensory-perceptual experience of the external world can always be understood as two different types of interrelated entities: one psychological and the other physical, as follows:

 

(A) The merely psychological experience of cognitively-dependent internally given sensory content, the so-called sense-data.

 

(B) The proper, physically understood cognitively-independent, externally given perceived content (that is, the external real entities understood as physically particularized property-tropes, material objects as clusters of tropes, simple or complex facts as tropical arrangements…).

 

Psychological experience (A) gives us what we may call sensory impressions or sensory contents (also called sensations, sensa, sense-data, percepts, phenomena, representations, ideas…). It seems commonsensical that sensory contents are always present in perceptual internal tropical experience (even if we are usually unaware of them) as I intend to show later. But experience (B) also seems beyond doubt: it is the view that in addition to sensory experience, when we really perceive something, this something is given to us as an external, physico-material kind of entity. Indeed, it is also commonsense knowledge to say that we usually perceive the external world directly and as it really is. And this external world, as we have shown, is originarily accessible as constituted by physical, external tropes (properties) relatively dependent of clusters of relatively independent compresent external tropes with some form and mass, most of them called material objects, and by arrangements of both, also called facts.

     The clearest evidence favoring this double view is given by tactile experience. Suppose I touch a hot stove with my hand. I can say I have a sensation of heat: this sensory-impression is the psychological (criterial) sensory-content of experience (A). Alternatively, I can also say that I have perceived that the stove is hot; this is the correct perceptual experience of the (criterial) perceptual content, that is, an externally given physical tropical state of a material object (B). The most important point is that in the normal case we cannot phenomenally and descriptively distinguish experience (A) from experience (B) (Cf. Searle 2015: 24). In spite of this, we can always conceptually distinguish the two cases, as the following examples of tactile experience show:

 

(A) [I have the feeling that] the stove is hot.

(B)   The stove [I am touching] is hot.

 

In a similar way, I can say:

 

(A) [I have the feeling that] I am holding a tennis ball in my hand.

(B)   I [am aware that] I am holding a tennis ball in my hand.

 

Now, from auditory experience, I can say:

 

(A) I [have the auditory impression that] I hear thunder.

(B)   I hear thunder [outside and over there].

 

And of the most common visual experience, I can also say:

 

(A) [I have the visual impression that] I am watching a fishing boat entering the mouth of Pirangi River.

(B)  [I am aware that] I am watching a fishing boat entering the mouth of Pirangi River.

 

As you can see, although what we could call linguistic descriptions of contents outside the brackets are the same in cases (A) and (B),[57] in (A) cases I speak of merely sensory (criterial) contents occurring in my head, while in (B) cases I speak of objectively real physico-material external contentsperceived factual (independent criterial) contents pre-existing in the external world. Note that in cases of perceptual contents, I speak of contents such as the distinguishable objects found in a drawer, that is, of objectively real tropical entities given to experience, which should not be confused with semantic contents understood as rules whose dependent criteria should be satisfied by the first ones). Furthermore, on the one hand, the real perceptual content (B) is epistemically dependent on mere sensory content (A), because without sense impressions (A), one couldn’t know (B); on the other hand, sensory content (A) is ontologically dependent on the real external things constituting perceptual content (B), since (B) causes (A).

     Accepting the above dual understanding of perceptual experience is not hard and does not compromise direct realism. I can illustrate how harmless the duplicity is by comparing it with our interpretation of objects that I see in a mirror. What I see in a mirror can be understood as: (A’) a simple image of things, for instance, the image of a vase of flowers on a table. But it can also be understood as (B’) the vase in itself that I am looking at in a mirror. For instance, I can point to the object I see in a mirror, and you can ask me if I am pointing to the reflected image of the vase of flowers or to the real vase of flowers. That they belong to different domains of experience is made clear by contextual differences: the image isn’t considered real, because I cannot touch or smell it. The real vase of flowers, on the other hand, can be touched, smelled, directly seen from all sides, manipulated, broken; its weight and its size can be accurately measured and shown to remain constant, independently of the changeable apparent size of its image… Alternatively, I can change the apparent size of the image by bringing the vase closer to the mirror. And this apparent size always doubles the real distance of the vase from the mirror… Nevertheless, to a reasonable extent, qualitative properties and relations of both image and reality will be alike or correlated. Moreover and unavoidably, looking in the mirror I would not be able to see and locate the vase on the table without the help of its image.

     In fact, access to the real vase is dependent on access to its image. As in cases like (B) above, (B’) is epistemically dependent on (A’), because without the image (A’) I could not see (B’). Alternatively, (A’) is ontologically (causally) dependent on (B’). This is why when I pay attention to an object in a mirror I interpret it as perceptually dependent on its image, but when I pay attention to the image I see it as causally dependent on the real object. I can easily say I see the reality by means of the image. But I will never say that I cannot see the actual object only because what I really see is just its image.

     Like all analogies, the mirror-image analogy has its limits. For instance, I can always be aware of the image in the mirror as an image, but I am normally unaware of my own sense-data (except, for instance, in cases like those of lucid dreams). However, even here we find something similar: I am aware of the image qua image externally, mainly through conditions like the restriction to visual access and the relations to other things, not due to the image itself. Anyway, the mirror-analogy reinforces the idea that we can answer the objection of the linguistic-cognitive circle by saying that the content of any real experience can be understood in two ways:

 

(A) Internally and psychologically, as a first-person sensory-based e-thought-content-rule (a sensory-perceptual e-thought-content-rule with its internally fulfilled criteria).

(B) Externally as a third-person physico-material fact (the referred non-semantic factual content constituted by arrangements of external tropical criteria).

 

Now, insofar as we are also able to read in the given phenomenal content an external factual content, we should be able to escape the linguistic-cognitive circle.

     A complementary but also indispensable point that I have dealt with many times already is that we almost never have a complete sensory-perceptual experience of external factual content. Our perceptual experience is typically perspectival. We experience only facets, aspects, sub-facts. If from a position on shore I see a fishing boat entering the mouth of Pirangi River, I may experience (see) only one side of the fishing boat. However, based on this dynamic tropical sub-fact (an aspect of a process), I am able to say not only that I see one side of the boat – the sub-fact – but also that I see the whole boat and that I am following the whole process of the real fishing boat entering the mouth of Pirangi River – a dynamic grounding fact (See Ch. IV, sec. 25-27; Ch. VI, sec. 6). All these descriptions might be true and their truth derives equally from adequation.

     Another complementary point is the unavoidable admission that sensory content (sense-data) really accompany all our perceptions. That this purely sensory content exists can be illustrated by a phantom pain from a missing limb, after-images, and lucid dreams. A person can feel pain in an amputated limb as if the limb were still there. An after-image appears when someone closes his eyes after looking briefly at the sun. A lucid dream is a dream controlled by a person who is aware that she is dreaming. Furthermore, for those still skeptical of the existence of internal sense-data in normal perception, experiments with vision reconstruction, which involve computationally reconstructed brain experiences of scanned moving images by means of fMRI (e.g., Nishimoto et al. 2011), are more than proof that these sensory contents in the brain really exist, as in these experiments subjects experience their own sensory images and interpersonally compare them with what they see in the external world![58] The dichotomy considered above is also important because it is a necessary condition for the already noted defeasibility of observational evidence: under perceived anomalous conditions we can reinterpret experience by withdrawing from what we believed to be real perceptual content to mere sensory content reinterpreting the lost one.

 

Conclusions

There are two main theories of justification: coherentism and foundationalism. There are two main theories of truth: coherentism and correspondence theory. According to the coherentist theory of truth, the truth of a proposition is achieved by its coherence with a system of propositions. According to the correspondence theory, the truth of a proposition comes from its correspondence with a fact (which I broadly read as a situation, a state of affairs, an event, a process…). Is this parallel between theories of justification and theories of truth only a coincidence or not? If not, where this parallel begins, and where it ends?

   I think that my treatment of the definition of knowledge in the chapter on the definition of knowledge has a key to the answer. My use of the term ‘justifying evidence’ for what justifies and for what makes true was purposeful. The justifying evidence for the knowing-claimer justification is called a justifier. The justifying evidence that allows the knowledge-evaluator to conclude that p is true is called a truth-maker. Both are facts in the above explained sense.

   Now, having more explicitly considered the structure of justification, we can return to the problem. In fact, the conditions that need to be satisfied in order to make a belief or statement true are parallel to the conditions that need to be satisfied in order to make a belief justified, at least insofar as we accept a moderate kind of foundationalism in theory of justification and a correlative correspondence theory of truth. After all, truth is based on truth-makers, justification is based on justifiers, and both are facts.

   There is, however, an important difference, and considering our perspectival reconstruction of the traditional definition of knowledge we are now able to see what is different and what is identical between the verifying procedure of truth-making and the justifying procedure of justification. The conditions of truth, namely, those possible facts that justify our ascription of truth to statements (or to belief-contents) are those that belong to the usually broader point of view of the knowledge evaluator (or the knowledge-evaluators), which in most cases means that the satisfaction of conditions or truth are those that are shared among people enough qualified to make the best possible judgement. The procedure that shows the correspondence between the truth-maker, the fact, and the belief-content or proposition is a verifiability procedure, which is similar to a procedure of justification, notwithstanding all the misunderstandings regarding verifiability procedures.[59] The conditions of the justification of a belief, on the other hand, are normally those restricted to a knowledge-claimer or of a smaller set of associated knowledge-claimers. From the perspective of the knowledge-evaluators, they only become truth-makers when they are accepted by him (or by the community of ideas represented by him) as belonging or able to belong to the set of justifying evidences E*p that are individually seen as facts in the world able to make the proposition p true. Only when they are accepted by the knowledge evaluator, they turn to be satisfied conditions of truth.

   We can extend the conclusion of this chapter, suggesting that the element of coherence belongs to the foundationalist theory of justification as much as it also belongs to the correspondence theory of truth. I have already shown this point regarding the coherence theory of truth (Costa, 2018: 408 f.). This last theory says that a true proposition can only be made true by its relationship with a system of propositions, which can be deductive or inductive or both. Now, suppose it is deductive. In this case it will demand the truth of the premises in order to warrant a true conclusion. On the other hand, if the argument is inductive, the probable truth of the conclusion will demand that the premises are also highly probably true. In any case, the inferential force of a conclusion, any conclusion, will demand the truth of the premises. This is, however, something that coherence alone is unable to warrant. It doesn’t mind how long or complicated a circular inferential chain is, it cannot confer to any premise truth or probable truth in order to warrant any conclusion. The veritative force of any proposition must in the end come, by direct or indirect ways, from something outside the chain of propositions, and this can only be made by a priori truth-makers for a priori statements (logical, mathematical, definitional) or by empirical truth-makers for empirical (perceptual, introspective) statements. This means that coherence is nothing but a interdoxastic mechanism working in the construction of the correspondences between our propositions and the world.[60]

   Finally, the concepts of the system-of-all-beliefs and of the system-of-reality can be applied to both cases: the personal justification and the usually more interpersonally achievable verifiability procedures leading to truth. In the last case the system-of-reality concerns the truth concerning the real world, while the system-of-all-truths also contains the fictional truths relative to the sub-systems of propositions that are in some way or other dependent of the system of reality.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

V

 LIMITS OF KNOWLEDGE

 

 

The difficulty is to realize the groundlessness of our believing.

Wittgenstein

 

Scepticism is doubt regarding the indubitable. Philosophers have constructed arguments that lead us to questioning things we normally consider certain, like knowledge by testimony, existence of other minds, existence of the external world, inductive knowledge, and even the existence of knowledge (with the exception of the knowledge that there is no knowledge, of course, in order to save them from self-contradiction). Those sceptical arguments are important for epistemology, not as much because they seem to be sound, but mainly because they represent a challenge to the epistemologist, since much philosophical progress is dialectically tributary to interesting challenges. Moreover, they help us to establish the limits of our meaningful language and knowledge. Answering the sceptics might allow us to distinguish real questions that can be reasonably answered from pseudo-questions that only invite us to produce pointless pseudo-answers. The last ones are only apparently meaningful, because they exceed the limits of what can be cognitively questioned and answered. In what follows, I will restrict myself to the discussion of two such cases: scepticism about induction and scepticism about the external world.

 

1. Scepticism about induction

Scepticism about induction was introduced by David Hume, entangled with his analysis of causation[61]. Since I am interested here in scepticism about induction, I will separate his argument from his analysis of causation. Moreover, I will reconstruct and improve it a bit in order to show its forcefulness.

   First, you probably know the form of an enumerative inductive argument: we have a thing[62] A that is associated with another thing B in n% in a sufficient number and random circumstances, which allows us to conclude that this association will be preserved with a probability similar to n% in the next case or, generalizing, in all cases. Considering a simple example: we know that under random circumstances fire was always followed by heat in the past (here n = 100%); this serves as the premise for the conclusion that the next time there is a fire, it will very probably heat its surroundings, or even for the generalization that fire will always very probably produce heat (I say ‘very probably’ because the mark of the inductive reasoning is that the truth of its premises never warrants its conclusions, in opposition to deductive reasoning).

   Inductive inferences can be not only from the past to the future (as in the case above), but also from a recent past to a distant past (fire has always heated its surroundings), and from known locations to new ones, actual or not (like the fire in Europe, fire in Burma also heats its surroundings, as much as a fire in Kamchatka heated its surroundings during the last Ice Age…).

   Another important form of inductive reasoning is the so-called inference to the best explanation (abduction). We came to the conclusion that the moon is illuminated by the sun, causing its different phases, because we always saw the sun on the side of the sky opposed to the illuminated side of the moon. More than any other hypothesis, this is the best explanation for the phases of the moon. Since premises can be true and despite this the conclusion false, this inference is also inductive. Moreover, it seems very plausible to think that this kind of inductive inference is based on numerous previous enumerative inferences, like the view that rightly placed luminous physical bodies always illuminate dark bodies… If this is the case, as it seems, then Hume’s argument also applies to the inferences to the best explanation. Furthermore, being inference to the best explanation logically subordinated to the enumerative induction, any attempt to justify the induction appealing to the inference to the best explanation is from the start obliterated.[63]

   Arriving at our reconstruction of Hume’s argument, his first question is: how do we know that the premises of a strong (>50%) inductive argument make its conclusion probable? For Hume, the natural answer should be the appeal to a metaphysical principle of the regularity or uniformity of nature, which concerning the causal relation can be expressed in the statement that the future will be like the past. We can express an instance of the argument as follows:

 

          A

1.    The future will be similar to the past.[64]

2.    Fire has always heated its surroundings.

3.    Hence (very probably) the next fire will heat its surroundings.

or

4.    Hence (very probably) fire will always heat its surroundings.

 

Although Hume has restricted himself to arguments like A, since we wish to contemplate the different extensions of induction in time and space, we can state the principle of uniformity of nature more broadly as follows:

 

PU: (i) The future must be similar to its past, (ii) the less recent past must be similar to its more recent past, (iii) the next location of space must be similar to the already known ones.[65]

 

Based on PU we can extend our justification of induction to past cases, as in the following example in which we apply PU(ii):

 

1.    The less recent past must be similar to its more recent past. (PU(ii))

2.    In the recent past fire has always heated things.

3.    Hence (very probably) in the remote past fire also heated things.

 

Concerning PU(iii) we can also give a similar example:

 

1.    The next region of space must be similar to the already known region of space. (PU(iii))

2.    In the already known regions of the earth fire has always heated.

3.    Hence (very probably) fire heats in unknown regions of the earth.

 

We can also combine parts of PU, as PU(ii) an PU(iii) in the following example:

 

1.    The less recent past must be similar to the more recent past. (PU(ii))

2.    The next region of space must be similar to the already known region of space. (PU(iii))

3.    In the already known regions of the earth fire has always heated.

4.    Hence (probably) fire also heated in Kamchatka during the Ice Age.

 

In this way, I think we have extended the principle of the uniformity of nature to its outer limits.

   Now, consider the epistemic status of PU(i): if it is warranted as true, then the inductive force of the argument A is warranted. The first problem noted by Hume, however, was that PU(i) is not what he used to call a ‘relation of ideas’. In saying this he was arguably telling us that PU(i) is not an analytic principle, since the most well-known mark of the analytic sentence is that it cannot be denied without contradiction or incongruency (in Hume’s words, denials of relations of ideas are ‘impossible’ or ‘unconceivable’). Hume saw, PU(i) can be denied without contradiction, what we can easily extend to each subdivision of PU. “The future will not be similar to its past” is a perfectly meaningful sentence. If it is so, then PU(i), along with PU, must be a synthetic statement. But this seems to mean that the statement is based on experience.[66] This was Hume’s first consequential result: a non-uniform world is conceivable, hence the uniformity of nature cannot be an analytic principle.

   Reflecting on this, one can go further, posing the following question: how do we achieve our belief that the nature is uniform? Indeed, we can achieve a firm belief regarding PU(i), but the only way we can achieve this belief seems to be experientially. In what follows, I present the only plausible way to make PU(i) plausibly true[67]:

 

1.    All the futures of our pasts were similar to their own pasts.

2.    Hence (probably) the future (of our present) will be similar to its past.

 

There is, however, a serious problem with this argument: it is an inductive one. That is, we are trying to warrant our inductive arguments by means of a principle based upon induction, and this is circular. We are trying to justify something using what we intend to justify in the procedure of justification.

   The Humean conclusion, based on an analysis restricted to PU(i), was downright sceptical: we cannot warrant our inductive arguments. This conclusion can be also extended to PU(ii) and PU(iii), since these parts of our version of the principle of uniformity can be easily proved to depend on inductive reasoning to be established.

   The conclusion is that we have no reason to believe that the sun will rise tomorrow, that in the fire also heats things in Burma… or that fire heated things in Kamchatka during the last Ice Age. Neither our empirical science nor our common sense knowledge of the world have any rational warrant.

   According to Hume, our inductive expectances are a whimsical result of imagination. We have a psychological disposition to believe in our inductive results, since we have the disposition of forming a habit or custom based on repetition. Hence, we have the habit to expect that the next fire will heat things or that the sun will rise tomorrow in the same way as insects have the instinctive tendency to follow light. However, with the queer exception of Karl Popper, few philosophers have followed Hume up to this point.

 

1.2 Critical summary of some attempted answers

Before proposing what seems to me clearly the right path for the solution of Hume’s problem of induction, I will summarize some attempts to solve it and their difficulties. This helps us to dimension the problem.

   A first and more radical response consisted in the acceptance of Hume’s conclusion. Karl Popper was probably the only important philosopher who followed this path. For him, induction does not exist. Nonetheless, science is possible because according to him science is not based on induction: Science is based on the creation of new theories, as imaginative as bold, which are assumed as true insofar as they resist to empirical tests potentially able to falsify them.[68]

   This answer contains a difficulty that was noted by many critics, namely, that it surreptitiously appeals to induction.[69] After all, what reasons would we have to believe in a theory that has resisted the tests as being more plausible than any other, except if they were inductive reasons? Worst yet: how can we know that a theory that has resisted the refuting tests in the past will continue to resist them in the future, except if we believe that it is inductively assured? Without a principle of induction, we do not have even reasons to believe that theories refuted in the past will not be well-succeed in the future!

   Another attempt to deal with Hume’s problem that makes concessions to his skepticism was the pragmatic vindication of induction proposed by Hans Reichenbach.[70] Like Popper, he also accepted the Humean argument as unassailable, but suggests a pragmatic response, which treats inductive reasoning as a wager or bet. According to him, either the nature is uniform or not. Suppose that the nature is uniform. In this case, the inductive procedure will be successful, while alternative procedures, like the watching a crystal-ball or the reading of tea leaves, will be successful or not. Now, imagine that the nature is not uniform. In this case, no procedure will be successful. Consequently, it is better to bet in the inductive procedure!

   The objection against this kind of reasoning is that it is exceedingly pessimist. Inductive procedures are bets without any previous warranted probability. In this sense we are in a worse situation then people betting in a casino roulette. We are, in Reichenbach’s own view, like a blind person lost within a forest, trying to find a way out. It is difficult to imagine a more despairing situation.

   There are also inductivist answers based on the fact that when asked why we believe in inductive arguments we are tempted to answer that it is because they were well-succeed in the past. Philosophers as Max Black[71] and F.L. Will[72] have attempted to show that this reasoning isn’t a circular because we can appeal to the same principle that the regularities observed in the past will tend to repeat in the future applied in a second level, justifying this last principle with the same principle applied in a third level and so on ad infinitum. However, it does not seem rational to justify an argument appealing to the same argument applied in a higher level. If this kind of justification were possible, then anything could be promptly justified. The case remembers us a similar problem concerning the justification of deductive inferences by means of higher order identical deductive inferences exemplified by Lewis Carol’s famous discussion between Achilles and the turtle. The turtle refuses to accept the modus ponens: “p & (p → q) ⸫ q”. Achilles justify the use of the modus ponens by means of a second level rule of identical to the first one: “p & (p → q) ⸫ q”. Since the turtle refuses to accept this new rule, they are taken to a quarrel without end. The moral of the story is that it the attempt to justify a rule of deductive inference by applying the same rule on a higher level is a helpless deal. Why should this moral not be applied to the inductive attempts to justify induction altogether?

   A curious but in my view also failed attempt was made from Donald Williams.[73] He departed from the statistical syllogism, according to which if n% of a population has the characteristic F, then a random sample of the population will have approximately n% members with characteristic F. This can be seen as a logically intuitive inference, which goes from the already observed to the already observed. Williams strategy, however, is to reverse this argument in order to deal with the problem of induction: if it is given to us a random sample in which n% of the members have the characteristic F, this means that the whole population probably has n% of its members with the characteristic F, which is a inductive inference going from the observed to the unobserved.

   Although from an inductivist point of view William’s reasoning is reasonable, it makes nothing to solve the problem, since his solution still presupposes the regularity of the universe. This is made particularly clear when we try make the same inference from one place to other (PU(ii)) or from the past to the future (PU(i)). The first case can be exemplified by the generalization that all swans were white. In the Middle-Ages it was truly made for European swans. Afterward, however, they have discovered black swans in Australia. Consider now the second case. We are very sure that 100% of the present penguins do not fly. But nothing warrants us that penguins will not tomorrow begin to fly in flocks, except by presupposing that the future will be like its past, which is obtained by means of induction.

   There are also deductive attempts to justify induction. Bertrand Russell once suggested the existence of an inductive principle that grounds deductive inferences with probabilistic conclusions.[74] We can arrive at something of this kind proposing the following inductivist principle of induction or PI:

 

PI: If under random circumstances the thing x has been always observed in a certain association with the thing y in the proportion n%, (i) if x will be observed in the future, it will very probably preserve the same association with y in a similar proportion, the same association between x and y being very probably preserved (ii) in another unobserved places and (iii) in another unobserved pasts.

 

With this formulation, I am attempting to show that PI is in fact a linguistic-cognitive counterpart of PU, which is its ontological formulation. Because of this, we can use PI in the same way as PU, replacing the argument A by the analogous argument B that follows:

 

          B

1.    If under random circumstances the thing x has been always observed in a certain association with the thing y in the proportion n%, if x will be observed in the future, it will very probably preserve the same association with y in a similar proportion. (PI(i))

2.    Fire is something (some x) that was always observed in association with the heating its surroundings (the y).

3.    Hence (very probably) the next observed fire (an x) will be observed in association with the heating of its surroundings (an y).

or

4.    Hence (very probably) all observable fires (as x’s) will always be observed in associated with the heating of its surroundings (as y’s).

 

The problem with this PI is the same as the problem with PU. In the same way as PU, it seems clear that any formulation of this kind can be denied without contradiction, what means that it is not an analytic truth. Indeed, if the world loses its uniformities, then not only PU will be false, but also its linguistic counterpart PI will be made false. If PI is no analytic principle, it must be a synthetic one. It could not be an empirical or a posteriori synthetic principle, since in this case it would require induction to be confirmed. Therefore, it must be either a postulate or some kind of synthetic a priori principle in the sense of an informative principle about the world; something necessary though born from own minds. The first alternative is inviable, since it sounds like a dogmatic ad hoc solution; we are saying that the word follows PI by a fiat. The second alternative falls into the old Kantian anthropomorphism: the external world must follow the principle simply because, say, the human reason commands it to do so, what is utterly unreasonable.

   A last attempt to solve the problem of induction is to dissolve it, trying to show that it is only a pseudo-problem. Philosophers like Paul Edwards[75] and, mainly, P. F. Strawson[76], have attempted this. According to Strawson the so-called problem of induction is a pseudo-problem resulting from an equivocal use of the concepts of rationality and justification. If we ask someone to justify why the sun will arise tomorrow, the person will answer that this will occur because it has always periodically arisen, and we all will consider this particular inductive justification perfectly rational. This means that the acceptance of inductive reasoning is part of our standards of rationality. Consequently, it makes no sense an attempt to justify inductive logic, since it is part of our source of rational decisions. Rejection of inductive logic would be intuitively perceived as irrational. It would be like an attempt to justify deductive logic; there is no proper answer, insofar as it grounds our rationality.

   But then, why philosophers insist in trying to find a justification for the inductive logic? The reason is that they are looking for a deductive justification for induction. But this cannot be found, simply because there is no way to assimilate induction to deduction. According to Strawson, this confusion results from the assimilation of rationality with success. The rationality of induction does not warrant success. It is, according to him, perfectly possible that the world turns to be chaotic in such a way that our inductive procedures become unsuccessful. But this does not make induction irrational, since this conclusion results to the application of a higher order inductive reasoning.

   Against this, one can object that Strawson is accepting that the induction follows a synthetic a priori principle warranting its probable results. Strawson’s dissociation between rationality and success is an attempt to evade from this conclusion. However, if we dissociate induction from success, then the problem of induction returns with all its force, since what Hume and others have tried was precisely to explain why we should believe that our inductive reasoning could be successful.[77]

   Although all these attempts are imaginative and able to teach us something, regarding the problem in itself they sound as inadequate as attempts to kill a brontosaurus with the help of a slingshot. I think, however, that there is an alternative view that promises to pay the bill.

 

1.2 A new start

The argumentative strategy that seems to me to touch the very heart of the problem was never really developed, but it is in some way summarized in the words of Jenny Teichman and C. C. Evans, in an unpretentious introduction to philosophy[78]:

 

It would be impossible to say truly that the universe is a chaos, since if the universe were genuinely chaotic there would not be a language to tell it. A language depends on things and qualities having enough persistence in time to be identified by words and this same persistence is a form of uniformity.

 

The philosopher Keith Campbell made this same point earlier. He noted that the world must have sufficient order to allow us to reapply a concept, since if our concepts could not be reapplied, they could not be checked, and therefore could not be established as concepts[79]. To this could be added that without the possibility of reapplying our concepts, they could not be associated with conceptual words in order to be intersubjectively shared in a common language: a world without enough order to allow induction would be unspeakable.

   Although emphasizing language, what these authors have grasped is that it doesn’t matter how disordered a world is, if it is recognizable as a world, it must have enough order in space and time to be open to some kind of inductive access. Put differently: A possible world must be at least conceivable (that is, in some sense imaginable). But any conceivable world must be open to induction. Therefore, openness to induction is a condition of possibility for any possible world.

   We can order these intuitions about the relationship between world (or universe), conceivability and induction in the form of the following argument:

 

1.    Any possible world must be at least conceivable.

2.    Any conceivable world should have at least some degree of regularity.

3.    Any world that has some degree of regularity must be open to some kind of inductive procedure.

4.    (1-3) Hence, any conceivable world must be open to some kind of inductive procedure.

5.    Our world is a possible world.

6.    (5, 1-3) Our world is open to some kind of inductive procedure;

 

The central idea of the argument is that the existence of a fully chaotic world is impossible, since such a world would be inconceivable and we cannot speak meaningfully of worlds that are inconceivable, since this does not belong to the concept of world as we understand it.

   One reason why this idea can meet resistance is that the literature on the problem of induction is full of references to chaotic worlds which are inaccessible to inductive procedures. This is, however, a disastrous mistake, and I regret to say that that culprit was Hume himself. The mistake arose because his objection against the justifiability of induction was restricted to his analysis of causality, which is based on UP(i). Causality is typically what we could call a case of diachronic regularity, which happens when in a regular way an event A occurs temporally earlier than an event B. This is clear in Hume’s causal-inductive examples. One of them is that of Adam, who seeing water the first time could not have inferred from its fluidity and transparency that it would suffocate him, and seeing fire from the first time could not infer from its light and warmth that it could consume him.[80] Another examples are those of unexpected changes in the curse of nature, when the uniformity of nature is not preserved, as it would be the case if snow falling from the clouds unexpectedly tastes like salt and burns like fire, or when the all trees unexpectedly flower in winter and decay in summer[81].

   If induction were restricted to diachronic regularities, it would suffice to imagine a frozen world – a world without any diachronic regularity – and this world should be impervious to induction. But why should be a frozen world impervious to induction? The point is that, focusing on diachronic regularities leads us to forget another, equally important form of regularity also assumed by UP, namely, synchronic regularity. The state of affairs that Notre Dame is on the Ille de France, the situation that the Tower of Pisa leans and the supposed fact that Cleopatra had a big nose are all synchronic regularities. When entwined one another, these synchronic regularities are usually called structures. Gothic cathedrals are perhaps the best examples of very complex and harmonic synchronic structures, and they have already existed over a long period of time without relevant changes. Synchronic regularities are, however, objects of induction as much as diachronic regularities, since only induction allows us to foresee that synchronic regularities perceived in the past will endure in the future. Thus, Notre Dame will remain on the Ille of France, the Tower of Pisa will continue leaned, the gothic Cathedrals are expected to preserve their structures through the next centuries, and all this we believe as result of induction. In the same way, we expect as result of induction that similar things in different places will have a structure similar to the already known, projecting this kind of permanence inductively also to the unobserved past.

   When we realize that our world is made up as much of diachronic regularities as also of synchronic regularities, then it becomes clearly impossible to think that we are able to conceive a world without regularities. We can conceive several world courses: (i) a world sustaining its usual regularities, (ii) a world gaining regularities, (iii) a world losing regularities. But we cannot conceive (iv): a world that would have no regularity, a completely chaotic world. In the following passage of Sartre’s novel Nausea, he conceives a world losing regularities:

 

It can happen any time, perhaps right now: the omens are present. For example, the father of a family might go out for a walk, and, across the street, he’ll see something like a red rag, blown towards him by the wind. And when the rag has gotten close to him, he’ll see that it is a side of rotten meat, grimy with dust, dragging itself along by crawling, skipping, a piece of writhing flesh rolling in the gutter, spasmodically shooting out spurts of blood. Or a mother might look at her child’s cheek and ask him: "What's that – a pimple?" and see the flesh puff out a little, split, open, and at the bottom of the split an eye, a laughing eye might appear. Or they might feel things gently brushing against their bodies, like the caresses of reeds to swimmers in a river. And they will realize that their clothing has become living things. And someone else might feel something scratching in his mouth. He goes to the mirror, opens his mouth: and his tongue is an enormous, live centipede, rubbing its legs together and scraping his palate. He’d like to spit it out, but the centipede is a part of him and he will have to tear it out with his own hands. And a crowd of things will appear for which people will have to find new names—stone-eye, great three-cornered arm, toecrutch, spider-jaw. And someone might be sleeping in his comfortable bed, in his quiet, warm room, and wake up naked on a bluish earth, in a forest of rustling birch trees, rising red and white towards the sky like the smokestacks of Jouxtebouville, with big bumps half-way out of the ground, hairy and bulbous like onions. And birds will fly around these birch trees and pick at them with their beaks and make them bleed. Sperm will flow slowly, gently, from these wounds, sperm mixed with blood, warm and glassy with little bubbles. (…)

 

These are deep and disturbing changes. Nonetheless, there is nothing in this report (or in any report of the kind) that makes the world really chaotic. Although the living rotten meat crawling to the family father is indeed a strange creature, its unexpected properties are all already well-known. Moreover, even the individuals suffering changes, like the child, the eye, a man, a tongue, birch trees, birds, can be also identified by their structures, although their also well-known new properties are unexpected and frightening. The centipede behaves like a centipede and human beings react desperately as expected in such situations. What Sartre describes is based on a considerable number of well-known synchronic and diachronic regularities combined in unexpected ways, and the only reason why we are able to fully understand the description and react to it is because of our acquaintance with all these already well-known regularities. In fact, if all regularities could be erased, no intelligible text could be composed. The future, at least in proportion to its greater proximity to the present, must maintain sufficient similarity to its past to allow an application of inductive procedures, making us recognize the continuity of the same world we know today, notwithstanding how many unexpected and undesirable changes come to pass.

   We can do some thought-experiments in order to reinforce these conclusions. Imagine a frozen world without any diachronic regularities. This world would still have the regularity of the permanence of its own structure, allowing us to apply inductive reasoning to foresee that it would remain the same world, preserving this same constitution in the next moment and over the whole period of its existence. Imagine by contrast (as if it were possible) a minimalist world formed by a note of a single pitch or a blinking red light that repeats itself at aleatory intervals. Once it ceases to repeat, this world ceases to exist. But this minimalist world still has the regularity of repetition. Hence, one could inductively expect this repetition.

   One can complain that it may be difficult to apply induction when the regularities are few. But this remark ignores a logical point. Induction is potentially flexible. The required inductive search can be calibrated in conformity with circumstances. When the probability to find a regularity is lower, we expand the inductive search. Consider, as illustration, the wild camels of the Gobi’s desert. The expanse of the Gobi’s desert is immense. It includes the north of China and the whole of Mongolia. And these shy camels are rare, supposing they have not yet become extinct. One can visually survey a vast expanse of desert, searching up and down the hills of sand with powerful binoculars until you find a Gobi camel, if you have luck. Here the pressure of inductive calibration must be very high.

   Finally, one can ask after all what is the advantage of adopting an analytic-conceptual solution instead of, say, a synthetic a priori solution? The answer is in the hand. As we saw in the first chapter of this book, the analytic sentence cannot be falsified within the system to which it belongs, though the whole system can be falsified (e.g. the Euclidean geometry was falsified regarding its application to the physical world), neutralizing the analytic sentence. In the present case, however, the analytic principle is so wide in its application that the system to which it belongs is the whole world as we can conceive it, which means that this system cannot be even falsified, since there is no other world, not even a possible world, able to falsify such a system.

   The general conclusion is that some principle of uniformity must be applicable, insofar as we might assume cognitive access to the world. As we will see, we lack a formulation of this principle that is sufficiently precise and adequate instead of vague and misleading.

 

1.2.1 Searching for more appropriate formulations

When we more carefully consider the temporal dimensions (i) and (ii) and the spatial dimension (iii) of PU, within which we apply inductive reasoning, we see that much more must be taken into consideration.[82] Consider PU(i): the principle that the future will be like its past. What is meant with PU(i) is vague. Suppose we take it literally (like Hume) and deny this by saying that the future will not be like its past. This denial does not seem to contain any contradiction, which means that PU(i) is not analytical. This is not desirable, since PU(i) cannot be synthetic a posteriori or empirical, and since we do not wish to accept a principle of uniformity that is synthetic a priori. Such a principle would counteract the very plausible view according to which all (or almost all) our empirical knowledge is fallible. Moreover, a reading of PU(i) as telling us that all of the future will be similar to its past is obviously wrong. Not only does nothing prevent great unexpected changes (a great meteor collides with the earth, etc.), but considering the infinitude of time, a very distant future can be utterly different from our past. Suppose, for instance, you could observe the world some micro-seconds after the big-bang. The future in which there would be myriads of galaxies with stars and planets, some of them with life and consciousness like we find on the earth, would be utterly different from what was going on at that moment.

   However, there is something analytically right in PU(i). Although the future can be different from its past, it cannot be completely different from its past, at least when seen as a sufficiently near future. For in this case, how could we identify a future as the future of its own past? Suppose that we propose the following version of PU(i):

 

PU(i)* The future must have at least some similarity with its past.

 

This seems to be conceptually true, its denial leading to contradiction. For if the future had nothing to do with its own past, it could be the future of any other past!

   We can pose the point more accurately. We can understand what we usually call ‘the future’ as the temporally successive sets of regularities constitutive of the world after the present, while the ‘past’ can be understood as the temporally successive sets of regularities constitutive of the world before the present. Assuming this, we can say: it belongs to the concept of future that it must be the future of its own past in order not to be the future of any other past. Putting this in terms of possible worlds: the future F of the actual world w can only be the future of w, that is, Fw, which only can be the future of the past of w, that is, of Pw. It cannot be the future of the numerous other possible worlds w1, w2, w3… Therefore, it is necessary that there is something that identifies Fw as the future of Pw And this something cannot be other than some margin of similarity. That is: the concept of a future must be in some way conceptually linked with the notion of its past in at least some minimal measure in order to warrant the temporal association between Fw and Pw. This is why PU(i)* satisfies our characterization of analyticity: to say that PU(i)* is false means to reject the relation of complementarity between the concepts of future and past in the sentence, making the denial of PU(i)* inconsistent. (Moreover, this related transition from past to future must be spatially located. For instance: one cannot imagine the suddenly replacement of a sunny day in Los Angeles by the afternoon in Calisto, a satellite of Jupiter.)

   If we wish to warrant induction, we must read the principle that the future must be like its past in a more precise and adequate way. We must refine PU(i) so that it shows itself as something analytic-conceptual and a priori in this harmless sense. In order to show that such a reading is possible, consider the following example:

 

Presently, at time T0, there is a piece of wax. This piece of wax is warmed and in T1 it changes from a solid to a liquid state. Until now, most things have remained the same, not only the atomic constitution of the wax, but also the molecular constitution that makes up what we commonly call wax. Then, in T2 the wax is warmed much more, so that what remains are only ashes. The chemical constitution of the wax is now lost, the atoms of oxygen and hydrogen have disappeared, only the atoms of carbon are still there. Now, suppose that the process of heating continues and that the carbon ash is heated by hundreds of millions of degrees, so that in T3 the atoms disintegrate and all that remains is a plasma of sub-atomic particles.

 

It is easy to understand what this progression shows: the nearer the future is to the present, the more properties it still has in common with the present, until the point of junction of the future and the past – which is the present – a point of complete identity, where all properties are the same. The same rule is valid considering the relation between the present and its past. Furthermore, the example with the piece of wax can be generalized. It can be applied to any domain of our world. On any level, this same pattern repeats itself: Natura non facit saltus. Another example from a completely different domain: the industrial revolution began in the second half of the XVIIIth century. But if we consider the changes in a short period of time, such as from 1760 to 1800, we can find only a few alterations, like the introduction of mechanized weaving machines in England and a small rural exodus. Large-scale iron and steel production, steam power, steamships, locomotives and railways, the great rural exodus and serious social tensions… had to wait until the next century. Certainly, there are anomalous progressions in which a near future can for a while be more different from the present than a more distant future, but in this case, you can consider only the nearest future, or you can consider a broader interval that includes this kind of anomaly in a way that makes it irrelevant to the whole. To give an analogy, consider the following anomalous progression: {1, 2, 3, 2, 3, 4, 3, 4, 5…}. The fact that some numbers are unexpectedly nearer to 1 does not change the fact that this is a positive numerical progression, and many variants, also anomic ones, can be added. Looking for a real empirical example, consider the continued economic development of a country, with all its booms and busts.

   Using the word ‘tendency’ to discard possible anomalies, the principle that the future will be similar to its past can be improved as follows:

 

UP(i)* Tendentially, the nearer the future is to its point of junction with its past (i.e., the present), the more similarities will be held with its past, being both the same at the point of junction.

 

I would understand this reading of UP(i) as analytic-conceptual. We cannot deny it without saying something incongruent or contradictory. We cannot deny that there is a tendency to the annulation of the differences between future and past, the nearer they approximate to the present. Now we can warrant inductive probability by means of an analytic-conceptual (a priori) principle:

 

1.    Tendentially, the nearer the future is to its own past, the more similarities it will have with its past.

2.    In the past fire always heated things.

3.    The next fire will (probably) heat things.

 

This seems to me sufficient to inductively warrant that the next fire will probably heat things.

   Consider now the other sub-principles of uniformity. Sub-principle UP(ii) represents no problem, since it is UP(i) projected onto the past. But sub-principle (iii) still requires some explanation. The principle that one region of space must be like another, taken literally, is certainly false. The region of the Côte d’Azur must be very different from the region of a black hole. We are in fact speaking of proximal regions. Thinking in this way we can state the principle of spatial uniformity in a way that is analogous to the above principles of temporal uniformity:

 

UP(iii)*: Tendentially, the nearer one spatial region is to the spatial region we have already considered, the more similar this spatial region will be to the spatial region we are considering, both being the same in their point of junction (i.e., the spatial limit).

 

For instance: suppose that we can see part of a checkerboard surface. You can be fairly sure that the next segment we see of the same surface will also have a checkerboard pattern. We expect based on experience that unknown space will preserve regularities in the same way as time. UP(iii)* is also analytic-conceptual: you cannot deny this tendency without contradiction.[83] Indeed, if this principle is constitutive of the way we are able to access any possible world in its temporal dimension, it cannot be logico-conceptually refuted.

 

1.2.2 A question without meaning

   Outflanked, the sceptic could appeal to a drastic objection. Even if we concede that a world, in order to be a world, must have enough uniformity to make possible the use of inductive procedures, there is nothing that absolutely warrants the continuity of anything. Suppose that our whole world disappears five seconds from now. Nothing in our principle of uniformity PU(i)* prevents this possibility! To this consideration one has the inclination to answer in the affirmative, admitting that there is nothing to warrant the permanence of our world. Hume was, after all, right!

   Nonetheless, when we consider this sceptical objection more carefully, we see that the true answer is a different one. The true answer is that this sceptical objection is devoid of sense, because it requires a completely unverifiable answer. If the universe as a whole disappears in five seconds, there will be no one to verify this disappearance (or to falsify its supposed permanence), since there will be nothing. It makes no sense to speak about what you logically cannot know. The idea that the world as a whole disappears only seems to be possible because we, without noticing, imagine the world disappearing, as if we could remain as transcendent observers of this disappearance. By doing this we forget that we, the observers, also belong to the world, and as such should also disappear with the world, what makes the observation of this disappearance logically impossible.[84] In other words, we have arrived at the limits of what we can meaningfully think and know. The sentence “We and our whole world could disappear in the next five seconds” is like the sentence “The whole world doubled its size last night” or like the question “Why is there the world instead of nothing?”. Sentences like these might be dizzying, but they have only a grammatical sense and the power to produce an emotional effect – not a cognitive meaning.

   A different question concerns the meaning of the negation of the negation that the world will remain existing. Are we justified in posing this question? Assuming a verifiability view of cognitive meaning, the answer is in the affirmative. We can verify that our world will remain existing in the future. Curiously enough, the sentence “The world will no remain existing in the next minute” has a meaning, while its negation, “The world will not remain existing in the next minute” lacks cognitive meaning. Isn’t this paradoxical? One can argues that this isn’t paradoxical. One can argue that this is the way language works concerning this particular kind of statement.

   To what I said above one could emphatically object that the principle of verification was long since been debunked, first by the positivists of the Vienna Circle and then by smart philosophers like W. V-O. Quine. This is in my view one under the greatest blunders of mainstream contemporary analytic philosophy. The story I have to tell is a very different one.[85] The person who first suggested what came to be called the principle of verification was Wittgenstein, what the members of the Vienna Circle were the first to recognize, and he was much more properly accomplished as a philosopher than the members of the Circle.[86] The original idea was to a certain extent still retained by Moritz Schlick and Friedrich Weismann. However, having as goal to use it as a really efficacious anti-metaphysical device, positivists like A. J. Ayer and Rudolph Carnap have tried to state the principle in precise logical terms, misinterpreting the original message. Afterwards, these misinterpretations were correctly criticized by members of the logical positivism and their offspring. But what the inherited wisdom has missed was that what they have criticized was in fact a straw-man of the principle, as originally understood by Wittgenstein! If we read him carefully, we see that the “principle” was in his writings much more flexible and modulated. I can give here only one example:

 

Consideration of how the meaning of a sentence is explained makes clear the connection between meaning and verification. Reading that Cambridge won the boat race, which confirms that ‘Cambridge won,’ is obviously not the meaning, but is connected with it. ‘Cambridge won’ isn’t the disjunction ‘I saw the race or I read the result or...’ It’s more complicated. But if we exclude any of the means to check the sentence, we change its meaning. It would be a violation of grammatical rules if we disregarded something that always accompanied a meaning. And if you dropped all the means of verification, it would destroy the meaning. Of course, not every kind of check is actually used to verify ‘Cambridge won,’ nor does any verification give the meaning. The different checks of winning the boat race have different places in the grammar of ‘winning the boat race.’[87]

 

That is, what we could call the ‘verification rule’ of a declarative sentence, identifying it with its cognitive meaning is presented in the example like a tree that can have a greater or smaller amount of branches, being its trunk in the present case the official observation of Cambridge winning. The structure of this verification rule must be complex and liable to suffer changes from sentence to sentence, having nothing to do with the formal simplifications arrived at by the logical positivists. Its investigation would demand a detailed pragmatic research, which to my account was never attempted[88].

   Finally, after having answered the question of the disappearance of the whole world in a glance, we can also put a somewhat different question: what about the disappearance of only a part of our world, or of a considerable portion of its regularities? This seems again conceivable. Assuming the permanence of the world, we can, against this background, make probable the persistence of more particularized domains of regularities belonging to it. For instance, it is improbable to suggest that the sun will not rise tomorrow, since the disappearance of this regularity seems to undermine a vast domain of other regularities.

 

2.  Scepticism about the external world

The second most well-known sceptical argument aims to show that we cannot know the existence of the external world. I call it the argument for ignorance about the external world. This argument makes use of sceptical hypotheses about the external world. Hence, in order to explain it I begin by giving three examples of this kind of sceptical hypotheses:

 

h1: The external world is a dream.

h2: I am a soul being deceived by a malign genie that produces in me the coherent hallucination of an external world.

h3: I am a brain-in-a-vat with all afferent and efferent nerve fibres linked to a supercomputer on the planet Omega; the program of this supercomputer makes me believe that I am living a normal life on the planet earth.

 

The argument for ignorance is based on the fact that it seems impossible to prove that the sceptical hypotheses are false. This might seem strange, but it is at least logically possible, a possibility that is explored in science fiction films like Matrix and The Real Thing. Now, applying hypothesis h3[89], the sceptic can argue as follows. If I cannot know that I am a brain-in-a-vat, then I cannot know that I really have two hands or that I am typing on a real computer keyboard; hence, since I cannot know that I am not a brain-in-a-vat, I cannot know that I really have two hands or that I am typing… Putting this argument in conventional form we have the following modus ponens:

 

        Instance of AI:

1.    I do not know that I am not a brain-in-a-vat.

2.    Since I do not know that I am not a brain-in-a-vat, I cannot know that I have two hands.

3.    Hence, I cannot know that I have two hands. (MP 1, 2)

 

Indeed, if I cannot know whether or not I am a brain-in-a-vat, then I cannot know if I have two hands, since a brain-in-a-vat does not have hands (but only imagines having them). Hence, if I do not know that I am not a brain-in-a-vat, I cannot know that I have two hands.

   Now, replacing any trivial proposition about the external world by p, and using K as a knowledge-operator applied by some epistemic subject a, we can symbolize in a generalized form the argument for ignorance, with the purpose to show that in fact we know nothing about the external world:

 

         AI:

1.    ~a(K~h)

2.    ~a(K~h) → ~aKp

3.    ~aKp (MP 1, 2)

 

The argument of ignorance seems to show that since we cannot know that the sceptical hypothesis is false, we cannot acquire any substantive knowledge about the external world. This shares with other sceptical arguments a property noted by Hume: they do not admit of answers and do not produce conviction[90].

   There is a contrapositive to this argument, made famous in an article by the English philosopher G. E. Moore. His approach was to begin by acknowledging that we at least know with certainty that many trivial things around us do exist. As he wrote:

 

I can prove that two human hands exist. How? Raising my two hands and making a certain gesture with my right hand: “Here is a hand”. And then making the same gesture with the left: “Here is another hand”.[91]

 

We can modify Moore’s statements a bit, from an argument to prove the existence of the world to an anti-sceptical argument – call it the argument for knowledge regarding the external world. The conventional form of this argument will be the following modus ponens:

 

   Instance of AC:

1.    I know that I have two hands.

2.    If I know that I have two hands, then I know that I am not a brain-in-a-vat.

3.    I know that I am not a brain-in-a-vat. (MP 1, 2)

 

Or, in a generalized symbolic form:

 

        AC:

1.    aKp

2.    aKp → ~a(K~h)

3.    ~a(K~h)

 

The two arguments seem to have the same force. The question, however, persists, since it is contradictory that we have two equally powerful arguments leading us to opposite results. Moreover, the anti-sceptic is not satisfied in knowing that the sceptic argument may be wrong; he will have a guarantee.

 

2.1 Critical summary of some attempted answers

There are many attempts to answer the argument of ignorance about the external world. Hilary Putnam’s answer, for instance, would be that we cannot be brains in vats because according to his externalist theory of meaning we would need to have causal experience of things in the world in order to know their meaning. Now, if we can imagine that we are brains in vats, then we cannot be brain in vats, since if we are able to imagine brains, vats, water, trees, then we must have had the experience of real external things like brain, vats, water, trees and the like.[92] In the end, all that the brain-in-a-vat causally experiences are patterns-images of trees and other things that are originated from electrical patterns from the supercomputer. One could answer that at least the people who manufactured the supercomputer and created its programs had the causal experience of trees and vats and brains. In this case, they would be caused by these things to create the programs that indirectly caused the electronic patterns we read generating our idea that we could be brains-in-vats. Putnam’s answer to this would be that the brain-in-a-vat and the supercomputer could be created by a mere cosmic accident, without any living beings producing the brain, the computer and its program!

   There are ways to circumvent Putnam’s argument. One is that it only works against the brain-in-a-vat sceptical hypothesis; one could instead use the dream hypothesis. Another is to accept Putnam’s argument, but supposed that we are dealing with recently envated brains (these brains would already have causally experienced our world)[93]. Putnam’s argument has, however, a more serious flaw. It not only disregards the flexibility of language, but the fact that states of mind can be the same without having the proper causes. A person can feel tickling, because she is tickled, feel a smell because something is smelling, see a light flash because there is flash of light outside; but she can have these feelings and sensations simply because a neurosurgeon is stimulating areas of her brain with an electrode.[94] One can suppose that the scientists that have programmed the supercomputer have had personal contact with brains, vats, water, trees… Because of this they have programmed the supercomputer in ways that produce electronic patterns that reproduces in the mind of the brain-in-a-vat the states equivalent to those they have when they have the experience of brains, vats, water, trees… In this case it is easily conceivable that the brain-in-a-vat would have the experience of a fictional world without direct causal experience of it. Furthermore, even if a cosmic accident produces a brain-in-a-vat powered by the program of a supercomputer, then it is also possible that the electronic patterns that cause the mental states of this brain-in-a-vat are the same that caused the mental states of that we ourselves have when imagine or experience brains, vats, water, trees, etc. In the end, it is not very difficult to challenge the argument, except for a dogmatic defender of meaning-externalism.

   A different answer to the sceptical problem consists in the denial of the so-called principle of closure. According to this principle, if person a knows p and also knows that p entails q, then a also knows q. Symbolically, we can state the principle of closure as:

 

[aKp & aK(p → q)] → aKq

 

This principle is very intuitive, though less in cases where the conclusion is a shortcut ofr many intermediary steps (say, [aKp & aK(p → p1 → … →pn→q)] → aKq), which we might leave out of consideration.

   However, in order to object against the sceptic, one can suggest that in certain contexts the principle of closure does not work. This is the case of answers to the sceptic appealing to the principle of relevant alternatives. According to them, one alternative possibility should only respect the principle of closure when it is sufficiently relevant to the context of the utterance. The well-known example of Alfred Dretske is that of someone, say, Mary, who, by visiting a zoo, identifies a zebra. Then a sceptic comes to the her and says that she cannot really know that she is looking at a zebra, since it is possible that it is only a mule cleverly painted in a way that makes it seem to be a zebra.[95] In fact, Mary is not a zoologist and is not equipped to distinguish zebras from mules cleverly disguised by the zoo authorities to look like zebras. Moreover, it is improbable that the authorities of the zoo would disguise mules in order to be confused with zebras. This alternative is too implausible to be relevant. Hence, according to the relevant alternatives view, “I am seeing a zebra” does not need to entail “This is not a mule cleverly painted in order to be mistake with a zebra”. In this case the principle of closure does not apply.

   Following a similar reasoning, the sceptical hypotheses would also be irrelevant alternatives, which means that the principle of closure should not be extended to them. In other words, the defender of a relevant alternatives account of the closure principle could argue that it is very implausible to think that the statement “I cannot know that I am not a brain-in-a-vat” would entail something as “I cannot know that I have two hands”. The context that would allow this possibility is too strange and remote – the possible world is too distant.[96]

   The problem with this argument is that it does not make clear that one cannot apply the closure principle in order to build the argument of ignorance. If Mary knows that she is looking at a zebra, and she knows that if it is a zebra then it is not a mule, then it seems that she also knows that it is not a mule cleverly painted in order to seem like a zebra! Indeed, she knows that it is not a mule because she is supported by contextual information, e.g., she knows that she is visiting a serious zoo and not a circus. She knows not only that the proposed zebra-alternative is irrelevant; she knows that it must be false.

   Another attempt to deal with the sceptical argument is contextualism. As we have already noted, according to contextualism the word ‘knowledge’ can be used with different degrees of precision when placed in different contexts. It is like the word ‘empty’ or the word ‘flat’: things can be very empty and very flat, but not absolutely empty and absolutely flat; we say that something is empty or flat according to some reasonable standard of emptiness or flatness. With this idea in mind, the contextualist will say that in the context of daily life the standards of knowledge are very low, which means that we can claim knowledge of things around us, like our hands. But in sceptical contexts we cannot say that we know that we have two hands, since the standards of knowledge are too high. Consequently, both are right, the sceptical and the anti-sceptical, since they claim different things using appealing to very different standards of knowledge.

   The major problem with this last kind of argument is that it is not clear that the sceptical hypotheses does demand much higher standards of knowledge. These hypotheses are so remote and different that they do not provide any comparative basis of measurement. They are nothing but logical possibilities.   

 

2.2 A more appropriate way to deal with the problem

The solution I will propose takes as its assumption the notion that problems and their solutions concern the “deep grammar” of the used concepts, hiding complexities that cannot be seen. Consequently, the above suggested answers, despite their originality, do not really solve the problem, since their formulations are unsatisfactory as a way to render these complexities visible on the argumentative surface.

   More precisely, the solution I intend to present is based upon a demonstration that the two arguments – for ignorance and for knowledge – implicitly contain two different concepts of external reality. These concepts, however, change their meaning from the premises to the conclusion, which makes both arguments equivocal and consequently fallacious. This solution is motivated by Rudolph Carnap’s distinction between internal and external questions of existence. According to him, internal questions are those regarding elements of a system and are answered by placing the elements adequately within the system. For example: “Is there a number 2?” is an internal question regarding the system of natural numbers. “Are there physical objects?” is an internal question regarding the system of physical things (the ‘Thing-World’). These questions are legitimate. External questions are ones regarding the existence of systems in themselves. These questions only allow pragmatic answers. We decide to accept the system of natural numbers; we decide to accept the system of physical things. These decisions arise from a pragmatic fiat. Philosophers such as P. F. Strawson[97] and Barry Stroud[98] have with reason criticized Carnap on the grounds that our decision of accepting a system, in particular the system of physical things, obviously does not arise from a pragmatic decision. The external world simply imposes itself on us, independently of any wish or advantage its acceptance gives us. The analysis I will propose circumvents this kind of objection, though maintaining that there are two kinds of attributions of external existence or reality.

   The first thing to do in order to reach our goal is to show that the arguments for ignorance and knowledge have implicit commitments to attributions and disattributions of external existence or reality. This is easy to show. Concerning the argument for ignorance, we can give the following paraphrase:

 

   Instance of AI:

1.    I do not know that I am not in reality a brain-in-a-vat.

2.    Since I do not know that I am not in reality a brain-in-a-vat, I cannot know that I have two real hands.

3.    Hence, I cannot know that I have two real hands. (MP 1, 2)

 

While with the argument for knowledge the paraphrase is:

 

    Instance of AC:

1.    I know that I have two real hands.

2.    If I know that I have two real hands, then I know that I am not in reality a brain-in-a-vat.

3.    I know that I am not in reality a brain-in-a-vat. (MP 1, 2)

 

There is no doubt about this: any statement concerning an external world contains a commitment to the assumption of the external reality for what it affirms or the assumption of a lack of external reality for what it denies.

   What should be noted, however, is that the expression ‘external reality’ in our most common uses has a sense very different from the expression ‘external reality’ as used in sceptical scenarios. To show this, all we need is to note that after being liberated from a life as a brain-in-a-vat, a person will presumably not say that her earlier world was not real. She will say that in a sense her earlier world was very real for her or “had a perfect degree of reality” for her at the time, although in another sense it was indeed not the ultimately real world, as she subsequently discovered. This means that the person is using the word ‘real’ in two very different senses: in the first one she affirms the existence of the previous real world of the supercomputer, in the second she denies its existence. I call the first the inherent sense of external reality, a sense that allows the attribution of external reality to the contents of experience of the brain-in-a-vat when it still was a brain-in-a-vat, while the second I call the adherent sense of external reality, a sense that does not allow the attribution of external reality to the contents of experience of the brain-in-a-vat when it still was a brain-in-a-vat. In order to make the distinction clear I will separately examine the criteria of application constitutive of each of these senses of ‘external reality’. After all, by knowing the criteria of application of these words, we can better understand their meanings. Or, as Wittgenstein once said, criteria “give our words their common meaning”[99].

   Consider, first, the inherent sense of external reality. It is the usual sense which is applied when we attribute/disattribute external existence in everyday life. For instance, when we ask about the existence or reality of something we are looking for. This sense is made by a group of criteria that ordinarily must be experienced together, and it was frequently and in various ways considered by modern philosophers like Descartes, Locke, Berkeley, Hume, Kant, Stuart Mill, and even by analytic philosophers like Frege. G. E. Moore wrote an article about these criteria, summarizing them in the following sentence:

 

The real is something independent of the mind that is verifiable by others, continuously connected with other things, and in this way has certain causes, effects and accompaniments (I would say that it ‘displays regularities’) with the highest degree of reality.[100]

 

I think, I can summarize the most fundamental criteria as follows:

 

a.     The sensory experience of them has the greatest intensity (normally this experience is co-sensorial),

b.    They are independent of our will (typically),

c.     They are interpersonally checkable by anyone in the right position,

d.    They display regularities imposed by natural laws (on various different levels).

 

Separately, these conditions are not sufficient for the attribution of inherent reality to objects outside us. (Laurence Bonjour was right when he wrote that Locke’s criteria were alone insufficient to warrant external reality[101]). However, my point is that if you join together all those criteria, they are sufficient to confer inherent reality on what they apply to during the time when they are applicable. They are sufficient for the following reason: they simply define what we all understand by external reality in the inherent sense of the word.

   Consider, for example, my hand-computer. I can see it, touch it, and hear it with the maximum expected intensity, differently from the images I can form in my mind when I close my eyes. Moreover, its existence and properties are not directly dependent on my will (my mental image of it is directly dependent on my will). My hand-held computer can be an object of interpersonal experience: others can come to me, see it, and agree about its existence and properties. Finally, my computer obeys the laws of nature. It needs electrical energy to work, to respond to my commands, it will break if it is dropped from a high place, etc. If we join the four criteria of external reality together, it is impossible to imagine any enduring situation where we cannot say that the object of experience is (inherently) real. Even if I were a brain-in-a-vat or if I were subjected to a very highly developed experience of artificial reality, my hand-computer would be very real in this sense of the word.

   What about things too small or too distant to be presently observed by us? Could we say that they are real in the inherent sense? Yes, of course, and by means of a very common mechanism of semantic extension of the four above given criteria. In an indirect way, a thing that is too small is said to be real because it is causally related to other things with which we can have sensory-perceptual contact (like tracks left by elementary particles in a cloud chamber). Things that are too far distant, either because they were once objects of perception and are retained in our memories (like my great-father’s house), or that were once objects of sensory perception by others (like Angkor Wat, a place I have never visited), satisfy the four criteria considered above, because we know by testimony that these things would satisfy those criteria to us, given the right circumstances of access. Finally, since we have always experienced new things in such ways, we inductively expect that we will continue to have new experiences of new things (the world is open). We can even join all these things in order to produce a proof of the external world as a whole, insofar as we understand it as possessing inherent reality. Indeed, this is in my view the long sought proof of the external world’s existence! This is the reason why people say that only philosophers and madman deny that our world exists. They all have implicitly made such inferences, and what they mean is that the external world is nothing but the sum of all these implicit extensions of applications of the concept of inherent reality.

   These inherent attributions/disatributions of reality are the usual ones: without perceiving this, we apply them all the time. But there is another attribution/disatribution of reality that is sometimes made, which concerns what I called the adherent sense of reality or existence. This is the sense of reality that we attribute/disattribute to things like fictional reality and sceptical scenarios. We can say that the sense is different because the criteria of application have nothing to do with the four criteria of inherent reality considered above, though they assume they are applied. Suppose, for a moment, that the world is a dream or that you are a brain-in-a-vat. In this case, the world continues to exist for you in the inherent sense of the word. If you fall from a tree and break a leg, your pain is as real as any other, and the leg is really broken and in need of immediate medical attention. All things appear to you with maximum sensory intensity, interpersonally and following the laws of nature (since the supercomputer program is the best on the market), which warrants the inherent existence of things around you. But in some other sense, these things are not real, and this sense is that of adherent reality. Although the world of the dreamer or the brain-in-a-vat has no adherent reality, in the inherent sense it continues to be perfectly real.

   The question now is about criteria for adherent reality. How can one know that a world is adherently unreal? The answer is: comparatively and by reasons of coherence. The concept of adherent reality is a comparative (or relative) one. The mark of a comparative concept is that it changes its applicability in conformity with the context. For instance, the words ‘small’ and ‘big’: a baby elephant is small compared with an adult elephant; however, it is a big animal compared with a mouse (Copi). Now, suppose that you have lived your whole life as a brain-in-a-vat and that now you are liberated. Your brain was inserted in the head of a person on the planet Omega and you awake in your new world, meeting other people who resemble you as you now appear. They reveal that the experiment was motivated by the desire to create cultural diversity on the planet… Moreover, they show you the empty vat and the supercomputer, together with other fellow brains-in-vats being nourished and formatted. Surely, if all this does not drive you mad, you will compare and see that the world where you lived was a kind of sub-product of the truly real world, the world of the planet Omega, since this is the best way you have to make the information you have received until now seem coherent.

   Knowledge of adherent reality is only comparative. It demands the emergence of a sceptical scenario or something of the kind. Before you were liberated from the vat, it would have made no sense to ask if you were a brain-in-a-vat or not. The same is true concerning ourselves and our world. To question its adherent reality makes no sense without the advent of a sceptical scenario that endows us with the expected comparative criteria. The question: “Is our world the ultimately real one?” makes as much sense as the question “Is this stone sad?” This is reinforced when we perceive that also the comparative sense of the adherent attributions/disattributions of reality is defeasible. You cannot be sure that the new world of the planet Omega is the ultimate one: there is no criteria for this. It is even possible that you are once more being deceived. It is possible that they only changed the program. As you awoke, the program running in the supercomputer was “being awakened from a brain-in-a-vat experiment”.

   It is important to see that there is no absolute sense for adherent reality, but only a comparative one. Because of this, the question “Is our world adherently real? – is it the ultimate world?” is cognitively meaningless, since the comparative criteria are not at our disposal. The question “Is our world adherently real?” could be paraphrased as “Is our world the ultimately real one?” But this is a pseudo-question that can only work as a metaphysical trap that could have and has often lead to pseudo-answers. It sounds like the question, “Why (for what reason) does the world exist?”, which has also a grammatical sense and an emotive effect, but lacks cognitive sense, as much as any attempt to answer it. Then, why does it seem to be meaningful?

   Here Wittgenstein’s remarks in On Certainty can be helpful. He considers knowledge-claims that are devoid of cognitive meaning, for instance, if in daylight in the presence of another person one suddenly says, “I know that you are in front of me” without any purpose[102]. He thinks we tend to confuse the use of this sentence in this case with its use in those cases in which this sentence had a real application, for instance, in a place without light. I think, we have such a case here. We tend to confuse it with another question that lurks in our imagination, namely: “Could our world, caught in a sceptical scenario, be comparatively classified as an adherently non-real one?” This question makes again full sense. For this reason, “I know that our world is adherently real” is a senseless pseudo-affirmation, differently from the similar statement, “If I were liberated in a sceptical scenario, I would (comparatively) know that the actual world is the adherently real one”. With pseudo-questions like “Can we know if our world is (adherently) real?” the philosopher often intends to use the word ‘real’ in an adherent absolute sense – what philosophers have often meant – we have already transgressed the limits of what can be meaningfully questioned.

   Now, having understood the two senses of the word ‘external reality’ (or ‘existence’), we are prepared to see why both, the sceptical argument of ignorance and the anti-sceptical argument of knowledge, are equivocal and consequently fallacious.

   Before we do this it is maybe good to pause in order to remember what is an equivocal argument. Consider the following one:

 

Only men are rational.

Women are not men.

Hence, women are not rational.

 

This argument is equivocal because the word man is used to mean the human species in the first premise, while it means a human being of the feminine sex in the second premise. If we replace the terms, we will see that this argument is not valid. Equivocal arguments come often in philosophy, though they are more refined and difficult to be coughed. This will be exemplified in my rephrases of the sceptical argument.

   My take is that in both arguments – from ignorance and knowledge – we imperceptibly pass from a commitment to one sense of ‘external reality’ to a commitment to the other sense of ‘external reality’. In order to make the point clear, definitely breaking down the arguments, all we need to do is to make explicit the commitments to reality/non-reality implicit in each argument.

   The first sentence of the argument of ignorance will be as follows:

 

   Instance of AI:

1.    I cannot know that I am not an adherently real brain-in-a-vat.[103]

2.    Since I cannot know that I am not an adherently real brain-in-a-vat, I cannot know that I have two adherently real hands.

3.    Hence, I cannot know that I have two inherently real hands. (MP 1, 2)

 

This is the most natural way to interpret the argument, choosing the sense of reality in accordance with each statements’ semantic context. In the first two statements we have a sceptical scenario, and the senses of external reality contextually suggested are adherent ones. In the conclusion, however, the sceptical wish is to convince us that we cannot attribute inherent reality to anything. The sceptic intends to give us the comforting sense that our hands, like all other external things, are ethereal objects like ghosts in haze and that we are living in a fictive world without material reality. If the conclusion were, “Hence, I cannot know that I have two adherently real hands,” the argument would be sound, but trivial. Indeed, this we cannot know, since outside the awareness of a sceptical scenario we have no way to use comparative attributions of reality or non-reality. Obviously, this result can be extended to the generalized formal version of the argument of ignorance.

   Curiously, a similar fallacy plagues the argument of knowledge. Once we expose the implicit assumptions of reality, it looks like this:

 

      Instance of AC:

1.    I know I have two inherently real hands.[104]

2.    If I know that I have two adherently real hands, then I know that I am not an adherently real brain-in-a-vat.

3.    Hence, I know that I am not an adherently real brain-in-a-vat. (MP 1, 2)

 

The anti-sceptic makes an equivocal step from the first to the second premise of the argument in his attempt to prove that he knows that this is our ultimate world, resistant to sceptical doubts. But his equivocal conclusion lies beyond the limits of our knowledge. It makes no sense to ask for something that lacks any verifying criteria, since the statement requires an absolute attribution of adherent reality.

   In conclusion, scepticism about induction and scepticism about the external world have something in common. Both are epistemically challenging fallacious arguments disregarding limits of our knowledge, which are those of cognitively meaningful language and thought.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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[1] Laurence Bonjour: 2011: 284

[2] Kant defined them as judgements in which the concept of the predicate does belong to the concept of the subject. Consequently, the analytic judgement only unpacks the meaning of the subject term. The deficiency of this definition is that it applies only to subject-predicate statements.

[3] Kant defined them as judgements in which the concept of the predicate does not belong to the concept of the subject. Thus, in the statement “All events have causes”, the concept of cause does not belong to the concept of event. Hence, it is synthetic, though according to him is known a priori.

[4] See Bonjour, 1998.

[5] Leibniz, 1981, 153.

[6] Popper, 1974, 61 f.

[7] Nietzsche 1999

[8] Daniel Dennett 2018

[9] Anthony Stevens: On Jung, Ch. 2.

[10] Popper 1992, 6

[11] This tendency, called the Westermark effect, though probable, is however disputable. It contradicts Sigmund Freud’s suggestion of the universality of the Oedipus complex. See Shor, Eran, Simchai, Dalit (2009), 1803-1842.

[12] Autistic children lack this disposition, along with the absence of the innate ability to read social behavior (See Attwood 2007).

[13] Sacks, 2010.

[14] Piaget 1977.

[15] Chomsky 1965.

[16] Michael Devitt, 2010, 272

[17] Michael Devitt, 2005.

[18] There are challenges to this view, but they are not the most convincing. (e.g., Bonjour 1998, Appendix).

[19] David Hull: “Are Species really Individuals?”

 

[20] Pappineau, 2012: 4.6.

[21] C. I. Lewis (1995: 288) noted that this would be a physical, not a mathematical phenomenon. But the increase of the internal angles of a given triangle is also a physical phenomenon. Applied arithmetic isn’t abstract, precisely because it includes physical objects as its subject matter. Therefore, concerning applied arithmetic there is nothing wrong in this kind of mental experiment, originally conceived by J. S. Mill. See also Casullo, 2010, p. 47.

[22] There is, obviously, objections against this conclusion. A contemporary example is dialetheism. But this kind of paraconsistent logic seems to be less plausible always that we try to pass from the mere manipulation of symbols to its application in supposedly real cases.

[23] Tractatus Logico-Philosophicus 2.2.

[24] For a discussion and refinement of this assumption, see Costa, 2018, Appendix to Chapter V.

[25] A curious point is that our innate predispositions seem to be able to influence the chosen metaphilosophy. If you are an empiricist or a rationalist is something that might be in part determined by your gens and in part, of course, by the external determinants of your intellectual growing.

 

[26] Locke, 1975: I, iv, 18.

[27] Costa 2018: 169-172.

[28] Kant 1929, Second Analogy.

[29] Dennett 1984, p. 112.

[30] One can find propositional knowledge statements using words like ‘when’ or ‘whether’ in the place of ‘that’. But the sentences can be paraphrased in ways that these words are replaced by ‘that’. For instance: “Hank knows whether the bull is dangerous” can be replaced by “Either Hank knows that the bull is dangerous or Hank does not know that the bull is dangerous”. (See Feldman 2003: 9-10)

[31] As Socrates says in the dialogue Meno: “true beliefs… are not worth much until one ties them down on account of the reason why they are tied down… After they are tied down, in the first place they become knowledge, and then they remain in place. (1997: 895) See also Theatetus (1997: 223)

[32] See J. L. Borges tale, ‘Tom Castro, the implausible impostor’, in his book, A Universal History of Infamy. The tale is based on a real occurrence.

[33] See Costa, 2011, 2014. The term was suggested to me by John Cottingham.

[34] A probability of acceptance can vary in accordance with the context. In the exceptional context of a lottery, for instance, the “I know that I will not win” remains below acceptance, even when the probability of not winning is extremely high. The reason is in my view that the probability required by this closed system must be 1.

[35]  Complete failures in the satisfaction of such dialogical conditions are catastrophic to science: examples are Catholic dogmas that led to the condemnation of Galileo, the Marxist genetics of Lysenko in the Stalinist USSR, and Nazi Aryan science.

[36] Popper 1963, Ch. 10.

[37] Clark, 1963.

[38] Armstrong, 1973. Goldman 1979, 1986, 2010, 2015.

[39] Feldman & Connee 1985, 2004. Kevin McCain 2014.

[40] I added to Feldman & Connee’s formulation the clause that the belief must be determined (adequately caused) by the support.

[41] 1979. There are a variety of alternative definitions proposed by Goldman. I consider this because it is the most widespread and maybe the clearest.

[42] 2015, pp. 35-36.

[43] Jack Crumley, 2009, p. 169.

[44] For a more detailed and adequate explanation of the role of these criteria, see the section on scepticism on the external world in the last chapter of this book.

[45] An at least virtual interpersonal confirmation is here important. In my view, truth must be able to ultimately satisfy an interpersonal consensus made authentic by its achievement through adequate agreement within a critical community of ideas (a community with equally competent members, with the same rights of interaction, etc.), a point particularly relevant in regard to the collective acceptance of complex law-like generalizations (Cf. Habermas 1983).

[46] I believe the anterograde and retrograde procedures are a more explicit version of a distinction already present in Husserlian phenomenology: the distinction between ‘truth as correctness’ (Wahrheit als Richtigkeit) and ‘truth as discoveredness’ (Wahrheit als Entdecktheit) respectively (See Sokolowski 2000, Ch. 11).

[47] See my objections to the private language argument in Chapter III, sec. 13 of the present book.

[48] My preferred moral theory is two-tiered utilitarianism. According to this view, we should apply rule-utilitarianism in ordinary situations, although in extreme situations, utilitarian rules are defeated and we must turn to act-utilitarianism. (Hare 1981, Ch. 2)

[49] Leibniz’ original proof can be found in his 1765, liv. IV, Ch. 7, Sec. 10.

[50] I say ‘to a certain extent’ because different communities of ideas are not incommensurable, as the relativist philosopher would like us to believe. As Searle once noted, the Inuits’ historical origins as told by anthropologists (crossing the Bering Strait circa 13,000 years ago) is nearer to the truth than the Inuits’ own creation myth (thrown out of a great crater that opened up in the earth…). And this is obvious to anyone who knows both belief-systems, just as it would be to an Inuit who had studied anthropology at Harvard.

[51] Popper treated absolute truth as a directive concept in Chapter 10 of his Conjectures and Refutations. Kant originated the view that there are directive concepts which lack a possible basis in our experience, but are still able to perform the pragmatic function of guiding our intellect in the direction of further syntheses. This was the case of his ideas of reason. According to the Critique of Pure Reason, they are concepts that reason uses in its striving to unify our knowledge, though unable to find satisfaction in sensory intuitions (1787, A 484, B 612).

[52] If q were only the direct expression of a factual content, we would fall into a kind of strong externalism that admits that part of our content-thought-meaning is a directly given fact in the world (a ‘structured proposition’ or something of the kind). However, without further qualification this view would demand too much from our epistemic powers, leaving unexplained not only the possibility of falsity, but also the inevitable fallibility of our supposed knowledge of truth.

[53] When I write of purely sensory truths, I am thinking of cases covering false sensations and feelings, such as imaginary pain induced by hypnosis or an emotion that someone defensively substitutes for the true one.

[54] A deeper understanding will demand a response to the problem of perception that will be attempted later in this chapter.

[55] I read this story many years ago, although I am unable to find the source.

[56] Even though the phenomenal contents of o and oare similar, the whole factual context must be very different, since at least the dispositional properties of ‘the blue there’ must be completely different.

[57] Searle uses the expression ‘phenomenal appearance,’ but then we should distinguish the psychological phenomenal appearance from its correlative physical phenomenal appearance.

[58] It is true that fMRI measures brain activity by detecting changes in blood flow, but blood flow and neuronal activation are coupled.

[59] I made a detailed examination of the way verification works and of the correspondence theory of truth (understood as complementary with verificationism) respectively in chapters V and VI of my book Philosophical Semantics: Reintegrating Theoretical Philosophy.

[60] A detailed, though not exhaustive, correspondence theory of truth that includes coherence is developed in the chapter VI of my book Philosophical Semantics: Reintegrating theoretical Philosophy.

[61] Hume, 1739, Book I, part III, sec. 6; 1748, sec IV.

[62] Hume used the word ‘object.’ Most authors call the causal relata ‘events.’ But it seems that facts, states of affairs, processes, can also have causal power. In order to avoid inadequate language, I will call them simply ‘things’, as Russell has done.

[63] Contra Armstrong 1983 and Bonjour 1998.

[64] A less abbreviated way to state the principle would be: “Associations of things belonging to the past must be similar to associations of things belonging to the future”.

[65] For reasons of simplicity of exposition, I am also using abbreviated language in PU(ii) and PU(iii). What I mean is rather “Associations of things in the recent past must be similar to the associations of things in the more recent past” (PU(ii)), and “Associations of things in a next location in space must be similar to associations of things in the already known space” (PU(iii)).

[66] Except, of course, if it were a Kantian synthetic a priori principle. But this would render its necessary character seemingly arbitrary.

[67] See Russell 1980 (1912), p. 36.

[68] 1936, 1959, pp. 1-31; 1989, Ch. I, viii.

[69] O’Hear 2010, cap. III. See also Newton-Smith, 2016, cap. III.

[70] Reichenbach 1938.

[71] Black 1954.

[72] Will 1947.

[73] 1942.

[74] Russell 1980 (1912), p. 37. Russell wrote that a principle of induction cannot be either proved or disproved by experience. But this is not true, as we will see. See also Russell 1948, chap. 6, and Bonjour, 1999.

[75] Edwards 1949.

[76] Strawson 1952, pp. 248-263.

 

[77] This critical evaluation of the dissolution attempt can be found in Skyrms 1966. See also Salmon 1966 and Bonjour 1998, Ch. 7.

[78] 1999. In my view the common-sensical character of this view shows that the philosophical discussion was since Hume diverted from the right way to search the answer.

[79] 1974, pp. 80-83.

[80] 1764, sec. IV, 23

[81] 1764, sec. IV, 30.

[82] I always keep in mind a spatio-temporally unified system of reference. I need to say this because relativity theory has shown that present, past and future vary according to systems of reference moving at great speeds in relation to each other.

[83] What we could do is to search for a still more precise treatment. It seems plausible to think that the approximation of future and past tends to have a form of two opposed exponential curves that touch at the point called the present, etc.

[84] In On Certainty (1984a) Wittgenstein gave several examples of how our imagination can betray us, making us see meaning where there is none.

[85] See Costa 2018, Chapter V.

[86] 1984d

[87] 2001, p. 29.

[88] I told this story in details in Costa, 2018, Ch. VI. Not all philosophers were deceived by the inherited wisdom. Ernst Tugendhat, for instance, defended that the content of a predicative statement should be its rule of verification (Verificationsregel) in his classical work from 1976.

[89] For an answer to Hilary Putnam’s argument against h3, see the next section.

[90] David Hume, 1748, p. 155.

[91] G. E, Moore, 1939

[92] Putnam 1984.

[93] DeRose 1999. Also, DeRose 2017.

[94] Cf. Wilder Graves Penfield’s famous experiments.

[95] Dretske, 1970, pp. 1015-16

[96] Nozick 1981,

[97] Strawson 1974.

[98] Stroud 1984.

[99] 1958, p. 57.

[100] 1953.

[101] 2002, pp. 130-135.

[102] 1984a.

[103] Note that although the statement “I am not an adherently real brain in a vat” is devoid of sense, “I cannot know that I am not an adherently real brain in a vat” makes sense, since one can easily verify that the complementary sentence cannot be verified.

[104] Note that I cannot interpret (1) as “I know that I have two adherently real hands”, since this cannot be true. I cannot know something unverifiable.



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